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Post by mhynson27 on Dec 21, 2020 5:12:08 GMT
What do you guys think of the NY and LA winners chances of nominations? I don’t think it’s guaranteed but I like Bosman’s chances at a double nomination. Normally Turman would feel like a great candidate for a coattail nomination but unfortunately for him Domingo’s performance is also very well received and could cut into his votes. Most years I could see them both making it easily (and maybe they still will, anybody who says they know for sure what will happen in this category this year is lying) but this year is so deep for nomination contenders I honestly see about 15 performances I think have a shot to get in. I feel the exact opposite, the category this year is piss weak. There may be a lot of contenders but none of them are strong. After Kaluuya, Odom Jr. and Cohen, I feel like it is a complete crapshoot because no one really makes sense.
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Dec 21, 2020 19:56:21 GMT
Per Will Mavity apparently Clayton Davis has seen Judas and the Black Messiah and currently he has him at number one in his predictions. For what that is worth.
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Post by stephen on Dec 21, 2020 20:04:43 GMT
Per Will Mavity apparently Clayton Davis has seen Judas and the Black Messiah and currently he has him at number one in his predictions. For what that is worth. It's Clay Davis, though.
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sirchuck23
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Bad news dawg...you don't mind if I have some of your 300 dollar a glass shit there would ya?
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Post by sirchuck23 on Dec 21, 2020 20:12:31 GMT
Per Will Mavity apparently Clayton Davis has seen Judas and the Black Messiah and currently he has him at number one in his predictions. For what that is worth. It's Clay Davis, though. Think he's going to be a scapegoat for the whole damn machine?
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Dec 21, 2020 20:12:59 GMT
Per Will Mavity apparently Clayton Davis has seen Judas and the Black Messiah and currently he has him at number one in his predictions. For what that is worth. It's Clay Davis, though. That’s why I said for what it’s worth.
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Post by stephen on Dec 21, 2020 20:16:04 GMT
Think he's going to be a scapegoat for the whole damn machine? I'm gonna remember this moment, Irv. I'm gonna hold on to this moment.
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Post by pupdurcs on Dec 21, 2020 20:16:38 GMT
Per Will Mavity apparently Clayton Davis has seen Judas and the Black Messiah and currently he has him at number one in his predictions. For what that is worth. It's Clay Davis, though. A broken clock is still right twice a day though, right Even if it is the perennially clueless Davis, Kaaylua has been seen by many almost as the frontrunner-in-waiting since his trailer dropped. It really isn't much of a stretch to see Kaaylua delivering and confirming what so many people have believed for awhile anyway. Regardless of what Davis says or not, I think the most likely scenario is Kaaylua grabbing this category by the throat once he is widely seen.
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Post by TerryMontana on Dec 21, 2020 20:31:52 GMT
Per Will Mavity apparently Clayton Davis has seen Judas and the Black Messiah and currently he has him at number one in his predictions. For what that is worth.
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Post by franklin on Dec 22, 2020 2:00:25 GMT
I could do a better job than Clayton Davis at predicting shit, and yet he's the one paid by fucking Variety.
I don't trust what he says about the movie.
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Post by ptacoenlover on Dec 23, 2020 21:00:05 GMT
Genuinely don’t get the hatred for Clayton Davis on this board. Sure he can be inaccurate (everyone can) but his arguments as to why something will or won’t get in usually make sense. I’m a little biased because awards circuit was my go to website for a while though.
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Post by Mattsby on Dec 23, 2020 21:23:13 GMT
My last post here was wondering if Walken in Wild Mountain Thyme could make a play - incase anybody is wondering about my predix skills - but to keep it Bleecker Street - throwing out two more names that aren't on the Oscar radar yet - Christopher Abbott and/or Casey Affleck in The World to Come - both being FYC'd Supporting atm - set for Sundance and a Feb 12 release , could find support late-wise. It's in the vein of First Cow/Ammonite and some love it already (100% RT, 16 critics). Also very random and off-year but every time I see this thread title I think of Pacino bc of last year's thread which programmed/traumatized my brain to think a classic and astonishing perf from the GOAT would beat a dude sitting on a lawn chair but whaddaya gonnado.
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Post by thomasjerome on Dec 23, 2020 22:01:52 GMT
My last post here was wondering if Walken in Wild Mountain Thyme could make a play - incase anybody is wondering about my predix skills - Maybe it's the fanboy in me but I honestly think it'd be a worthy nom.
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flasuss
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Post by flasuss on Dec 24, 2020 0:13:31 GMT
Genuinely don’t get the hatred for Clayton Davis on this board. Sure he can be inaccurate (everyone can) but his arguments as to why something will or won’t get in usually make sense. I’m a little biased because awards circuit was my go to website for a while though. Clay Davis is:
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Post by ptacoenlover on Dec 24, 2020 4:05:10 GMT
Genuinely don’t get the hatred for Clayton Davis on this board. Sure he can be inaccurate (everyone can) but his arguments as to why something will or won’t get in usually make sense. I’m a little biased because awards circuit was my go to website for a while though. Clay Davis is:
are there any good awards prognosticators?
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Post by mhynson27 on Dec 24, 2020 4:39:01 GMT
Clayton is still predicting Kirby to win Best Actress, that's all you need to know really.
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Post by dadsburgers on Dec 27, 2020 19:50:24 GMT
My predictions at the moment:
1) Kaluuya 2) Raci 3) Odom Jr. 4) Rylance 5) Boseman
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Dec 28, 2020 0:54:20 GMT
My predictions at the moment: 1) Kaluuya 2) Raci 3) Odom Jr. 4) Rylance 5) Boseman Mine might honestly be the same right now. Different order
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Post by mhynson27 on Dec 28, 2020 1:47:04 GMT
My predictions at the moment: 1) Kaluuya 2) Raci 3) Odom Jr. 4) Rylance 5) Boseman Replace Rylance with SBC, and that's my 5 too.
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Post by The_Cake_of_Roth on Feb 4, 2021 23:59:11 GMT
Not convinced that Leto is actually going to happen, I don't see double noms happening for Chicago 7, and I'm not feeling confident in Raci. I think it's easy to write off Murray as just a Globes thing, especially since he didn't make the BAFTA longlist..... but I have a weird feeling that he's going to be one of the surprises on nomination morning. That'll be one of my NGNG predictions this year.
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Post by mhynson27 on Feb 5, 2021 0:47:31 GMT
Leto feels like our annual GG+SAG snub.
Sticking with Kaluuya, Cohen, Odom Jr, Boseman and Raci for now.
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Post by michael128 on Feb 7, 2021 20:16:40 GMT
Does anyone else think Yahya Abdul-Mateen II should be the one getting attention for Chicago of the trial 7? He was much more impactful IMO.
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Post by ptacoenlover on Feb 10, 2021 22:52:51 GMT
Does anyone else think Yahya Abdul-Mateen II should be the one getting attention for Chicago of the trial 7? He was much more impactful IMO. Rylance and Langella were the standouts for me, but with how stacked this category is, even they might miss my personal nominations.
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Post by michael128 on Feb 10, 2021 23:01:05 GMT
Does anyone else think Yahya Abdul-Mateen II should be the one getting attention for Chicago of the trial 7? He was much more impactful IMO. Rylance and Langella were the standouts for me, but with how stacked this category is, even they might miss my personal nominations. All Langella did was pound a gavel for 10 minutes straight. Horribly written character.
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Post by mhynson27 on Feb 11, 2021 0:44:29 GMT
Rylance and Redmayne for me.
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Post by pupdurcs on Feb 23, 2021 14:38:19 GMT
I honestly think Cohen might just win supporting actor. He's campaigning so damned hard!
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