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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Jan 28, 2019 4:11:17 GMT
Unfortunately, I think the lack of BP nod hurts her big time. I'm not saying it'll be a cake walk for her -- far from it -- but even with Beale Street's Best Picture snub and her missing out at both SAG and BAFTA, she has less working against her than any of her fellow nominees. Adams has nothing working against her. She gave a performance the Academy liked in a film the Academy loved. King missed two major precursors, Adams has hit all of them.
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Post by Sharbs on Jan 28, 2019 4:11:44 GMT
Lmao. I'm baffled that people were saying this before SAG and even more so now. Regardless of her overdue narrative (which I don't think is that strong to being with -- she still has time), she's not winning for an insignificant performance that no one is talking about and that hasn't been awarded at all throughout the entire season. For now, the Oscar is still King's to lose. Unfortunately, I think the lack of BP nod hurts her big time. eh I don't see this as detrimental. We know it was #9 and honestly it could've missed that 5% marker by a razor thin margin. What would be the difference if it got 4.9% and missed or 5.1% and barely made it. It's not like voters will go "whoop her Film missed the BP now I guess I wo t vote for her"
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Post by quetee on Jan 28, 2019 4:12:03 GMT
Unfortunately, I think the lack of BP nod hurts her big time. I'm not saying it'll be a cake walk for her -- far from it -- but even with Beale Street's Best Picture snub and her missing out at both SAG and BAFTA, she has less working against her than any of her fellow nominees. I think the race is between Regina and Rachel.
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Post by ingmarhepburn on Jan 28, 2019 4:13:03 GMT
I'm not saying it'll be a cake walk for her -- far from it -- but even with Beale Street's Best Picture snub and her missing out at both SAG and BAFTA, she has less working against her than any of her fellow nominees. Adams has nothing working against her. She gave a performance the Academy liked in a film the Academy loved. King missed two major precursors, Adams has hit all of them. Yes, but how many awards has she won so far? And how many has King won?
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Jan 28, 2019 4:13:16 GMT
Unfortunately, I think the lack of BP nod hurts her big time. eh I don't see this as detrimental. We know it was #9 and honestly it could've missed that 5% marker by a razor thin margin. What would be the difference if it got 4.9% and missed or 5.1% and barely made it. It's not like voters will go "whoop her Film missed the BP now I guess I wo t vote for her" How do we know it was #9??
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Jan 28, 2019 4:13:47 GMT
Adams has nothing working against her. She gave a performance the Academy liked in a film the Academy loved. King missed two major precursors, Adams has hit all of them. Yes, but how many awards has she won so far? And how many has King won? ask Ethan Hawke.
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Post by Brother Fease on Jan 28, 2019 4:14:43 GMT
I'm not saying it'll be a cake walk for her -- far from it -- but even with Beale Street's Best Picture snub and her missing out at both SAG and BAFTA, she has less working against her than any of her fellow nominees. I think the race is between Regina and Rachel. King vs. the BAFTA winner. And that BAFTA winner would be the favorite to win Best Supporting Actress. No SAG and BAFTA is the kiss of death. Her only salvation is if Foy or Robbie win the BAFTA.
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Post by Sharbs on Jan 28, 2019 4:17:15 GMT
eh I don't see this as detrimental. We know it was #9 and honestly it could've missed that 5% marker by a razor thin margin. What would be the difference if it got 4.9% and missed or 5.1% and barely made it. It's not like voters will go "whoop her Film missed the BP now I guess I wo t vote for her" How do we know it was #9?? rephrase *probably* #9.
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Post by quetee on Jan 28, 2019 4:18:30 GMT
Unfortunately, I think the lack of BP nod hurts her big time. eh I don't see this as detrimental. We know it was #9 and honestly it could've missed that 5% marker by a razor thin margin. What would be the difference if it got 4.9% and missed or 5.1% and barely made it. It's not like voters will go "whoop her Film missed the BP now I guess I wo t vote for her" The Academy seems lazy. They probably at min watch the best picture nominees and if you are a nominee in a bp then your chances are a tad greater, at least IMHO. If King doesn't win then that's pretty much gonna be the reason why.
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Post by Ryan_MYeah on Jan 28, 2019 4:20:58 GMT
SAG does not concern Roma at all. It's winning. Was Roma even SAG Ensemble-eligible? Aparicio and de Tavira shared their on-screen credit, and the rest of the ensemble were listed together. I’m willing to bet anything that this was the cause.
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Post by ingmarhepburn on Jan 28, 2019 4:36:01 GMT
Yes, but how many awards has she won so far? And how many has King won? ask Ethan Hawke. Hawke's performance at least got noticed and received great acclaim. I don't see that at all for Adams. Most of the reviews I've read praise Bale but are much more sparse/modest when talking about her. Adams has been the safe choice every year or everytime they need a filler. They probably still feel guily for snubbing her for Arrival.
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Jan 28, 2019 5:09:20 GMT
Hawke's performance at least got noticed and received great acclaim. which is the point. The critics' opinions don't mean squat this year, evidenced from the fact that Hawke dominated with the critics and for that matter so did Colette and both of them still missed all the precursors but also because the precursors have all championed critically ambiguous films like Green Book, Vice and Bohemian Rhapsody. Does it really matter who won any of the critcs' awards at this point? King looked like the frontrunner two months ago with a host of wins under her belt but she's only lost ground with the major ceremonies with snubs at BAFTA and SAG.
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Post by ingmarhepburn on Jan 28, 2019 5:24:13 GMT
Hawke's performance at least got noticed and received great acclaim. which is the point. The critics' opinions don't mean squat this year, evidenced from the fact that Hawke dominated with the critics and for that matter so did Colette and both of them still missed all the precursors but also because the precursors have all championed critically ambiguous films like Green Book, Vice and Bohemian Rhapsody. Does it really matter who won any of the critcs' awards at this point? King looked like the frontrunner two months ago with a host of wins under her belt but she's only lost ground with the major ceremonies with snubs at BAFTA and SAG. I see your point, and it makes sense, but I still think Adams isn't winning I'm just not sure if looking at just the main precursors (while ignoring every other awards body, including those of the critics) is the wisest thing. King was snubbed by both SAG and BAFTA, but she also won the Golden Globe. We're in for a very exciting race. Of all the six major categories (picture, director and acting), only Director and Supporting Actor seem locked at this point. Close and Malek got a very strong boost tonight, but Bale and Colman still might upset. Let's see what the BAFTAs will tell us.
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Post by Johnny_Hellzapoppin on Jan 28, 2019 8:32:44 GMT
I just have this feeling A Star is Born will hit here nope Genuinely delighted to be wrong!!
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Post by wilcinema on Jan 28, 2019 9:02:28 GMT
EMILYYYYYYYYYY
GLENNIEEEEEEEEEEEEE
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Post by jimmalone on Jan 28, 2019 9:18:02 GMT
So the key fact is that this is a setback for BlacKkKlansman in the Best Picture race. If it would have won here, it would have shown that there is more love to this movie. Well, this still could certainly be, but you would expect that at this point it then would have won anything somewhere. I wouldn't totally write it off, cause it has got all the important nominations at the Oscars themselves and I think it's a movie many people like, but it still looks third behind Roma and Green Book at this point.
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Post by Johnny_Hellzapoppin on Jan 28, 2019 12:24:23 GMT
Darren Criss again? i wonder how great he is in that tv movie He's mostly terrible.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 28, 2019 13:26:53 GMT
By the way, how hot does Angela look at 60? Did you see Jodie Foster and Bassett hug and tell each other how much they loved each other on stage? It was so sweet. And speaking of sweet, how adorable has Gary Oldman been presenting Glenn Close with all of her awards this year? He kneeled to her this time!
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Jan 28, 2019 15:30:30 GMT
Darren Criss again? i wonder how great he is in that tv movie He's mostly terrible. Counterpoint...he’s mostly really good.
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Post by moonman157 on Jan 28, 2019 15:44:47 GMT
fuckin' lol @ Mahershali Ali's acceptance speech last night. He looks pretty depressed to have to still be touring Green Book.
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Jan 28, 2019 16:49:26 GMT
fuckin' lol @ Mahershali Ali's acceptance speech last night. He looks pretty depressed to have to still be touring Green Book. He’s probably just tired of all the bs questions he has to keep answering over and over. I’m sure he doesn’t regret making the movie or have any negative feeling about it.
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Post by Billy_Costigan on Jan 28, 2019 16:57:22 GMT
On a sidenote, it's so sad that Adams was hailed as the frontrunner the whole year and she can't even win in a King-less field And I don't think The Woman In The Window will be her Oscar-ticket this year... It's a nothing role and she doesn't do much. I'm not surprised that people didn't think she was worthy of a win (though there's always the overdue factor). She'll win soon enough.
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Post by moonman157 on Jan 28, 2019 17:25:37 GMT
fuckin' lol @ Mahershali Ali's acceptance speech last night. He looks pretty depressed to have to still be touring Green Book. He’s probably just tired of all the bs questions he has to keep answering over and over. I’m sure he doesn’t regret making the movie or have any negative feeling about it. He should deeply regret it.
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Post by stabcaesar on Jan 28, 2019 17:59:34 GMT
What's the last time a foreign language, black and white, slow cinema (wannabe) movie with zero recognizable actors won Best Picture? Refresh my memory. Before last year and the year before, what's the last time a fantasy film featuring bestiality or an indie about a gay black man with zero recognisable actors won? Roma hits all the right social commentary cues even more than The Shape of Water did. All the men in Roma are total assholes and it's from MEXICO for god's sake.
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Jan 28, 2019 18:12:11 GMT
He’s probably just tired of all the bs questions he has to keep answering over and over. I’m sure he doesn’t regret making the movie or have any negative feeling about it. He should deeply regret it. Yes I’m sure he’s going to hate having a second Oscar on his mantle.
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