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Post by mrimpossible on Jan 28, 2019 3:27:12 GMT
The fact that people are still claiming a movie that missed a director nod is winning just 'cause the obvious frontrunner doesn't fit the usual Oscar bait mold is still a puzzle to me. Green Book has literally half the Oscar nods Roma has and it missed the second most important category after BP, this is not winning. It just isn't. It won PGA and GG. It’s obviously a threat. Also it’s bouncing back at the box office and Bohemian Rhapsody controversy is making Green Book’s fade away. |
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Post by pacinoyes on Jan 28, 2019 3:28:02 GMT
How do people think Roma isn't getting top 3 of every ballot now? I like Green Book and think it has a slim chance - nothing else does - not Blackkklansman, and not The Favourite but it's starting to become Roma more apparent daily now..
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Post by moonman157 on Jan 28, 2019 3:33:03 GMT
The fact that people are still claiming a movie that missed a director nod is winning just 'cause the obvious frontrunner doesn't fit the usual Oscar bait mold is still a puzzle to me. Green Book has literally half the Oscar nods Roma has and it missed the second most important category after BP, this is not winning. It just isn't. In the last 38 years more movies have won Best Picture without a Best Director nomination than movies that have won Best Picture without a Best Editing nomination. |
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Post by bob-coppola on Jan 28, 2019 3:35:47 GMT
stephen mrimpossible moonman157 I'm not saying Green Book is some irrelevant movie that's making no noise. It's going to win at least one acting prize, and people love Ali. But if we stop looking at other awards bodies and focus on what AMPAS has shown us so far, it's clear they like Roma more than they like Green Book. As of lately, one movie won without an editing nod (Birdman) and one won without a BD nod (Argo). Birdman's editing snub is probably due to the "seamless" editing, just like Roma's editing isn't flashy at all. Argo won after the BD snub mostly because people were really, really upset that Affleck was snubbed. This kind of commotion isn't happening with Farrely. On contrary, there's been a lot of celebration over the fact both Lanthimos and Pawlikowski made it over him. GG and PGA are important prizes, but they're not the same people who vote for the Oscar.
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Post by quetee on Jan 28, 2019 3:37:09 GMT
Well, I guess I'm gonna have to be wrong in the best picture category this year cause I'm still saying no on Roma. That's okay, I've been right about other things such as Black Panther and the First Man shut out that I'm okay with being wrong. LMAO!!!
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morton
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Post by morton on Jan 28, 2019 3:37:38 GMT
The fact that people are still claiming a movie that missed a director nod is winning just 'cause the obvious frontrunner doesn't fit the usual Oscar bait mold is still a puzzle to me. Green Book has literally half the Oscar nods Roma has and it missed the second most important category after BP, this is not winning. It just isn't. could still win even with the Director snub . . . but people are overlooking that Roma got a lot of support across almost every single branch it was eligible for, including two acting nominations (one a complete newbie, while the other is a very obscure actress with zero precursor attention). They have been out in force campaigning hard for this film. I still don't know about Green Book vs. Roma, but does anyone else feel now Marina de Tavira can surprise in Supporting Actress. It will probably be King, but if they really love Roma, I think de Tevira could win since Supporting Actress is a split race. |
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Jan 28, 2019 3:38:36 GMT
The fact that people are still claiming a movie that missed a director nod is winning just 'cause the obvious frontrunner doesn't fit the usual Oscar bait mold is still a puzzle to me. Green Book has literally half the Oscar nods Roma has and it missed the second most important category after BP, this is not winning. It just isn't. In the last 38 years more movies have won Best Picture without a Best Director nomination than movies that have won Best Picture without a Best Editing nomination. What about in the last 39 years? |
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Post by bruinjoe96 on Jan 28, 2019 3:39:11 GMT
I could just see it. Green Book wins Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay, and then surprises us with a shocking editing win. Then even more shocker it wins Best Picture.
There's a good chance Green Book wins 4 Oscars on Oscar Sunday.
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Post by bob-coppola on Jan 28, 2019 3:39:45 GMT
Green Book could still win even with the Director snub . . . but people are overlooking that Roma got a lot of support across almost every single branch it was eligible for, including two acting nominations (one a complete newbie, while the other is a very obscure actress with zero precursor attention). They have been out in force campaigning hard for this film. I still don't know about Green Book vs. Roma, but does anyone else feel now Marina de Tavira can surprise in Supporting Actress. It will probably be King, but if they really love Roma, I think de Tevira could win since Supporting Actress is a split race. I think Weisz is the dark horse if King has to lose, but I wouldn't be surprised if de Tavira actually won. I think BSA is really messy and unpredictable as of now. |
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Post by moonman157 on Jan 28, 2019 3:41:51 GMT
stephen mrimpossible moonman157 I'm not saying Green Book is some irrelevant movie that's making no noise. It's going to win at least one acting prize, and people love Ali. But if we stop looking at other awards bodies and focus on what AMPAS has shown us so far, it's clear they like Roma more than they like Green Book. As of lately, one movie won without an editing nod (Birdman) and one won without a BD nod (Argo). Birdman's editing snub is probably due to the "seamless" editing, just like Roma's editing isn't flashy at all. Argo won after the BD snub mostly because people were really, really upset that Affleck was snubbed. This kind of commotion isn't happening with Farrely. On contrary, there's been a lot of celebration over the fact both Lanthimos and Pawlikowski made it over him. GG and PGA are important prizes, but they're not the same people who vote for the Oscar. I think Roma can win but I also think you're undervaluing the makeup of the Academy. If they give Roma Best Foreign and Best Director, as they very likely will do, they might feel they've done enough for Cuaron and go with their natural inclination which is towards Green Book. The Academy is largely made up of white boomers. Green Book is a movie tailor made for their sensibilities. If they go with Roma for Best Picture I'm not going to be shocked because of how well it's done so far but I think you're dearly underestimating the type of voters that make up the Academy. |
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Post by quetee on Jan 28, 2019 3:42:35 GMT
By the way, how hot does Angela look at 60?  |
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Post by bob-coppola on Jan 28, 2019 3:42:40 GMT
On a sidenote, it's so sad that Adams was hailed as the frontrunner the whole year and she can't even win in a King-less field  And I don't think The Woman In The Window will be her Oscar-ticket this year... |
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Post by quetee on Jan 28, 2019 3:46:15 GMT
On a sidenote, it's so sad that Adams was hailed as the frontrunner the whole year and she can't even win in a King-less field And I don't think The Woman In The Window will be her Oscar-ticket this year... Well, that happens every year with her because people don't look at the other competition. I knew when I saw the trailer with Arquette that she would win the Emmy. It was obvious. I like Amy, but like I said earlier, I would have rather she got snubbed then get yet another nod and then go home empty handled. |
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Jan 28, 2019 3:49:43 GMT
On a sidenote, it's so sad that Adams was hailed as the frontrunner the whole year and she can't even win in a King-less field And I don't think The Woman In The Window will be her Oscar-ticket this year... well SAG just loves Blunt. Adams is still the frontrunner and AMPAS inexplicably loved her awful movie. |
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Post by bruinjoe96 on Jan 28, 2019 3:50:49 GMT
On a sidenote, it's so sad that Adams was hailed as the frontrunner the whole year and she can't even win in a King-less field And I don't think The Woman In The Window will be her Oscar-ticket this year... well SAG just loves Blunt. Adams is still the frontrunner and AMPAS inexplicably loved her awful movie. True, but they also loved The Favourite. 10 nominations including double nominations in the supporting actress. |
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Post by stabcaesar on Jan 28, 2019 3:52:53 GMT
On a sidenote, it's so sad that Adams was hailed as the frontrunner the whole year and she can't even win in a King-less field And I don't think The Woman In The Window will be her Oscar-ticket this year... Yeah I don’t think The Woman in the Window would be her vehicle at all. It sounds so The Girl on the Train 2.0. |
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Post by quetee on Jan 28, 2019 3:53:54 GMT
On a sidenote, it's so sad that Adams was hailed as the frontrunner the whole year and she can't even win in a King-less field And I don't think The Woman In The Window will be her Oscar-ticket this year... well SAG just loves Blunt. Adams is still the frontrunner and AMPAS inexplicably loved her awful movie. How is Amy the frontrunner? If they go ahead and give Close the Oscar over Colman, I can see them making up for it by giving Oscar to one of the supporting actresses from the Favourite and Rachel appears to be it. |
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Post by ingmarhepburn on Jan 28, 2019 3:54:19 GMT
On a sidenote, it's so sad that Adams was hailed as the frontrunner the whole year and she can't even win in a King-less field And I don't think The Woman In The Window will be her Oscar-ticket this year... I never believed Adams would win the Oscar, and I still don't. King was being campaigned as overdue long before the nominations were announced ( link), and when she started sweeping the critics awards it became clear she was the frontrunner. I honestly don't think the SAG or BAFTA snubs will hurt her chances much in the end. |
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Post by DeepArcher on Jan 28, 2019 3:57:06 GMT
Adams is still the frontrunner Lmao. I'm baffled that people were saying this before SAG and even more so now. Regardless of her overdue narrative (which I don't think is that strong to begin with -- she still has time), she's not winning for an insignificant performance that no one is talking about and that hasn't been awarded at all throughout the entire season. For now, the Oscar is still King's to lose. |
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Post by bob-coppola on Jan 28, 2019 3:57:11 GMT
On a sidenote, it's so sad that Adams was hailed as the frontrunner the whole year and she can't even win in a King-less field And I don't think The Woman In The Window will be her Oscar-ticket this year... Yeah I don’t think The Woman in the Window would be her vehicle at all. It sounds so The Girl on the Train 2.0. I have hopes that it'll be better than TGOTT because Wright is a much superior filmmaker than Tate Taylor and I think the original novel is a bit smarter, but yeah... I don't think she's winning for a pulpy thriller (and I'm a sucker for those). |
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Post by quetee on Jan 28, 2019 4:00:29 GMT
Adams is still the frontrunner Lmao. I'm baffled that people were saying this before SAG and even more so now. Regardless of her overdue narrative (which I don't think is that strong to being with -- she still has time), she's not winning for an insignificant performance that no one is talking about and that hasn't been awarded at all throughout the entire season. For now, the Oscar is still King's to lose. Unfortunately, I think the lack of BP nod hurts her big time. |
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Jan 28, 2019 4:05:38 GMT
Lmao. I'm baffled that people were saying this before SAG and even more so now. Regardless of her overdue narrative (which I don't think is that strong to being with -- she still has time), she's not winning for an insignificant performance that no one is talking about and that hasn't been awarded at all throughout the entire season. For now, the Oscar is still King's to lose. Unfortunately, I think the lack of BP nod hurts her big time. agreed. Beale Street has struggled at all the procurers and King with it. I think Weisz of King has a better chance at BAFTA but I'm still betting on Adams for the Oscar. It's an insignificant and forgettable performance sure but that hasn't stopped them before, and they loved Vice. She was considered the frontrunner before SAG it doesn't make sense to just write her off after a loss to Blunt when SAG snubbed King even harder. |
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Post by Brother Fease on Jan 28, 2019 4:06:26 GMT
On a sidenote, it's so sad that Adams was hailed as the frontrunner the whole year and she can't even win in a King-less field And I don't think The Woman In The Window will be her Oscar-ticket this year... Funny, we said the same thing about Mark Rylance. Couldn't beat out Idris Elba at the SAGs, how can he beat out old Sly? |
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Post by DeepArcher on Jan 28, 2019 4:06:27 GMT
Unfortunately, I think the lack of BP nod hurts her big time. I'm not saying it'll be a cake walk for her -- far from it -- but even with Beale Street's Best Picture snub and her missing out at both SAG and BAFTA, she has less working against her than any of her fellow nominees. |
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Post by Brother Fease on Jan 28, 2019 4:10:51 GMT
The fact that people are still claiming a movie that missed a director nod is winning just 'cause the obvious frontrunner doesn't fit the usual Oscar bait mold is still a puzzle to me. Green Book has literally half the Oscar nods Roma has and it missed the second most important category after BP, this is not winning. It just isn't. It won PGA and GG. It’s obviously a threat. Also it’s bouncing back at the box office and Bohemian Rhapsody controversy is making Green Book’s fade away. Deadline recently came out with an article about Green Book. It basically uses audio tapes of Tony and Doc, and how the events in the film actually happened. GB and Roma are in the same position. Both are missing a critical Guild nomination AND Oscar nomination. |
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And I don't think The Woman In The Window will be her Oscar-ticket this year...
