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Post by pacinoyes on Sept 21, 2023 13:20:05 GMT
It's sort of funny to me how Gladstone in the reviews went from being marginalized in the movie which many people said initially may be another "0 for 10 nominations" Scorsese pic to somehow being arguably the lead winner for Best Actress Said this before - and as far as I know I'm the only person who knows somebody who saw this movie and who tells me this: It's a picture about the men with a vaguely unsatisfying ending (his opinion) and that ends multiple times and Gladstone doesn't have an "Oscar" scene either.......not buying a win unless she wins precursors......so maybe I should say not buying it on 9/21 anyway
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Post by stephen on Sept 21, 2023 13:30:37 GMT
It's sort of funny to me how Gladstone in the reviews went from being marginalized in the movie which many people said initially may be another "0 for 10 nominations" Scorsese pic to somehow being arguably the lead winner for Best Actress Said this before - and as far as I know I'm the only person who knows somebody who saw this movie and who tells me this:It's a picture about the men with a vaguely unsatisfying ending (his opinion) and that ends multiple times and Gladstone doesn't have an "Oscar" scene either.......not buying a win unless she wins precursors......so maybe I should say not buying it on 9/21 anyway There's at least one poster here who saw the film at Cannes.
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Post by michael128 on Sept 21, 2023 13:57:44 GMT
Will anybody even be allowed to campaign? Will there even be award shows? would there even be a point if they could? considering queen beyonce won’t be around this year What you mean? Echoville is COMING
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Post by Pavan on Sept 21, 2023 17:54:52 GMT
Are we looking at another Yeoh vs Blanchett type race?
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Sept 21, 2023 21:44:13 GMT
Gladstone Stone Barrino Hüller Mulligan (assuming she stays lead)
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SZilla
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Post by SZilla on Sept 22, 2023 0:17:34 GMT
I’m not so confident in Huller. She feels like she could go the way of Renate Reinsve…
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Post by mhynson27 on Sept 22, 2023 0:31:44 GMT
I’m not so confident in Huller. She feels like she could go the way of Renate Reinsve… She already has an advantage over Reinsve with her film being an overall bigger contender than TWPITW ever was.
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Post by JangoB on Sept 25, 2023 10:58:08 GMT
Do you think we might be overconfident in Barrino? Sight unseen, of course. She's been included in pretty much all predictions for months now but what if she falls by the wayside, especially with Gladstone potentially stealing all the "breakthrough" hype?
And maybe we're underestimating Bening a bit too. There's usually at least one nominee from a totally mid movie and Bening fits the spot rather nicely with her also being a veteran and the role requiring a lot of physical preparation (which I bet they'll milk during the campaign). I can easily imagine a lineup like this:
- Stone - Hüller - Mulligan - Gladstone - Bening
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Post by stephen on Sept 26, 2023 14:29:29 GMT
Do you think we might be overconfident in Barrino? Sight unseen, of course. She's been included in pretty much all predictions for months now but what if she falls by the wayside, especially with Gladstone potentially stealing all the "breakthrough" hype? Barrino got rapturous raves from her time on Broadway in the role (some even saying she was the best Celie on stage, and that's saying something), and it's poised to be a late-breaker that can benefit from a well-timed emotional punch just as voting commences. Plus it's likely that Brooks and Henson are getting supporting nominations, and the role of Celie has gotten an actress a nomination before. The material is there, Barrino has performed it on stage to acclaim, and really all it needs is to not be a Cats-level misfire of a film for it to do at least moderately well because of the sort of movie it is. Now, do I think she's winning? Probably not, unless she completely blows the hinges off the door and there isn't a level consensus building for any of the other candidates by that point. But Stone and Gladstone are in extremely good positions to take the win as it is right now, and it will be hard for anyone to eclipse them, especially if we're right about both of them being in top five contenders (if not top three). Barrino needs the film to be overall strong, not just her. This is a rare case where Best Actress is looking to be directly correlated to Best Picture, and the stronger the film, the stronger the actress's chances. Bening is still very much in it but Netflix is going to prioritize Mulligan for sure, and Portman's film already has stronger critical notices and she's a prior winner. Plus there's already some controversy brewing about the real Diana Nyad potentially fudging her stats, which could come back to haunt them if it picks up momentum. And on top of that, Nyad really didn't light the world on fire at TIFF, and even if Bening and Foster both got good notices, they're against competitors with stronger films. And I gotta say, I just don't think the Academy really cares that Annette Bening doesn't have an Oscar. There's no real urgency there. Bening could resurge but I think Mulligan's where they're going to put their efforts.
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Post by TylerDeneuve on Sept 26, 2023 22:58:41 GMT
JangoB - I'm currently predicting Bening for a nomination, but it's hard to know for sure until the precursor season helps to shape the strongest players. She hasn't been nominated in a while, and Oscar does sometimes "move on" from former favorites. Consider her being passed over for nominations for two very strong plays/excellent performances in 20th Century Women and Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool... Barrino is definitely an untested actress, and comparisons to Whoopi Goldberg's beloved performance are inevitable - the only thing I've ever seen Fantasia "act" in was when she played herself in her own Lifetime biopic, and it was... not good. But apparently her Broadway notices for The Color Purple were warm? I'm really not sure... "I'm Here" might be enough on its own to secure her a nomination (it's a real show-stopper... think Jennifer Hudson/ Dreamgirls/"I'm Telling You"), but this is a really strong year for the category.
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Post by wilcinema on Oct 2, 2023 16:28:33 GMT
With the raves May December is getting at NYFF, I think Portman has a chance to get in, definitely more so than Bening.
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Post by stephen on Oct 2, 2023 16:37:25 GMT
With the raves May December is getting at NYFF, I think Portman has a chance to get in, definitely more so than Bening. Annette Bening on Natalie Portman: Natalie Portman on Emma Stone:
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speeders
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Post by speeders on Oct 2, 2023 16:43:41 GMT
With the raves May December is getting at NYFF, I think Portman has a chance to get in, definitely more so than Bening. I've personally thought people on this board have been way too quick to dismiss MD (yes, it could miss, but so in theory can every contender...) and have been predicting her. I saw it last night and to me she looks like an even stronger contender than I thought. It's such an acting showcase for her, she also has the benefits of playing an actor and I think it will absolutely be catnip to the acting branch and SAG, and it feels like GG friendly affair as well.
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Post by mhynson27 on Oct 3, 2023 7:26:38 GMT
I'd be all for it. May just be my favourite performance from her.
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Oct 3, 2023 14:23:48 GMT
I’ll be rooting for a Portman nom.
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Oct 3, 2023 19:25:24 GMT
Apple is being smart and I think they will focus their campaign around Gladstone.
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Post by stephen on Oct 3, 2023 19:41:07 GMT
Apple is being smart and I think they will focus their campaign around Gladstone. As they should.
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Post by TylerDeneuve on Oct 23, 2023 2:25:23 GMT
So... is this the year of Josh Ryder?
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Oct 23, 2023 2:27:10 GMT
So... is this the year of Josh Ryder? Looks like a Wes Anderson movie
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Post by Brother Fease on Oct 23, 2023 22:34:26 GMT
I saw this segment. For those who do not want to watch the entire 29 minutes, here's a recap:
Scott Mantz (film critic and SAG voting member), really really loves Annette Bening and ranked her in the #1 spot. He thinks she should win and very high on Nyad. But at the same time, he doesn't think Gladstone delivered an Oscar-worthy performance and considers her to be supporting. Jeff Sneider, who also loved Bening's performance and the film, ranked Bening in his top 5. Sneider feels like Robbie will get the Tom Cruise treatment and will only get producing. They ended up going with Stone, Mulligan, Bening, Robbie and Gladstone.
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Post by MsMovieStar on Oct 24, 2023 7:23:52 GMT
Oh honeys, I'm sure it's gonna be me!
My TikTok's are getting so many views.
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Post by Billy_Costigan on Oct 24, 2023 18:15:58 GMT
1. Stone* 2. Gladstone 3. Mulligan 4. Portman 5. Benning
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Post by RiverleavesElmius on Oct 24, 2023 19:57:40 GMT
I wasn't sure in July, but at this point, when both BARBIE in BP and Gerwig in BD seem like locks, imo, I'm amazed anyone is keeping Robbie out of their Actress predictions.
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Post by mhynson27 on Oct 24, 2023 20:08:52 GMT
I wasn't sure in July, but at this point, when both BARBIE in BP and Gerwig in BD seem like locks, imo, I'm amazed anyone is keeping Robbie out of their Actress predictions. Probably because this isn't true. She's Top 7, but the only 'locks' this far out are Nolan, Scorsese and Lanthimos.
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Oct 24, 2023 20:16:45 GMT
I wasn't sure in July, but at this point, when both BARBIE in BP and Gerwig in BD seem like locks, imo, I'm amazed anyone is keeping Robbie out of their Actress predictions. I think both Gerwig and Robbie miss
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