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Post by stephen on Aug 25, 2021 17:00:29 GMT
Historically this has always been my least favorite acting category because it always feels like the dumping ground of coattails and category frauds, and that the truly interesting and fascinating supporting actress performances of a given year are largely overlooked. But there are some promising candidates this year.
Caitriona Balfe, Belfast Cate Blanchett, Nightmare Alley Jessie Buckley, The Lost Daughter Toni Collette, Nightmare Alley Ariana DeBose, West Side Story Judi Dench, Belfast Ann Dowd, Mass Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog Rebecca Ferguson, Dune Jayne Houdyshell, The Humans Dakota Johnson, The Lost Daughter Marlee Matlin, CODA Rooney Mara, Nightmare Alley Ruth Negga, Passing Martha Plimpton, Mass Meryl Streep, Don't Look Up Anya Taylor-Joy, Last Night in Soho
Plus there's rumors of McDormand running supporting for The Tragedy of Macbeth and there's always at least someone who pulls a category fraud run (Lawrence?), but these look like a solid roster at this stage.
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Post by quetee on Aug 25, 2021 17:06:09 GMT
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Post by michael128 on Aug 25, 2021 17:42:02 GMT
JUSTICE FOR ANN DOWD. I will never forget her heartbreaking campaign for Compliance. The sheer determination was Oscar worthy in itself and I hope she has the opportunity to play herself in it at one point.
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Post by Deleted on Aug 25, 2021 17:49:43 GMT
Toni Collette, Nightmare Alley Ann Dowd, Mass Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog Ruth Negga, Passing Martha Plimpton, Mass
I'd throw Dakota Johnson for The Lost Daughter in the mix, as well.
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Post by stephen on Aug 25, 2021 18:02:48 GMT
Toni Collette, Nightmare AlleyAnn Dowd, MassKirsten Dunst, The Power of the DogRuth Negga, PassingMartha Plimpton, MassI'd throw Dakota Johnson for The Lost Daughter in the mix, as well .I feel like I'd be a lot more confident in Mass if it weren't Bleecker Street. I mean, they're not exactly Magnolia, but they're not exactly SPC or Searchlight. I feel like the performances are (from the reviews) strong enough to stand out, but Bleecker Street is also faced with possible vote-splitting in what is a tough field for both categories. They have to go all out for it. I think they could, but I also wonder if they'll sacrifice one of their horses here (probably Plimpton) for the other (Dowd, who is on a hot streak the last decade). The more that I think about it, the more I get the vibe that Ruth Negga is the one to beat. The role is insanely baity, large enough that it could be conceived as a possible co-lead, she's got the material, Netflix has broken the glass ceiling in this category before, and she's a prior nominee. The only thing that remains to be seen is if Netflix will prioritize it. But right now, I'd put her in the pole position.
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Post by finniussnrub on Aug 25, 2021 18:57:33 GMT
Based on the 47 film, Blanchett I'd say has the baiteiest role in Nightmare Alley out of the ladies.
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Post by pacinoyes on Aug 25, 2021 19:00:26 GMT
Based on the 47 film, Blanchett I'd say has the baiteiest role in Nightmare Alley out of the ladies. ............and based on the book it's even baitier.........and sexier /evil-er ........the 47 movie softens her .......it's a tremendous role
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Post by stephen on Aug 25, 2021 19:10:01 GMT
Based on the 47 film, Blanchett I'd say has the baiteiest role in Nightmare Alley out of the ladies. I'd heard she was running as a possible lead.
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Post by finniussnrub on Aug 25, 2021 19:17:31 GMT
Based on the 47 film, Blanchett I'd say has the baiteiest role in Nightmare Alley out of the ladies. I'd heard she was running as a possible lead. Again, just based on the 47 film, Power was clearly the sole lead so I imagine that's the case for Cooper, baring a major rewrite of course.
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Post by Deleted on Aug 25, 2021 19:44:09 GMT
Based on the 47 film, Blanchett I'd say has the baiteiest role in Nightmare Alley out of the ladies. I went with Collette in my predictions simply because Joan Blondell registered the most in the original.
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Post by stephen on Aug 25, 2021 20:05:09 GMT
I'd heard she was running as a possible lead. Again, just based on the 47 film, Power was clearly the sole lead so I imagine that's the case for Cooper, baring a major rewrite of course. Oh, I'm sure, but with so many big names in that category and with it being an assumed heavy contender, I figured they'd want to try to maximize their nomination count and she'd be the only one who really could conceivably go lead from those actresses. But sure, I'll add her here just to cover all bases.
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Post by pacinoyes on Aug 25, 2021 20:21:53 GMT
Blanchett vs Blondell '47 is going to be shocking to people who haven't read the book I reckon .....like there won't be anything in this new script that isn't in the book ............and there's a lot missing from the book in the '47 film...... Really everyone should read Nightmare Alley and Power of the Dog - you could read them in a week....both of 'em.
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Post by mhynson27 on Aug 25, 2021 23:40:12 GMT
Toni Collette, Nightmare AlleyAnn Dowd, MassKirsten Dunst, The Power of the DogRuth Negga, PassingMartha Plimpton, MassI'd throw Dakota Johnson for The Lost Daughter in the mix, as well .I'm still not feeling Mass as a contender in any category tbh. Also, I've heard that Buckley is the supporting standout of The Lost Daughter, not Johnson.
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Post by mhynson27 on Aug 25, 2021 23:42:18 GMT
If the rumours about Blanchett and McDormand are true:
Balfe Dunst Matlin McDormand Negga
Buckley Collette Houdyshell Mara Streep
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Post by Deleted on Aug 26, 2021 15:25:51 GMT
Let's replace Plimpton with Caitriona Balfe in Belfast in my original predictions.
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Post by TheAlwaysClassy on Aug 28, 2021 14:40:33 GMT
Dunst, Power of the Dog McDormand, Tragedy of Macbeth Dowd, Mass Negga, Passing Marlin, CODA
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Post by hugobolso on Aug 30, 2021 18:23:48 GMT
My current winner is right now Thompson for Cruella. Trully I never seen any of these movies, and what's worse never heard of half of these movies.- Any way McDormand is Leading not supporting.-
I have no idea of this year, I predict Samantha Morton and/or Sadie Sink for the Whale.-
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Post by mhynson27 on Aug 30, 2021 23:12:57 GMT
My current winner is right now Thompson for Cruella. Trully I never seen any of these movies, and what's worse never heard of half of these movies.- Any way McDormand is Leading not supporting.- I have no idea of this year, I predict Samantha Morton and/or Sadie Sink for the Whale.- Not even coming out this year.
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Post by pacinoyes on Sept 12, 2021 19:52:17 GMT
The Humans has screened today -seeing lots of buzz / glowing notices for Houdyshell who won the Tony for this role - could do a Tony / Oscar 1-2 punch - this category is wide open for the taking. Reviews soon to follow I reckon......... Because doing theater.....matters...........well sometimes anyway.........: The acting is uniformly superb, with all the performers plumbing subtle depths and displaying a convincing familial chemistry. Jenkins brings a heartbreaking pathos and a tense restlessness to his role as the patriarch who’s worked all his life only to find that his efforts have largely gone for naught. Feldstein and Yeun convincingly convey the eager excitement of a couple starting their life together in a new home, even while they’re aware that the setting is less than ideal. Schumer displays a tart, comic edginess as the sister coping with life crises, and Squibb allows us haunting glimpses of the woman Momo once was. But it’s Houdyshell, the sole holdover from the original stage cast, who gives the film its beating, vulnerable heart. One of our most invaluable theater actresses, she’s too rarely been given the opportunity to truly shine in film, and she seizes this opportunity and runs away with it.
www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-reviews/the-humans-toronto-2021-1235010730/
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Post by Mattsby on Sept 15, 2021 18:06:29 GMT
like putting hats on beds in superstitious rooms, my predix:
Judi Dench, Belfast McDormand-Macbeth AND/OR Blanchett-Nightmare Alley (depending on campaigns) Haley Bennett, Cyrano Meryl Streep, Don’t Look Up Maya Rudolph, Licorice Pizza (if she's playing that rumored agent character)
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Post by avnermoriarti on Sept 15, 2021 18:42:01 GMT
I love the way she pronounces CANN
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Post by DanQuixote on Sept 16, 2021 12:15:58 GMT
1. Caitriona Balfe, Belfast 2. Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog 3. Aunjanue Ellis, King Richard 4. Marlee Matlin, CODA 5. Meryl Streep, Don’t Look Up 6. Judi Dench, Belfast 7. Ariana DeBose, West Side Story 8. Rooney Mara, Nightmare Alley 9. Jayne Houdyshell, The Humans 10. Jessie Buckley, The Lost Daughter
If they end up pushing McDormand or Blanchett here, I’ll reasses.
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Post by stephen on Sept 16, 2021 12:26:03 GMT
1. Caitriona Balfe, Belfast 2. Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog 3. Aunjanue Ellis, King Richard 4. Marlee Matlin, CODA 5. Meryl Streep, Don’t Look Up 6. Judi Dench, Belfast 7. Ariana DeBose, West Side Story 8. Rooney Mara, Nightmare Alley 9. Jayne Houdyshell, The Humans 10. Jessie Buckley, The Lost Daughter If they end up pushing McDormand or Blanchett here, I’ll reasses.
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Post by wilcinema on Sept 16, 2021 12:51:58 GMT
The fun fact about this is that Negga has a winning role, not just a nomination role. Very surprised by the lack of buzz around her.
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Post by stephen on Sept 16, 2021 12:58:39 GMT
The fun fact about this is that Negga has a winning role, not just a nomination role. Very surprised by the lack of buzz around her. It really depends on how Netflix wants to prioritize her, but yeah. The reviews are there, she's arguably co-lead, she's a prior nominee who was able to garner enough passion to get a lone nomination in a competitive year for Best Actress, the role is baity as fuck, and the material itself would appeal now more than ever. Negga's only hurdle is making sure that Netflix properly campaigns her film, but honestly, she's win-competitive if they do.
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