|
|
Post by wilcinema on Sept 16, 2021 13:24:19 GMT
I hope it’s because they’re prioritizing The Power of The Dog right now, but they’d miss out on an easy nomination if they didn’t push Negga. I haven’t seen the movie but the role is topical in the book.
|
|
|
|
Post by pacinoyes on Sept 16, 2021 13:44:34 GMT
I wonder if we are all sleeping on Haim and Hayek at the expense of endless discussions of Cooper or Safdie and Leto vs. Pacino vs. if Driver can go Supporting (which I doubt he can)........
|
|
|
|
Post by wilcinema on Sept 16, 2021 14:12:26 GMT
I wonder if we are all sleeping on Haim and Hayek at the expense of endless discussions of Cooper or Safdie and Leto vs. Pacino vs. if Driver can go Supporting (which I doubt he can)........ Point is we don’t know the size of Cooper’s role in the PTA. It’s easier to gauge Hayek’s chances as she plays a real life character who also has an active role in that story. I don’t think Gucci will score lead nominations, the supporting actors could be more lucky, and Hayek is basically the only female supporting character in that movie who could get a nomination. That movie is still an enigma though, it might easily be just a SAG thing. |
|
|
|
Post by pacinoyes on Sept 16, 2021 16:10:59 GMT
I wonder if we are all sleeping on Haim and Hayek at the expense of endless discussions of Cooper or Safdie and Leto vs. Pacino vs. if Driver can go Supporting (which I doubt he can)........ Point is we don’t know the size of Cooper’s role in the PTA. It’s easier to gauge Hayek’s chances as she plays a real life character who also has an active role in that story. I don’t think Gucci will score lead nominations, the supporting actors could be more lucky, and Hayek is basically the only female supporting character in that movie who could get a nomination. That movie is still an enigma though, it might easily be just a SAG thing. No Gaga? That's a bold prediction my good man........tbh I fear her insane Madonna / Beyonce topping (sorry Michael, no offense) ways  .  |
|
|
|
Post by DanQuixote on Sept 16, 2021 18:42:48 GMT
1. Caitriona Balfe, Belfast 2. Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog 3. Aunjanue Ellis, King Richard 4. Marlee Matlin, CODA 5. Meryl Streep, Don’t Look Up 6. Judi Dench, Belfast 7. Ariana DeBose, West Side Story 8. Rooney Mara, Nightmare Alley 9. Jayne Houdyshell, The Humans 10. Jessie Buckley, The Lost Daughter If they end up pushing McDormand or Blanchett here, I’ll reasses.  She’s #11. I just don’t have the faith that Netflix will give her or the film the proper push. They already have Dunst, Streep and the The Lost Daughter women to push and their films have way more buzz. |
|
|
|
Post by franklin on Sept 16, 2021 23:03:04 GMT
Will Blanchett be Lead or Supporting?
After the teaser I can see them pushing her as some sort of co-lead.
|
|
|
|
Post by mhynson27 on Sept 17, 2021 0:20:11 GMT
Will Blanchett be Lead or Supporting? After the teaser I can see them pushing her as some sort of co-lead. The rumour has always been that she'll go lead. |
|
|
|
Post by mhynson27 on Sept 17, 2021 0:20:29 GMT
Point is we don’t know the size of Cooper’s role in the PTA. It’s easier to gauge Hayek’s chances as she plays a real life character who also has an active role in that story. I don’t think Gucci will score lead nominations, the supporting actors could be more lucky, and Hayek is basically the only female supporting character in that movie who could get a nomination. That movie is still an enigma though, it might easily be just a SAG thing. No Gaga? That's a bold prediction my good man........tbh I fear her insane Madonna / Beyonce topping (sorry Michael, no offense) ways . I mean I'm not predicting Gaga either... |
|
|
|
Post by mhynson27 on Oct 2, 2021 0:14:23 GMT
Well that's Comer done.
|
|
|
|
Post by mhynson27 on Oct 4, 2021 13:11:42 GMT
Balfe
Dunst
Ellis
Negga
Streep
|
|
|
|
Post by stephen on Oct 4, 2021 13:15:39 GMT
Balfe Dunst Ellis Negga Streep I feel like this is a very solid prediction for SAG, but I'm really thinking we're going to see one of the Lost Daughter duo score a nod, and I still can't count out Dowd now that she's looking to pull another Compliance campaign, except now she's a known quantity. Hot take: I'm starting to think Dunst might miss entirely. |
|
morton
Based
Posts: 2,811
Likes: 2,954
|
Post by morton on Oct 4, 2021 13:53:55 GMT
Balfe Dunst Ellis Negga Streep I feel like this is a very solid prediction for SAG, but I'm really thinking we're going to see one of the Lost Daughter duo score a nod, and I still can't count out Dowd now that she's looking to pull another Compliance campaign, except now she's a known quantity. Hot take: I'm starting to think Dunst might miss entirely. Even though this category doesn’t feel particularly competitive to me, I do doubt that Netflix can get 3 nominees here. Right now I think Streep will be the one to miss because she didn’t seem that funny to me in the latest clip, but I wouldn’t be surprised if actors just go wild for Don’t Look Up and Streep. Negga would seem to be the best bet to be left out just based on how strong her film will be overall compared to Dunst’s and Streep’s, but from what I’ve seen she has some of the best reviews, so I could see Dunst being the one to miss since I think most of the potential winners focus will be on Campion and then Cumberbatch. |
|
|
|
Post by quetee on Oct 4, 2021 14:32:54 GMT
I feel like this is a very solid prediction for SAG, but I'm really thinking we're going to see one of the Lost Daughter duo score a nod, and I still can't count out Dowd now that she's looking to pull another Compliance campaign, except now she's a known quantity. Hot take: I'm starting to think Dunst might miss entirely. Even though this category doesn’t feel particularly competitive to me, I do doubt that Netflix can get 3 nominees here. Right now I think Streep will be the one to miss because she didn’t seem that funny to me in the latest clip, but I wouldn’t be surprised if actors just go wild for Don’t Look Up and Streep. Negga would seem to be the best bet to be left out just based on how strong her film will be overall compared to Dunst’s and Streep’s, but from what I’ve seen she has some of the best reviews, so I could see Dunst being the one to miss since I think most of the potential winners focus will be on Campion and then Cumberbatch. This category just feels wide open to me. I'm not sold on anyone right now except for Balfe and that's just because of the TIFF win. |
|
|
|
Post by mhynson27 on Oct 4, 2021 22:13:47 GMT
Balfe Dunst Ellis Negga Streep I feel like this is a very solid prediction for SAG, but I'm really thinking we're going to see one of the Lost Daughter duo score a nod, and I still can't count out Dowd now that she's looking to pull another Compliance campaign, except now she's a known quantity. Hot take: I'm starting to think Dunst might miss entirely. I definitely think The Lost Daughter will be bigger than a lot of people think, so could absolutely see Johnson or Buckley get in. I still don't think Dowd or anything to do with Mass is going anywhere though. This board has such weird doubts in regards to The Power of the Dog. |
|
|
|
Post by stephen on Oct 4, 2021 22:20:51 GMT
I feel like this is a very solid prediction for SAG, but I'm really thinking we're going to see one of the Lost Daughter duo score a nod, and I still can't count out Dowd now that she's looking to pull another Compliance campaign, except now she's a known quantity. Hot take: I'm starting to think Dunst might miss entirely. I definitely think The Lost Daughter will be bigger than a lot of people think, so could absolutely see Johnson or Buckley get in. I still don't think Dowd or anything to do with Mass is going anywhere though. This board has such weird doubts in regards to The Power of the Dog. just screams "early frontrunner that loses steam as the season goes on" to me. And having seen the film, I don't think people's doubts on it are that weird. |
|
|
|
Post by mhynson27 on Oct 4, 2021 22:30:09 GMT
I definitely think The Lost Daughter will be bigger than a lot of people think, so could absolutely see Johnson or Buckley get in. I still don't think Dowd or anything to do with Mass is going anywhere though. This board has such weird doubts in regards to The Power of the Dog. just screams "early frontrunner that loses steam as the season goes on" to me. And having seen the film, I don't think people's doubts on it are that weird. I don't think it'll win BP, but I think it is comfortable Top 2-3. I feel like I bring it up ad nauseam, but the film is not just a critic juggernaut, but it is clearly more audience friendly than people give it credit for. Top 3 at TIFF, and won the Telluride People's Poll, which is actually a very important statistic. 8 noms min, lock it in. |
|
|
|
Post by stephen on Oct 4, 2021 22:40:46 GMT
The Power of the Dog just screams "early frontrunner that loses steam as the season goes on" to me. And having seen the film, I don't think people's doubts on it are that weird. I don't think it'll win BP, but I think it is comfortable Top 2-3. I feel like I bring it up ad nauseam, but the film is not just a critic juggernaut, but it is clearly more audience friendly than people give it credit for. Top 3 at TIFF, and won the Telluride People's Poll, which is actually a very important statistic. 8 noms min, lock it in. Look, man, I'm not out here saying it's going to get blanked. But Best Supporting Actress looks like a bloodbath this year. And I could absolutely see a scenario where she gets edged out as the season goes with contenders with louder, showier performances. Hell, we've got several films with multiple supporting ladies in contention as it is, and even if The Power of the Dog is Netflix's #1 priority this season (which I think could change as the season wears on, depending on the reception of other films they've got), that doesn't mean Dunst will be. I'm still predicting her, but I think if there's a shock snub this year (as there usually is of late when it comes to people expected to be early frontrunners), she fits that bill. She could easily get the Seyfried treatment, if nothing else. It's done well so far, but the season has barely begun. |
|
|
|
Post by mhynson27 on Oct 4, 2021 22:55:53 GMT
I don't think it'll win BP, but I think it is comfortable Top 2-3. I feel like I bring it up ad nauseam, but the film is not just a critic juggernaut, but it is clearly more audience friendly than people give it credit for. Top 3 at TIFF, and won the Telluride People's Poll, which is actually a very important statistic. 8 noms min, lock it in. Look, man, I'm not out here saying it's going to get blanked. But Best Supporting Actress looks like a bloodbath this year. And I could absolutely see a scenario where she gets edged out as the season goes with contenders with louder, showier performances. Hell, we've got several films with multiple supporting ladies in contention as it is, and even if The Power of the Dog is Netflix's #1 priority this season (which I think could change as the season wears on, depending on the reception of other films they've got), that doesn't mean Dunst will be. I'm still predicting her, but I think if there's a shock snub this year (as there usually is of late when it comes to people expected to be early frontrunners), she fits that bill. She could easily get the Seyfried treatment, if nothing else. It's done well so far, but the season has barely begun. Oh don't worry, compared to some people on here, you questioning a Dunst nom is pretty reasonable. I'm actually not predicting Dunst to win, and I'm not sure many people are. Seyfried is a decent comparison, and with that she would still get the nom. I just think the film is way too strong for someone like Dunst to not just get swept in along with Jane, Benedict, Kodi etc. I also wouldn't call the category a bloodbath, it actually feels kind of weak. |
|
|
|
Post by stephen on Oct 4, 2021 23:02:20 GMT
Look, man, I'm not out here saying it's going to get blanked. But Best Supporting Actress looks like a bloodbath this year. And I could absolutely see a scenario where she gets edged out as the season goes with contenders with louder, showier performances. Hell, we've got several films with multiple supporting ladies in contention as it is, and even if The Power of the Dog is Netflix's #1 priority this season (which I think could change as the season wears on, depending on the reception of other films they've got), that doesn't mean Dunst will be. I'm still predicting her, but I think if there's a shock snub this year (as there usually is of late when it comes to people expected to be early frontrunners), she fits that bill. She could easily get the Seyfried treatment, if nothing else. It's done well so far, but the season has barely begun. Oh don't worry, compared to some people on here, you questioning a Dunst nom is pretty reasonable. I'm actually not predicting Dunst to win, and I'm not sure many people are. Seyfried is a decent comparison, and with that she would still get the nom. I just think the film is way too strong for someone like Dunst to not just get swept in along with Jane, Benedict, Kodi etc. I also wouldn't call the category a bloodbath, it actually feels kind of weak. I really think The Power of the Dog could easily be this year's Mank: the early hopeful that people have such high stock in, where people are already tacking win notices to, and then momentum shifts away from it. I think it's obviously in a better position at the moment than Mank was by virtue of its awards haul so far, but I think it could wind up getting undercut by a bigger narrative later on in the year. We're already seeing Cumberbatch's raves starting to get overshadowed by Washington and Smith, you've got Supporting Actress looking so massively cutthroat at this stage that we could conceivably come up with a solid list of five contenders that wind up getting completely shut out in favor of another five, and I think there are films with more overt technical showmanship that might steal Power's thunder. Ultimately, while I think it's in a healthy spot, I still get the vibe that it becomes the one that sputters as the season goes on, and I think Dunst (who's notably never been an Oscar favorite) could wind up in the cold. |
|
|
|
Post by mhynson27 on Oct 4, 2021 23:29:02 GMT
Oh don't worry, compared to some people on here, you questioning a Dunst nom is pretty reasonable. I'm actually not predicting Dunst to win, and I'm not sure many people are. Seyfried is a decent comparison, and with that she would still get the nom. I just think the film is way too strong for someone like Dunst to not just get swept in along with Jane, Benedict, Kodi etc. I also wouldn't call the category a bloodbath, it actually feels kind of weak. I really think The Power of the Dog could easily be this year's Mank: the early hopeful that people have such high stock in, where people are already tacking win notices to, and then momentum shifts away from it. I think it's obviously in a better position at the moment than Mank was by virtue of its awards haul so far, but I think it could wind up getting undercut by a bigger narrative later on in the year. We're already seeing Cumberbatch's raves starting to get overshadowed by Washington and Smith, you've got Supporting Actress looking so massively cutthroat at this stage that we could conceivably come up with a solid list of five contenders that wind up getting completely shut out in favor of another five, and I think there are films with more overt technical showmanship that might steal Power's thunder. Ultimately, while I think it's in a healthy spot, I still get the vibe that it becomes the one that sputters as the season goes on, and I think Dunst (who's notably never been an Oscar favorite) could wind up in the cold. Eh, agree to disagree. I think Campion wins Director, and that's already more than Mank ever got, and I'm still failing to see what is so 'massively cutthroat' about Supporting Actress. We'll just have to wait and see I guess. |
|
|
|
Post by franklin on Oct 15, 2021 11:46:48 GMT
1. Kirsten Dunst (The Power of The Dog)
2. Caitriona Balfe (Belfast)
3. Aunjanue Ellis (King Richard)
4. Rebecca Ferguson (Dune)
5. Meryl Streep (Don't Look Up)
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
Likes:
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 29, 2021 14:48:13 GMT
Real talk: Is there any English-language performer who is more overdue for their first nomination than Kirsten Dunst? The only other person who is coming to mind for me is Ewan McGregor.
|
|
thomasjerome
Based
Posts: 3,230 
Likes: 2,820
Member is Online
|
Post by thomasjerome on Nov 29, 2021 15:25:53 GMT
Real talk: Is there any English-language performer who is more overdue for their first nomination than Kirsten Dunst? The only other person who is coming to mind for me is Ewan McGregor. Donald Sutherland |
|
|
|
Post by stephen on Nov 29, 2021 15:34:49 GMT
Real talk: Is there any English-language performer who is more overdue for their first nomination than Kirsten Dunst? The only other person who is coming to mind for me is Ewan McGregor. John Goodman and Steve Buscemi. |
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
Likes:
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 29, 2021 16:18:34 GMT
thomasjerome - Excellent choice! So glad he at least has an Honorary Oscar now. He and Dunst served on the 2016 Cannes jury together. Fun trivia!  stephen - 
|
|
.
