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Post by stephen on Aug 16, 2023 13:49:30 GMT
I do think people should be keeping an eye on Lanthimos here. The film looks to be his most technically impressive to date, considering the production and costumes and the general vibe it's putting off, and the film looks to be replicating The Favourite's festival run and release to a tee. Those fourth and fifth slots are looking incredibly competitive, but as someone who is currently predicting it to be a big tech player, I think we can't count Yorgos out.
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Aug 16, 2023 14:10:41 GMT
I see a lot of people predicting Barbie and I get it I just have a feeling this branch might be a little too snobby. Blockbusters miss here a lot.
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Aug 16, 2023 14:13:14 GMT
I do think people should be keeping an eye on Lanthimos here. The film looks to be his most technically impressive to date, considering the production and costumes and the general vibe it's putting off, and the film looks to be replicating The Favourite's festival run and release to a tee. Those fourth and fifth slots are looking incredibly competitive, but as someone who is currently predicting it to be a big tech player, I think we can't count Yorgos out. In this category pretty much any auteur shouldn’t be counted out. So unpredictable and that’s why I love this category.
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Post by stephen on Aug 16, 2023 14:26:21 GMT
I see a lot of people predicting Barbie and I get it I just have a feeling this branch might be a little too snobby. Blockbusters miss here a lot. I think Gerwig is hovering in the 4-8 range myself. I can easily see an argument one way or the other. I do think they'll be more keen to reward her in Screenplay than in Director, though. Not necessarily because of snobbishness, but because it feels more of a writer's movie than one with a strong directorial flourish if that makes sense.
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Aug 20, 2023 6:57:25 GMT
I do think people should be keeping an eye on Lanthimos here. The film looks to be his most technically impressive to date, considering the production and costumes and the general vibe it's putting off, and the film looks to be replicating The Favourite's festival run and release to a tee. Those fourth and fifth slots are looking incredibly competitive, but as someone who is currently predicting it to be a big tech player, I think we can't count Yorgos out. I was just thinking this and I’m kind of thinking Yorgos is the kind of guy who would use the clout he got from breaking through at the Oscars to get the extra weird shit he wanted to get made greenlit. Think Wes Anderson or Luca Guadagnino. The Coens have done this a few times.
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Aug 25, 2023 0:15:50 GMT
Well shit… Guess I’ll go with
Scorsese Nolan Glazer Song Payne
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Post by mhynson27 on Aug 25, 2023 0:19:04 GMT
I was already predicting her, but Denis not being a factor is great news for Gerwig.
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dazed
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Post by dazed on Aug 25, 2023 0:21:22 GMT
glazer scorcese villeneueve gerwig nolan fuck it, put fincher in instead of villeneueve. WB are now putting all their eggs into the gerwig basket btw
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Aug 25, 2023 0:25:09 GMT
glazer scorcese villeneueve gerwig nolan fuck it, put fincher in instead of villeneueve. WB are now putting all their eggs into the gerwig basket btw The Killer has been creeping up my predictions. I still think Gerwig will be a “surprise” snub.
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Post by stephen on Aug 25, 2023 14:55:36 GMT
I feel like WB is going to pushing a Gerwig nomination hard, and now they don't have Villeneuve to worry about.
Nolan, Scorsese, Gerwig, Glazer, and Lanthimos are my current top five right now.
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Aug 25, 2023 18:10:14 GMT
I feel like WB is going to pushing a Gerwig nomination hard, and now they don't have Villeneuve to worry about. Nolan, Scorsese, Gerwig, Glazer, and Lanthimos are my current top five right now. I just feel like every year the Academy does one snub that pisses a lot of people off and it's often is this category and tends to be a blockbuster and/or a woman. I don't think the directors branch cares that much who is being pushed hard.
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Post by stephen on Aug 25, 2023 18:25:34 GMT
I feel like WB is going to pushing a Gerwig nomination hard, and now they don't have Villeneuve to worry about. Nolan, Scorsese, Gerwig, Glazer, and Lanthimos are my current top five right now. I just feel like every year the Academy does one snub that pisses a lot of people off and it's often is this category and tends to be a blockbuster and/or a woman. I don't think the directors branch cares that much who is being pushed hard. This branch is very insular compared to the others and often will go for the bolder picks, so I don't think Gerwig is locked in by any means (it's why I think she's safer as a writing winner). I do think she makes more sense than Song, but Triet and Fennell (the latter of whom is also a prior nominee) could also surge forward. Not that I think there's only one space for a woman, but I feel like there's a lot of buzz around the ladies this year and it's musical chairs at this stage, especially if we assume Nolan and Scorsese are safe.
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Post by mikediastavrone96 on Aug 25, 2023 18:30:15 GMT
Right now, I'll go:
Nolan Scorsese Song Gerwig Glazer
While I wouldn't be terribly surprised if Song was left out, I think I'm probably more confident than most. Her film is one of the strongest critical favorites of the year, it's an easy watch, very intelligently and softly done. Feels like when Abrahamson got nominated for Room. I expect it to be a consensus favorite throughout the Academy and see no reason the directors wouldn't love it as much.
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dazed
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Post by dazed on Aug 30, 2023 17:39:16 GMT
fennell instead of fincher now, so:
gerwig fennell scorsese nolan glazer
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Sept 1, 2023 17:57:59 GMT
Well shit… Guess I’ll go with Scorsese Nolan Glazer Song Payne Still waiting to see what Fincher has to say but I’m replacing Song with Lanthimos.
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dazed
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Post by dazed on Sept 1, 2023 18:04:46 GMT
fennell instead of fincher now, so: gerwig fennell scorsese nolan glazer this villenueve void has fucked me. swap lanthimos for fennell. i feel good about that lineup
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Post by JangoB on Sept 2, 2023 1:33:27 GMT
- Nolan - Scorsese - Glazer - Lanthimos - Triet
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Sept 4, 2023 0:45:50 GMT
IMAX seams to believe that Dune 2 is going to come out this year. Lol they deleted the tweet
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Sept 4, 2023 0:56:22 GMT
- Nolan - Scorsese - Glazer - Lanthimos - Triet My thing with Triet is they usually go with a more established auteur for their foreign language/ Cannes pick. If her next movie gets similar acclaim I would predict it. They usually don’t do two of them too.
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Post by mhynson27 on Sept 4, 2023 1:15:10 GMT
Nolan Scorsese Glazer Gerwig Lanthimos
Payne Triet
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Post by Billy_Costigan on Sept 7, 2023 19:32:59 GMT
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Post by JangoB on Sept 7, 2023 19:38:51 GMT
Oh, if Jeff Sneider of all people says so then I'll go do exactly that! Especially with stuff like this going on:
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Post by stephen on Sept 7, 2023 20:05:01 GMT
Yeah, I wouldn't count Glazer out just on Sneider's say-so. A24 is promoting it, it won a huge prize at Cannes, it fits in the mold of Foxcatcher and Cold War where it will likely appeal more to the directors' branch than the others, so a nomination is certainly possible. I will say that it's possible that someone like Triet can surge forward and usurp that spot, especially as Lanthimos secures himself and Nolan and Scorsese solidify as the season goes on. There's a lot of contenders, and it's going to come down to timing.
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Post by wilcinema on Sept 7, 2023 20:20:26 GMT
Glazer is seen as an AUTEUR and this branch goes for that kind of director. I doubt he misses.
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Post by JangoB on Sept 7, 2023 20:23:59 GMT
Glazer is seen as an AUTEUR and this branch goes for that kind of director. I doubt he misses. Not to mention the importance factor of the subject matter which will undoubtedly be used as one of the points in the movie's favor.
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