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Post by TerryMontana on Sept 1, 2019 18:16:13 GMT
Actually this is the time we start talking about possible nominees. When the Oscar contending movies are shown in the festivals.
The only true difference this year is that OUATIH was released very early but Di Caprio is considered a very possible nominee.
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Post by DanQuixote on Sept 1, 2019 22:36:49 GMT
Oh, they're absolutely going to give Joaquin the Oscar, aren't they? I am so tired!
However, imagining how pissed off Jared Leto is right now reading these raves gives me so much joy lol.
September 1st predictions Joaquin Phoenix, Joker * Adam Driver, Marriage Story Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (Safest bet for a nom, bet he's not winning though) Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory Eddie Murphy, Dolemite is My Name (NGNG)
Alt. One of the Popes or Mark Ruffalo for the Haynes film.
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Good God
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Post by Good God on Sept 1, 2019 22:53:23 GMT
I don't think there are any locks yet, but Driver is the closest. DiCaprio isn't a lock, and Phoenix is even less so (because of the kind of movie he's in).
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jakob
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Post by jakob on Sept 2, 2019 15:52:10 GMT
Is it safe to say that maybe Banderas isn’t as safe in this category as we’d all like to assume? It just seems Driver is locked, DiCaprio and surprisingly Phoenix are pretty safe. Jonathan Pryce is being considered a great bet. We still have the rest of the year to go and I’m positive MBJ will be in the conversation considering the buzz of Just Mercy being a hot BP contender. But there’s always a big snub and there’s also always the person we naturally assume will get in and then isn’t anywhere in the conversation once the season starts.
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Post by TerryMontana on Sept 2, 2019 16:11:50 GMT
Is it safe to say that maybe Banderas isn’t as safe in this category as we’d all like to assume? It just seems Driver is locked, DiCaprio and surprisingly Phoenix are pretty safe. Jonathan Pryce is being considered a great bet. We still have the rest of the year to go and I’m positive MBJ will be in the conversation considering the buzz of Just Mercy being a hot BP contender. But there’s always a big snub and there’s also always the person we naturally assume will get in and then isn’t anywhere in the conversation once the season starts. For what, the Two Popes? How so? He will likely be pushed in supporting and up to now I don't think he has a good chance in being nominated. In any category, tbh. I would be ok with it, I love Pryce. But there is no buzz at all for him atm.
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morton
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Post by morton on Sept 2, 2019 16:24:24 GMT
Is it safe to say that maybe Banderas isn’t as safe in this category as we’d all like to assume? It just seems Driver is locked, DiCaprio and surprisingly Phoenix are pretty safe. Jonathan Pryce is being considered a great bet. We still have the rest of the year to go and I’m positive MBJ will be in the conversation considering the buzz of Just Mercy being a hot BP contender. But there’s always a big snub and there’s also always the person we naturally assume will get in and then isn’t anywhere in the conversation once the season starts. I am concerned. However, I've felt early on that he could miss everywhere, but surprise on Oscar morning because they like to throw in some surprises like Marina de Tavira being nominated last year despite not showing up anywhere at all because I could see him being the type to get enough #1 votes to sneak in.
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Post by mhynson27 on Sept 2, 2019 17:05:23 GMT
Is it safe to say that maybe Banderas isn’t as safe in this category as we’d all like to assume? It just seems Driver is locked, DiCaprio and surprisingly Phoenix are pretty safe. Jonathan Pryce is being considered a great bet. We still have the rest of the year to go and I’m positive MBJ will be in the conversation considering the buzz of Just Mercy being a hot BP contender. But there’s always a big snub and there’s also always the person we naturally assume will get in and then isn’t anywhere in the conversation once the season starts. For what, the Two Popes? How so? He will likely be pushed in supporting and up to now I don't think he has a good chance in being nominated. In any category, tbh. I would be ok with it, I love Pryce. But there is no buzz at all for him atm. There's a lot wrong with this post.
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Post by TerryMontana on Sept 2, 2019 17:30:20 GMT
For what, the Two Popes? How so? He will likely be pushed in supporting and up to now I don't think he has a good chance in being nominated. In any category, tbh. I would be ok with it, I love Pryce. But there is no buzz at all for him atm. There's a lot wrong with this post. Like what???
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Post by quetee on Sept 2, 2019 18:08:29 GMT
Oh, they're absolutely going to give Joaquin the Oscar, aren't they? I am so tired! However, imagining how pissed off Jared Leto is right now reading these raves gives me so much joy lol. September 1st predictions Joaquin Phoenix, Joker * Adam Driver, Marriage StoryLeonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (Safest bet for a nom, bet he's not winning though) Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory Eddie Murphy, Dolemite is My Name (NGNG) Alt. One of the Popes or Mark Ruffalo for the Haynes film. same 5, right now.
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Post by therealcomicman117 on Sept 2, 2019 18:28:48 GMT
Is it safe to say that maybe Banderas isn’t as safe in this category as we’d all like to assume? It just seems Driver is locked, DiCaprio and surprisingly Phoenix are pretty safe. Jonathan Pryce is being considered a great bet. We still have the rest of the year to go and I’m positive MBJ will be in the conversation considering the buzz of Just Mercy being a hot BP contender. But there’s always a big snub and there’s also always the person we naturally assume will get in and then isn’t anywhere in the conversation once the season starts. I am concerned. However, I've felt early on that he could miss everywhere, but surprise on Oscar morning because they like to throw in some surprises like Marina de Tavira being nominated last year despite not showing up anywhere at all because I could see him being the type to get enough #1 votes to sneak in. One thing working in Banderas's favor is that it's a Foreign language role. Those types of performance tend to miss a lot of the major precursors, but still wind up getting nominated because enough people in the academy love the role to rank it high. While it's possible he misses, I think we could see the same thing here, with him getting a surprise nom the morning the nominations are announced, despite missing every other major awards show.
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jakob
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Post by jakob on Sept 2, 2019 19:40:25 GMT
Is it safe to say that maybe Banderas isn’t as safe in this category as we’d all like to assume? It just seems Driver is locked, DiCaprio and surprisingly Phoenix are pretty safe. Jonathan Pryce is being considered a great bet. We still have the rest of the year to go and I’m positive MBJ will be in the conversation considering the buzz of Just Mercy being a hot BP contender. But there’s always a big snub and there’s also always the person we naturally assume will get in and then isn’t anywhere in the conversation once the season starts. For what, the Two Popes? How so? He will likely be pushed in supporting and up to now I don't think he has a good chance in being nominated. In any category, tbh. I would be ok with it, I love Pryce. But there is no buzz at all for him atm. I've been hearing it's Pryce lead and Hopkins Supporting. But who knows at the moment. All depends on how the studio wants to do it. I think The Two Popes is getting a Screenplay nomination, where I just kicked P&G out. I do wonder what overdue, undervalued non-nominated actor will the Academy favor, if not both.
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Post by mhynson27 on Sept 3, 2019 1:47:04 GMT
There's a lot wrong with this post. Like what??? a) Everything I have heard is that Netflix will be pushing Pryce lead and Hopkins supporting. b) You've heard no buzz on Pryce??? Just read all the Twitter reactions in this thread. Pryce and the film itself is getting a lot of love out of Telluride, collectively its been one of their favourites.
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Sept 3, 2019 2:02:37 GMT
Is it safe to say that maybe Banderas isn’t as safe in this category as we’d all like to assume? It just seems Driver is locked, DiCaprio and surprisingly Phoenix are pretty safe. Jonathan Pryce is being considered a great bet. We still have the rest of the year to go and I’m positive MBJ will be in the conversation considering the buzz of Just Mercy being a hot BP contender. But there’s always a big snub and there’s also always the person we naturally assume will get in and then isn’t anywhere in the conversation once the season starts. Does anyone actually consider Banderas safe?
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Post by TerryMontana on Sept 3, 2019 5:07:55 GMT
a) Everything I have heard is that Netflix will be pushing Pryce lead and Hopkins supporting. b) You've heard no buzz on Pryce??? Just read all the Twitter reactions in this thread. Pryce and the film itself is getting a lot of love out of Telluride, collectively its been one of their favourites. You are right about the buzz on Pryce. But Hopkins being supporting? First time I hear it. Anyway, as far as I know, they are both leads actually.
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Post by mhynson27 on Sept 3, 2019 5:20:07 GMT
a) Everything I have heard is that Netflix will be pushing Pryce lead and Hopkins supporting. b) You've heard no buzz on Pryce??? Just read all the Twitter reactions in this thread. Pryce and the film itself is getting a lot of love out of Telluride, collectively its been one of their favourites. You are right about the buzz on Pryce. But Hopkins being supporting? First time I hear it. Anyway, as far as I know, they are both leads actually. Oh yeah, it will definitely be category fraud but Hopkins in supporting is Netflix's plan.
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Post by wilcinema on Sept 3, 2019 5:28:50 GMT
Joker would really have to flop at the box office and/or generate some unprecedented controversy for Phoenix to miss.
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Post by TerryMontana on Sept 3, 2019 5:33:58 GMT
You are right about the buzz on Pryce. But Hopkins being supporting? First time I hear it. Anyway, as far as I know, they are both leads actually. Oh yeah, it will definitely be category fraud but Hopkins in supporting is Netflix's plan. If that will help Hopkins get another nod, I'm in!!
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The-Havok
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Post by The-Havok on Sept 3, 2019 19:24:36 GMT
Phoenix Driver DiCaprio Pryce Banderas
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LaraQ
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Post by LaraQ on Sept 3, 2019 19:54:53 GMT
I think everyone is underestimating Jamie Foxx,I've heard he is incredible in Just Mercy.
Joaquin Phoenix Adam Driver Jamie Foxx Leo DiCaprio Brad Pitt(Ad Astra)
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Post by stephen on Sept 3, 2019 19:59:50 GMT
With this surfeit of plausible Best Actor contenders, both screened and unscreened, I wouldn't be surprised if the biggest movie star in the world got Hanks'd at the end zone, due to his early release, his recent win, and his co-star getting the lion's share of awards talk.
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Good God
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Post by Good God on Sept 3, 2019 20:35:13 GMT
With this surfeit of plausible Best Actor contenders, both screened and unscreened, I wouldn't be surprised if the biggest movie star in the world got Hanks'd at the end zone, due to his early release, his recent win, and his co-star getting the lion's share of awards talk. Hanks got pushed out by contenders with stronger movies in the Best Picture race. The Wolf of Wall Street and American Hustle came on strong toward the end, and Captain Phillips lost steam, even missing a Director nomination at the end. DiCaprio could get Hanksed, but I'd say it's unlikely if OUaTiH is a top 5 contender (as it's expected to be). If OUaTiH does lose steam (which we may not find out whether it did until nominations morning), DiCaprio could miss.
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Post by mhynson27 on Sept 4, 2019 1:17:49 GMT
I think everyone is underestimating Jamie Foxx, I've heard he is incredible in Just Mercy. Joaquin Phoenix Adam Driver Jamie Foxx Leo DiCaprio Brad Pitt(Ad Astra) And also supporting.
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Post by Billy_Costigan on Sept 4, 2019 1:46:42 GMT
I think everyone is underestimating Jamie Foxx,I've heard he is incredible in Just Mercy. Joaquin Phoenix Adam Driver Jamie Foxx Leo DiCaprio Brad Pitt(Ad Astra) I've seen him predicted in Supporting. Anyone know the size of his role?
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Post by Billy_Costigan on Sept 4, 2019 1:49:50 GMT
With this surfeit of plausible Best Actor contenders, both screened and unscreened, I wouldn't be surprised if the biggest movie star in the world got Hanks'd at the end zone, due to his early release, his recent win, and his co-star getting the lion's share of awards talk. Hanks got pushed out by contenders with stronger movies in the Best Picture race. The Wolf of Wall Street and American Hustle came on strong toward the end, and Captain Phillips lost steam, even missing a Director nomination at the end. DiCaprio could get Hanksed, but I'd say it's unlikely if OUaTiH is a top 5 contender (as it's expected to be). If OUaTiH does lose steam (which we may not find out whether it did until nominations morning), DiCaprio could miss. I can see it because of the early release. The later contenders may generate more buzz at the right time.
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Post by TerryMontana on Sept 7, 2019 21:43:20 GMT
Just saw It chapter II.
Hader was very good in this,easily the best performance of the film.
But from that point till he gets an Oscar nod, the distance is too much.
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