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Post by TylerDeneuve on Jun 25, 2024 13:22:41 GMT
Kicking this thread off with the predictions from The Film Experience: 1. Ralph Fiennes, Conclave2. Cillian Murphy, Small Things Like These3. Michael Shannon, The End4. Colman Domingo, Sing Sing5. Sebastian Stan, The Apprentice6. Jesse Eisenberg, A Real Pain7. Paul Mescal, Gladiator II8. Joaquin Phoenix, Joker: Folie à Deux9. André Holland, The Actor10. Nicholas Hoult, Juror No. 211. Ben Whishaw, Limonov: The Ballad12. Adam Driver, Megalopolis13. Michael Keaton, Beetlejuice Beetlejuice14. Vincent Cassel, The Shrouds15. Glen Powell, Hit ManArchie - The page does currently read "Under Construction" - I'll update this post with the official predictions if need be.  mhynson27 - What are your predictions?  |
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Archie
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Eraserhead son or Inland Empire daughter?
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Post by Archie on Jun 25, 2024 13:29:21 GMT
No Daniel Craig? Isn't he like the frontrunner right now?
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Post by mhynson27 on Jun 25, 2024 13:57:05 GMT
That's...that's not good  |
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Post by TylerDeneuve on Jun 25, 2024 15:02:23 GMT
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Post by mhynson27 on Jun 25, 2024 15:28:06 GMT
Since you asked  TylerDeneuve Craig Domingo Fiennes Phoenix Last spot depends on whether Chalamet will be ready in time, and/or Culkin goes Lead. |
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Post by stabcaesar on Jun 25, 2024 15:30:08 GMT
What a dire potential lineup.
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Post by TylerDeneuve on Jun 25, 2024 15:45:26 GMT
What a dire potential lineup. Best Actress seems really weak this year, too... I guess we are now feeling the effects of the strikes.  |
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Jul 2, 2024 16:18:44 GMT
first impressions of that list... Phoenix too low, Stan too high, Driver ain't happening, and the Cannes win means Plemons should at least be in the conversation and higher than Whishaw.
but it does feel like a weird year. Domingo and Phoenix feel likeliest to me from this distance. Chalamet and Craig are possible strong contenders if they release in time, Murphy feels like a solid bet for the afterglow nom, Andre Holland's role sounds baity, and A Real Pain might be a real threat.
in March my early predix were:
Daniel Craig, Queer
Colman Domingo, Sing Sing
André Holland, The Actor
Barry Keoghan, Bird
Cillian Murphy, Small Things Like These
switch out Keoghan for.... ummmmm ... Eisenberg, I guess.
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Jul 2, 2024 16:21:28 GMT
don't know much about it but Conclave looks like a Da Vinci Code-esque conspiracy thriller... how is that considered a contender
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Post by quetee on Jul 2, 2024 16:43:24 GMT
Michael Keaton scoring a nod would be awesome.
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Post by DanQuixote on Jul 2, 2024 16:46:42 GMT
don't know much about it but Conclave looks like a Da Vinci Code-esque conspiracy thriller... how is that considered a contender I’m thinking the same, but the cast and the fact that Focus (a great campaigner) gave it a prime release date makes me think it’s going to happen. |
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Post by JangoB on Jul 3, 2024 15:14:53 GMT
The field seeming this fucking dire (yeah, it's early, I know) just further convinces me that Phoenix will be back.
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Post by TylerDeneuve on Jul 3, 2024 15:16:41 GMT
The field seeming this fucking dire (yeah, it's early, I know) just further convinces me that Phoenix will be back. I have a hard time believing that Lady Gaga can make it in without him, too. |
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Post by stephen on Jul 3, 2024 17:51:24 GMT
The field seeming this fucking dire (yeah, it's early, I know) just further convinces me that Phoenix will be back. I have a hard time believing that Lady Gaga can make it in without him, too. I still think Gaga is likelier than Phoenix for a nomination because a.) Phoenix has already won for the role so they may feel they've done him justice already, and b.) he notoriously hates campaigning whereas Gaga is a consummate (over-)campaigner who some might think got shafted last time. I think Gaga can absolutely get in without Joaquin, but if the field is as dire as it seems, I think the likelihood is that they both can get in. |
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Post by Mattsby on Jul 3, 2024 19:31:48 GMT
Paul Mescal, Gladiator II
Ralph Fiennes, The Return
John David Washington, The Piano Lesson
Josh O’Connor, Challengers
Tom Hanks, Here
alts~
Daniel Craig, Queer
Aaron Pierre, Rebel Ridge
Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain
Nicholas Hoult, Juror #2
Mark Eydelshteyn, Anora
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Post by mhynson27 on Jul 4, 2024 0:37:15 GMT
Paul Mescal, Gladiator II Ralph Fiennes, The Return John David Washington, The Piano Lesson Josh O’Connor, Challengers Tom Hanks, Here alts~ Daniel Craig, Queer Aaron Pierre, Rebel Ridge Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain Nicholas Hoult, Juror #2 Mark Eydelshteyn, Anora Not the Domingo omission Also, why The Return over Conclave?? |
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Post by mhynson27 on Jul 4, 2024 0:37:55 GMT
Since you asked TylerDeneuve Craig Domingo Fiennes Phoenix Last spot depends on whether Chalamet will be ready in time, and/or Culkin goes Lead. Slide Garfield into that 5th slot for now. |
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Jul 4, 2024 0:57:15 GMT
don't know much about it but Conclave looks like a Da Vinci Code-esque conspiracy thriller... how is that considered a contender I’ve read the book. It’s not Da Vinci Code… if well done it can absolutely be a contender. People comparing the two are just being lazy. |
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Jul 4, 2024 2:23:09 GMT
don't know much about it but Conclave looks like a Da Vinci Code-esque conspiracy thriller... how is that considered a contender I’ve read the book. It’s not Da Vinci Code… if well done it can absolutely be a contender. People comparing the two are just being lazy. haven't seen anyone compare them. I just read the synopsis on IMDb |
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Jul 4, 2024 4:20:53 GMT
I’ve read the book. It’s not Da Vinci Code… if well done it can absolutely be a contender. People comparing the two are just being lazy. haven't seen anyone compare them. I just read the synopsis on IMDb I was referring to you and others in this thread. |
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Post by JangoB on Jul 25, 2024 1:06:43 GMT
With Mangold's film coming out this year, we can finally predict something resembling a proper lineup:
- Domingo
- Craig
- Fiennes
- Phoenix
- Chalamet
Seems reasonable at this early stage.
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Post by mhynson27 on Jul 25, 2024 1:16:32 GMT
With Mangold's film coming out this year, we can finally predict something resembling a proper lineup: - Domingo - Craig - Fiennes - Phoenix - Chalamet Seems reasonable at this early stage. Yep, I've got that 5 atm too. |
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Post by DanQuixote on Jul 25, 2024 8:28:03 GMT
Timothée Chalamet - A Complete Unknown
Daniel Craig - Queer
Colman Domingo - Sing Sing
Ralph Fiennes - Conclave
Joaquin Phoenix - Joker: Folie à Deux
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Andrew Garfield - We Live in Time
Nicholas Hoult - Juror #2
Paul Mescal - Gladiator II
Jesse Plemons - Kinds of Kindness
Sebastian Stan - A Different Man
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Aug 20, 2024 15:05:21 GMT
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sophiefox
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Post by sophiefox on Aug 21, 2024 3:14:40 GMT
Colman Domingo is going to get it this round, mark my words!!
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