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Post by Deleted on Jun 9, 2017 3:40:18 GMT
Are you dim or just a troll Spielberg got a BP nom for 3 our of his last 4 films (which were all Oscar bait over the lone family, adventure film) Darkest Hour is prime Joe Wright bait, and features the likely Actor winner No need to Call Me dim Mate, I'm just sharing my Informed Opinion. Not saying 'The Post' won't get nominated, I'm just saying It's not Major Contender to Win anything. Also; 'Darkest Hour is prime Joe Wright bait.' Doesn't mean It has a chance beside an Actor Nom. Also, unlike you, I at least consider the possibilities of certain things, like the Film ACTUALLY getting a Best Picture Nom even though the chances are very, VERY slim. Unless Joe Wright pulls a miracle, which I doubt will happen. People always go towards the "from what is already established/based on previous favorites" with their predictions, and not even in a smart way. It's not even based on Academy Mentality, but on the Filmmakers themselves Pre-Release, (which almost all the time can be a 50/50 gamble.) Just look at these predictions from the Majority/Conscience over the past couple of years... THE 89th ACADEMY AWARDS (April - June 2017) Best Picture: Birth of a Nation Best Actor: Nate Parker - The Birth of a Nation Best Actress: Viola Davis - Fences (Was Instead Campaigned for Supporting) Best Supporting Actor: Liam Neeson - Silence Best Supporting Actress: Michelle Williams - Manchester By The Sea Best Director: Martin Scorsese - Silence THE 88th ACADEMY AWARDS (April - June 2016) Best Picture: Bridge of Spies Best Actor: Eddie Redmayne - The Danish Girl Best Actress: Cate Blanchett - Joy Best Supporting Actor: Robert De Niro - Joy Best Supporting Actress: Rooney Mara - Carol Best Director: David O. Russell - Joy THE 87th ACADEMY AWARDS (April - June 2015) Best Picture: Unbroken Best Actor: Michael Keaton - Birdman Best Actress: Reese Witherspoon - Wild Best Supporting Actor: Mark Ruffalo - Foxcatcher Best Supporting Actress: Laura Dern - Wild Best Director: Angelina Jolie - Unbroken AND SO ON! Granted, a lot of these did end up being nominated. However, the catch is guessing the Nominations, in which the inaccuracy of those same Years in terms of nominations - I'm not even going to go through. Yeah, remember 'Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk?' Or how about 'Love and Mercy?' Or maybe even; "Suffragette" "Youth" "I Saw The Light" "Adam Jones" "Sully" "Passengers" "Story of Your Life" You get the point... also 'The Soloist,' 'Anna Karenina,' 'Hanna,' and 'Pan.' Enough said. Ok, Pan was a misfire genre film, and Soloist was spring failed bait, while Hanna was an action spring film Anna Karenina still got handful of tech noms I've read Darkest Hour script, and it's the type of bait (Imitation Game) that routinely gets nominated, not to mention it has a great chance of getting 3 acting noms, writing nom, and tech noms across the board Oldman is a massive contender to win, and the last Actor to win without BP nom was Jeff Bridges (Crazy Heart had no chance for BP nom) There's been very strong BP overlap with actor winners as of late
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Post by Deleted on Jun 9, 2017 5:10:49 GMT
those who are nomming DDL without nomming Phantom Thread for anything are fucking delusional btw Not really Original screenplay is packed, and only other legit possibilities are costume design and MAYBE cinematography i was saying this since DDL, while being an "Academy Favorite", has never really been nommed for a film which wasn't a Top 5 film (in all fairness, he himself has eventually not been so strong a contender for other films, but there were points where he easily could have), so if someone is predicting DDL, they oughta predict his movie as at least a filler BP contender and as for screenplay, downsizing is not making it if your sources are legit (they oughta be tho), bigelow's film doesn't seem like much of a screenplay heavy movie, i just don't feel The Post (might be a contender here tho, but won't really predict it until it still sounds like a frontrunning contender by Oct or something cuz you never know), so Darkest Hour, Three Billboards and Get Out are the only things sure to make it, considering they live up to the expectations. other than that, Sacred Deer, PTA and Wonder Wheel (and The Post for the sake of you) seem like the others vying for the last two spots, so even if we consider that Post takes the fourth spot, the PTA just feels like it could get a token nom, he is loved amongst screenwriters, he fucking made the cut for Inherent Vice for crying out loud!
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Post by Deleted on Jun 9, 2017 5:23:13 GMT
Not really Original screenplay is packed, and only other legit possibilities are costume design and MAYBE cinematography i was saying this since DDL, while being an "Academy Favorite", has never really been nommed for a film which wasn't a Top 5 film (in all fairness, he himself has eventually not been so strong a contender for other films, but there were points where he easily could have), so if someone is predicting DDL, they oughta predict his movie as at least a filler BP contender and as for screenplay, downsizing is not making it if your sources are legit (they oughta be tho), bigelow's film doesn't seem like much of a screenplay heavy movie, i just don't feel The Post (might be a contender here tho, but won't really predict it until it still sounds like a frontrunning contender by Oct or something cuz you never know), so Darkest Hour, Three Billboards and Get Out are the only things sure to make it, considering they live up to the expectations. other than that, Sacred Deer, PTA and Wonder Wheel (and The Post for the sake of you) seem like the others vying for the last two spots, so even if we consider that Post takes the fourth spot, the PTA just feels like it could get a token nom, he is loved amongst screenwriters, he fucking made the cut for Inherent Vice for crying out loud! Inherent Vice was acclaimed for being a Pynchon adaptation (won NBR and got USC Scripter nom) and happened over Gone Girl (Flynn's first film, movie underperformed with noms, etc) Plus he still missed out for Master where he had WGA and BAFTA noms in favor of Flight For screenplay, I currently have Post, Darkest Hour, Inner City, Get Out, Florida Project with Detroit, Three Billboards, Wonder Wheel, Suburbicon ahead of it The majority of DDL's noms emerged from stronger contenders and bigger pushes, which PTA will unlikely be for a number of reasons-- he is enough of a legend to get nominated on name alone even if the film itself is a non-starter
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fotodude
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Post by fotodude on Jun 9, 2017 7:08:18 GMT
i was saying this since DDL, while being an "Academy Favorite", has never really been nommed for a film which wasn't a Top 5 film (in all fairness, he himself has eventually not been so strong a contender for other films, but there were points where he easily could have), so if someone is predicting DDL, they oughta predict his movie as at least a filler BP contender and as for screenplay, downsizing is not making it if your sources are legit (they oughta be tho), bigelow's film doesn't seem like much of a screenplay heavy movie, i just don't feel The Post (might be a contender here tho, but won't really predict it until it still sounds like a frontrunning contender by Oct or something cuz you never know), so Darkest Hour, Three Billboards and Get Out are the only things sure to make it, considering they live up to the expectations. other than that, Sacred Deer, PTA and Wonder Wheel (and The Post for the sake of you) seem like the others vying for the last two spots, so even if we consider that Post takes the fourth spot, the PTA just feels like it could get a token nom, he is loved amongst screenwriters, he fucking made the cut for Inherent Vice for crying out loud! Inherent Vice was acclaimed for being a Pynchon adaptation (won NBR and got USC Scripter nom) and happened over Gone Girl (Flynn's first film, movie underperformed with noms, etc) Plus he still missed out for Master where he had WGA and BAFTA noms in favor of Flight For screenplay, I currently have Post, Darkest Hour, Inner City, Get Out, Florida Project with Detroit, Three Billboards, Wonder Wheel, Suburbicon ahead of it The majority of DDL's noms emerged from stronger contenders and bigger pushes, which PTA will unlikely be for a number of reasons-- he is enough of a legend to get nominated on name alone even if the film itself is a non-starter The Papers isn't based on previous source material according to IMDb but Awards Circuit have it under adapted so I placed it there. Which one's right?
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Post by Deleted on Jun 9, 2017 7:29:42 GMT
Inherent Vice was acclaimed for being a Pynchon adaptation (won NBR and got USC Scripter nom) and happened over Gone Girl (Flynn's first film, movie underperformed with noms, etc) Plus he still missed out for Master where he had WGA and BAFTA noms in favor of Flight For screenplay, I currently have Post, Darkest Hour, Inner City, Get Out, Florida Project with Detroit, Three Billboards, Wonder Wheel, Suburbicon ahead of it The majority of DDL's noms emerged from stronger contenders and bigger pushes, which PTA will unlikely be for a number of reasons-- he is enough of a legend to get nominated on name alone even if the film itself is a non-starter The Papers isn't based on previous source material according to IMDb but Awards Circuit have it under adapted so I placed it there. Which one's right? Original-- the screenplay doesnt list any adaptation credit
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Post by fotodude on Jun 9, 2017 9:04:47 GMT
The Papers isn't based on previous source material according to IMDb but Awards Circuit have it under adapted so I placed it there. Which one's right? Original-- the screenplay doesnt list any adaptation credit I guess Awards Circuit continue their trend of not knowing shit.
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Post by Deleted on Jun 9, 2017 9:16:20 GMT
Original-- the screenplay doesnt list any adaptation credit I guess Awards Circuit continue their trend of not knowing shit. stopped trusting them permanently since they predicted Collateral Beauty to be a Top 3 contender.
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Post by Deleted on Jun 9, 2017 11:03:34 GMT
Best Picture: Downsizing Best Director: Dee Rees (Mudbound) Best Actress in leading role: Saoirse Ronan (On Chesil Beach) Best Actress in supporting role: Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water) Best Actor in leading role: Matt Damon (Suburbicon) Best Actor in supporting role: John Boyega (Detroit) Best Original screenplay: William Nicholson (Breathe) Best Adapted screenplay: Lynne Ramsey (You Were Never Really Here)
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Post by Deleted on Jun 9, 2017 11:36:03 GMT
Ok, Pan was a misfire genre film, and Soloist was spring failed bait, while Hanna was an action spring film Anna Karenina still got handful of tech noms I've read Darkest Hour script, and it's the type of bait (Imitation Game) that routinely gets nominated, not to mention it has a great chance of getting 3 acting noms, writing nom, and tech noms across the board Oldman is a massive contender to win, and the last Actor to win without BP nom was Jeff Bridges (Crazy Heart had no chance for BP nom) There's been very strong BP overlap with actor winners as of late I totally agree with you, even the Films that weren't heavy hitters in the Best Picture Race (much like Crazy Heart,) were nominated in recent years, ala; 'Dallas Buyers Club,' and' The Theory of Everything. ' It's just that 2017 seems like one of those packed years for 'Award Season' Films, or just Great Films in General. There's a lot of Potential to be found. If films like Suburbicon, Downsizing, The Current War, Battle of the Sexes, Molly's Game, or Dunkirk do average or just flop, Whether it be Critical and Commercially, or just in terms of the Awards Season Race. Then I'd suspect 'Darkest Hour' to be a prime candidate for a filler nomination, only If Joe Wright can carry the Film's direction with the Script being as Competent and Baity much like 'The Imitation Game' as you describe it to be. And I do see the complete logic in people predicting 'The Post.' It's a late release and I hear It's being rushed out by Fox Searchlight, that worries me a little. I'm not saying It's going to be bad, not even 'Decent.' I've always talked about the 'Politics' that go into the Oscars almost every year, and 'The Post' is definitely a contender considering the Current Political Climate. But Spielberg has to make a Magnificent Film that's way more well received than 'Lincoln' to be a heavy hitter. 'Call Me By Your Name' is still my choice as I also believe It's going to get a lot of negative publicity in the Trump States, (and on FOX I'm sure,) regarding the Age Difference and will raise more awareness towards the film, (Bring It on Limbaugh, you fat fuck.) However If that happens, I do believe It'll double It's chances considering how Liberal Hollywood is.
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Post by Deleted on Jun 9, 2017 11:46:50 GMT
Ok, Pan was a misfire genre film, and Soloist was spring failed bait, while Hanna was an action spring film Anna Karenina still got handful of tech noms I've read Darkest Hour script, and it's the type of bait (Imitation Game) that routinely gets nominated, not to mention it has a great chance of getting 3 acting noms, writing nom, and tech noms across the board Oldman is a massive contender to win, and the last Actor to win without BP nom was Jeff Bridges (Crazy Heart had no chance for BP nom) There's been very strong BP overlap with actor winners as of late I totally agree with you, even the Films that weren't heavy hitters in the Best Picture Race (much like Crazy Heart,) were nominated in recent years, ala; 'Dallas Buyers Club,' and' The Theory of Everything. ' It's just that 2017 seems like one of those packed years for 'Award Season' Films, or just Great Films in General. There's a lot of Potential to be found. If films like Suburbicon, Downsizing, The Current War, Battle of the Sexes, Molly's Game, or Dunkirk do average or just flop, Whether it be Critical and Commercially, or just in terms of the Awards Season Race. Then I'd suspect 'Darkest Hour' to be a prime candidate for a filler nomination, only If Joe Wright can carry the Film's direction with the Script being as Competent and Baity much like 'The Imitation Game' as you describe it to be. And I do see the complete logic in people predicting 'The Post.' It's a late release and I hear It's being rushed out by Fox Searchlight, that worries me a little. I'm not saying It's going to be bad, not even 'Decent.' I've always talked about the 'Politics' that go into the Oscars almost every year, and 'The Post' is definitely a contender considering the Current Political Climate. But Spielberg has to make a Magnificent Film that's way more well received than 'Lincoln' to be a heavy hitter. 'Call Me By Your Name' is still my choice as I also believe It's going to get a lot of negative publicity in the Trump States, (and on FOX I'm sure,) regarding the Age Difference and will raise more awareness towards the film, (Bring It on Limbaugh, you fat fuck.) However If that happens, I do believe It'll double It's chances considering how Liberal Hollywood is. Current War very likely wont be a big player, Downsizing had very mixed reception and screenings, Molly's Game might be a mess and the script certainly read more commercially, and Battle of the Sexes has very low awards prospects if the early word and release date is any indication Fox is rushing The Post, not Searchlight-- and he doesn't necessarily need to make a film majorly more well-received than Lincoln since the material is baity and timely, and could do very well on the balloting since it's agreeable, consensus bait Wait-- are you Hepwa from AW
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Post by Deleted on Jun 9, 2017 12:31:38 GMT
YES, YOU ARE CORRECT! CONGRATULATIONS, YOU ARE THE LUCKY WINNER! YOU WIN... NOTHING!
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Post by Deleted on Jun 9, 2017 12:33:10 GMT
Current War very likely wont be a big player, Downsizing had very mixed reception and screenings, Molly's Game might be a mess and the script certainly read more commercially, and Battle of the Sexes has very low awards prospects if the early word and release date is any indication Fox is rushing The Post, not Searchlight-- and he doesn't necessarily need to make a film majorly more well-received than Lincoln since the material is baity and timely, and could do very well on the balloting since it's agreeable, consensus bait Wait-- are you Hepwa from AW Nah, just kidding. I apologize for the 'Fox' distributor confusion. Actually, considering 'Fox' are helming the Campaign and not Searchlight, that tells me we might have another 'Bridge of Spies.' And the Fact that Fox are the ones rushing it out instead Spotlight. That makes me worry even more. Granted, 'Lincoln' was still a major contender in the 2013 Awards Season. But that was because there wasn't a lot of Competition for 'Argo' besides 'Life of Pi,' or maybe 'Silver Linings Playbook.' (And the fact Ben Affleck wasn't Nominated for Director but Spielberg was.) I'm not anyone from Awards Watch or Circuit. All I do is check out dozens of Films and see what has potential when It comes to this topic, It's really fun considering my passion for Film, It gives me something to look forward to during the year of endless Superhero - Blockbuster Trash, and have fun with Awards Season later in the year. AW and AC are the same people who predicted 'Unbroken' or 'Interstellar' over 'Birdman' 3 Years ago. Now they're putting another Spielberg film (Ala; 'Bridge of Spies,) and Christopher Nolan (again) over the Smaller Unknown Film that's been quietly generating a lot of buzz. Also, considering CMBYN is hit at Film Festivals and is relatively smaller than the other potential contenders, It might have a bigger shot considering the last 3 Years of Best Pictures, and awards in general have been given to smaller films.
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Post by Deleted on Jun 9, 2017 12:42:32 GMT
Current War very likely wont be a big player, Downsizing had very mixed reception and screenings, Molly's Game might be a mess and the script certainly read more commercially, and Battle of the Sexes has very low awards prospects if the early word and release date is any indication Fox is rushing The Post, not Searchlight-- and he doesn't necessarily need to make a film majorly more well-received than Lincoln since the material is baity and timely, and could do very well on the balloting since it's agreeable, consensus bait Wait-- are you Hepwa from AW Hell, those hack fucks even put the aforementioned (Unbroken, Interstellar,) also Foxcatcher, AND Inherent Vice over 'Boyhood.' Which was the "obvious" pick ever since It premiered at Sundance and continued to be the Awards Season Juggernaut throughout the year.
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Post by fotodude on Jun 12, 2017 18:39:54 GMT
BEST PICTURE 1. The Papers 2. Call Me By Your Name 3. Darkest Hour 4. Last Flag Flying 5. Wonderstruck 6. The Florida Project 7. Dunkirk 8. Goodbye Christopher Robin 9. The Death of Stalin 10. Inner City BEST DIRECTOR 1. Steven Spielberg (The Papers) 2. Luca Guadagnino (Call Me By Your Name) 3. Joe Wright (Darkest Hour) 4. Richard Linklater (Last Flag Flying) 5. Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk) BEST ACTOR 1. Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour) 2. Denzel Washington (Inner City) 3. Timothée Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name) 4. Domhnall Gleeson (Goodbye Christopher Robin) 5. Chadwick Boseman (Marshall) BEST ACTRESS 1. Judi Dench (Victoria and Abdul) 2. Meryl Streep (The Post) 3. Emma Stone (Battle of the Sexes) 4. Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri) 5. Rooney Mara (Mary Magdalene) BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR 1. Michael Stuhlbarg (Call Me By Your Name) 2. Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project) 3. Bryan Cranston (Last Flag Flying) 4. Jason Mitchell (Mudbound) 5. Colin Farrell (Inner City) BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS 1. Michelle Williams (The Greatest Showman) 2. Kristin Scott Thomas (Darkest Hour) 3. Mary J. Blige (Mudbound) 4. Michelle Pfeiffer (Mother!) 5. Margot Robbie (Goodbye Christopher Robin) BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY 1. The Papers 2. Darkest Hour 3. The Florida Project 4. Get Out 5. Inner City BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY 1. Call Me by Your Name 2. Last Flag Flying 3. Mudbound 4. Wonderstruck 5. The Death of Stalin BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY 1. Call Me By Your Name 2. Wonderstruck 3. Dunkirk 4. Blade Runner 2049 5. Darkest Hour BEST EDITING 1. The Papers 2. Call Me by Your Name 3. Wonderstruck 4. Dunkirk 5. Darkest Hour BEST ORIGINAL SCORE 1. Wonderstruck 2. Darkest Hour 3. Dunkirk 4. Blade Runner 2049 5. The Shape of Water BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN 1. Darkest Hour 2. Dunkirk 3. Blade Runner 2049 4. The Greatest Showman 5. The Shape of Water BEST MAKEUP 1. Darkest Hour 2. The Greatest Showman 3. The Shape of Water BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM 1. 120 BPM 2. The Square 3. A Fantastic Woman 4. Loveless 5. The Third Murder BEST ANIMATED FILM 1. Coco 2. In This Corner of the World 3. The Breadwinner 4. The Star 5. Ferdinand Updated.
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Post by Deleted on Jun 13, 2017 0:29:52 GMT
Updated Wins:
Last Flag Flying Richard Linklater, Last Flag Flying Gary Oldman, The Darkest Hour Kate Winslet, Wonder Wheel Williem Dafoe, The Florida Project Michelle Pfeiffer, mother! O. Screenplay: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri A. Screenplay: Wonderstruck
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Post by Deleted on Jun 13, 2017 0:34:57 GMT
There's no way in hell Last Flag would win BP but lose screenplay
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Post by Deleted on Jun 13, 2017 4:29:24 GMT
There's no way in hell Last Flag would win BP but lose screenplay I just wasn't able to buy Wonderstruck not winning any of the big 8 than anything. LFF is a damn close 2nd
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Post by Deleted on Jun 13, 2017 4:45:32 GMT
There's no way in hell Last Flag would win BP but lose screenplay I just wasn't able to buy Wonderstruck not winning any of the big 8 than anything. LFF is a damn close 2nd Why not, it can easily win nothing or just Score only
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Post by Deleted on Jun 13, 2017 4:55:59 GMT
I just wasn't able to buy Wonderstruck not winning any of the big 8 than anything. LFF is a damn close 2nd Why not, it can easily win nothing or just Score only i still kinda have faith in it tbh lol. For a tech frontrunner, 2049 is the only one which actually competes with it for the win (Dunkirk, LFF and Detroit are more of sound categories and film editing contenders to me than anything, where Wonderstruck was never winning anyway), for production design, cinematography and score. While Wonderstruck is not the ultimate frontrunner it was anymore, it still has less enough competition to still be a top 5 film. A. Screenplay is still in flux between this and LFF for me, but Wonderstruck is at least winning for Score and Costume.
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Post by Deleted on Jun 13, 2017 6:10:53 GMT
Why not, it can easily win nothing or just Score only i still kinda have faith in it tbh lol. For a tech frontrunner, 2049 is the only one which actually competes with it for the win (Dunkirk, LFF and Detroit are more of sound categories and film editing contenders to me than anything, where Wonderstruck was never winning anyway), for production design, cinematography and score. While Wonderstruck is not the ultimate frontrunner it was anymore, it still has less enough competition to still be a top 5 film. A. Screenplay is still in flux between this and LFF for me, but Wonderstruck is at least winning for Score and Costume. The screenplay was the most divisive aspect of the Wonderstruck reviews, and it's largely dialogue-free, I'd put at least Flag and Call Me ahead of it, for sure I actually think Linklater will pull away with the win over Call Me By Your Name in Adapted since it seems to be more writer-friendly and not as highbrow-- Last flag wont be getting any tech noms, and it's literally just a typical Linklater dialogue-driven roadtrip movie, so screenplay is its best consolation and he would be considered "overdue" I still think Wonderstruck is good for techs, but BP and director noms depend on TIFF and Telluride reception
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Post by fotodude on Jun 13, 2017 7:02:42 GMT
i still kinda have faith in it tbh lol. For a tech frontrunner, 2049 is the only one which actually competes with it for the win (Dunkirk, LFF and Detroit are more of sound categories and film editing contenders to me than anything, where Wonderstruck was never winning anyway), for production design, cinematography and score. While Wonderstruck is not the ultimate frontrunner it was anymore, it still has less enough competition to still be a top 5 film. A. Screenplay is still in flux between this and LFF for me, but Wonderstruck is at least winning for Score and Costume. The screenplay was the most divisive aspect of the Wonderstruck reviews, and it's largely dialogue-free, I'd put at least Flag and Call Me ahead of it, for sure I actually think Linklater will pull away with the win over Call Me By Your Name in Adapted since it seems to be more writer-friendly and not as highbrow-- Last flag wont be getting any tech noms, and it's literally just a typical Linklater dialogue-driven roadtrip movie, so screenplay is its best consolation and he would be considered "overdue" I still think Wonderstruck is good for techs, but BP and director noms depend on TIFF and Telluride reception Yeah Adapted Screenplay seems to be between LFF and CMBYN. Ivory penning the latter makes it a very tough call even if LFF is able to build bigger buzz.
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Post by Deleted on Jun 13, 2017 7:06:29 GMT
i still kinda have faith in it tbh lol. For a tech frontrunner, 2049 is the only one which actually competes with it for the win (Dunkirk, LFF and Detroit are more of sound categories and film editing contenders to me than anything, where Wonderstruck was never winning anyway), for production design, cinematography and score. While Wonderstruck is not the ultimate frontrunner it was anymore, it still has less enough competition to still be a top 5 film. A. Screenplay is still in flux between this and LFF for me, but Wonderstruck is at least winning for Score and Costume. The screenplay was the most divisive aspect of the Wonderstruck reviews, and it's largely dialogue-free, I'd put at least Flag and Call Me ahead of it, for sure I actually think Linklater will pull away with the win over Call Me By Your Name in Adapted since it seems to be more writer-friendly and not as highbrow-- Last flag wont be getting any tech noms, and it's literally just a typical Linklater dialogue-driven roadtrip movie, so screenplay is its best consolation and he would be considered "overdue" I still think Wonderstruck is good for techs, but BP and director noms depend on TIFF and Telluride reception the only reason I gave Wonderstruck the win there was because I didn't know where else it actually could win, lol (maybe director, but didn't feel that Amazon would be big enough to pull BP AND BD for two different movies) And Call Me By Your Name feels too much of a criticfest to win anything in general, but Screenplay is the only thing it could actually win, but LFF kinda feels like it would use Linklater's Boyhood snub gig strong enough to pull at least BP, BD and Screenplay wins. But it'd be crazy to predict LFF to win without giving it at least a Film Editing nom. Birdman did it, but the editing was a little too seamless for the voters then lol
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Post by Deleted on Jun 13, 2017 7:10:56 GMT
The screenplay was the most divisive aspect of the Wonderstruck reviews, and it's largely dialogue-free, I'd put at least Flag and Call Me ahead of it, for sure I actually think Linklater will pull away with the win over Call Me By Your Name in Adapted since it seems to be more writer-friendly and not as highbrow-- Last flag wont be getting any tech noms, and it's literally just a typical Linklater dialogue-driven roadtrip movie, so screenplay is its best consolation and he would be considered "overdue" I still think Wonderstruck is good for techs, but BP and director noms depend on TIFF and Telluride reception Yeah Adapted Screenplay seems to be between LFF and CMBYN. Ivory penning the latter makes it a very tough call even if LFF is able to build bigger buzz. if Ivory wasn't able to win a competitive award till now, I doubt he could win for a gay summer romance.
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Post by Deleted on Jun 13, 2017 7:14:58 GMT
The screenplay was the most divisive aspect of the Wonderstruck reviews, and it's largely dialogue-free, I'd put at least Flag and Call Me ahead of it, for sure I actually think Linklater will pull away with the win over Call Me By Your Name in Adapted since it seems to be more writer-friendly and not as highbrow-- Last flag wont be getting any tech noms, and it's literally just a typical Linklater dialogue-driven roadtrip movie, so screenplay is its best consolation and he would be considered "overdue" I still think Wonderstruck is good for techs, but BP and director noms depend on TIFF and Telluride reception the only reason I gave Wonderstruck the win there was because I didn't know where else it actually could win, lol (maybe director, but didn't feel that Amazon would be big enough to pull BP AND BD for two different movies) And Call Me By Your Name feels too much of a criticfest to win anything in general, but Screenplay is the only thing it could actually win, but LFF kinda feels like it would use Linklater's Boyhood snub gig strong enough to pull at least BP, BD and Screenplay wins. I do agree that Call Me will get multiple noms, but it might be too highbrow and wins will be tough with Linklater in Screenplay and Dafoe in Supporting I dont think Linklater happens in Director unless it explodes at NYFF which is possible-- the people who attended the screening said there's just no visual flair or ambition at all and it's shot in straight, standard fashion as most of his films, and even if it's top 5 film (which im not sure it is yet) could struggle I'm predicting noms for BP, Actor, Screenplay, and maybe Fishburne in Supporting
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Post by Deleted on Jun 13, 2017 8:02:46 GMT
the only reason I gave Wonderstruck the win there was because I didn't know where else it actually could win, lol (maybe director, but didn't feel that Amazon would be big enough to pull BP AND BD for two different movies) And Call Me By Your Name feels too much of a criticfest to win anything in general, but Screenplay is the only thing it could actually win, but LFF kinda feels like it would use Linklater's Boyhood snub gig strong enough to pull at least BP, BD and Screenplay wins. I do agree that Call Me will get multiple noms, but it might be too highbrow and wins will be tough with Linklater in Screenplay and Dafoe in Supporting I dont think Linklater happens in Director unless it explodes at NYFF which is possible-- the people who attended the screening said there's just no visual flair or ambition at all and it's shot in straight, standard fashion as most of his films, and even if it's top 5 film (which im not sure it is yet) could struggle I'm predicting noms for BP, Actor, Screenplay, and maybe Fishburne in Supporting if your actor prediction is Cranston, then I heard that he's going supporting (?)(not sure of it) And, with the year Carrel may have, him getting in for supporting would be a sensible bet. I'm having it right now for Pic, BD, Screenplay, Cranston, Carrel and Film Editing (noms), with Fishburne in Top 10
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