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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Nov 20, 2021 0:51:20 GMT
For now sticking with
Smith*
Washington
DiCaprio
Cumberbatch
Cooper
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Nov 21, 2021 4:01:12 GMT
These are…interesting
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morton
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Post by morton on Nov 21, 2021 4:19:45 GMT
I’m definitely not the best prognosticator, but I have to wonder what some pundits are smoking. I know Hill got a lot of attention after Telluride and TIFF, but I don’t even feel he’s anywhere close to being like a Haley Joel Osment or even a Jacob Tremblay. His other predictions are okay although I think that Rex and Driver are below Dinklage and even maybe below Collins Jr. Not that it matters much because I think all 4 end up missing. Right now I have the consensus 4 (Cumberbatch, DiCaprio, Smith, and Washington) with the fifth spot being a battle royale. Although I agree with those in another thread that they could see someone being Hanks-ed. |
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Nov 21, 2021 13:59:10 GMT
I’m definitely not the best prognosticator, but I have to wonder what some pundits are smoking. I know Hill got a lot of attention after Telluride and TIFF, but I don’t even feel he’s anywhere close to being like a Haley Joel Osment or even a Jacob Tremblay. His other predictions are okay although I think that Rex and Driver are below Dinklage and even maybe below Collins Jr. Not that it matters much because I think all 4 end up missing. Right now I have the consensus 4 (Cumberbatch, DiCaprio, Smith, and Washington) with the fifth spot being a battle royale. Although I agree with those in another thread that they could see someone being Hanks-ed. I’m not sure how accurate Feinberg generally his with his predictions but in his comments he added that he doesn’t think Washington is close to a lock and people aren’t really connecting to the film. I’m certainly taking it with a grain of salt. |
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Post by pupdurcs on Nov 21, 2021 14:12:56 GMT
I’m definitely not the best prognosticator, but I have to wonder what some pundits are smoking. I know Hill got a lot of attention after Telluride and TIFF, but I don’t even feel he’s anywhere close to being like a Haley Joel Osment or even a Jacob Tremblay. His other predictions are okay although I think that Rex and Driver are below Dinklage and even maybe below Collins Jr. Not that it matters much because I think all 4 end up missing. Right now I have the consensus 4 (Cumberbatch, DiCaprio, Smith, and Washington) with the fifth spot being a battle royale. Although I agree with those in another thread that they could see someone being Hanks-ed. I’m not sure how accurate Feinberg generally his with his predictions but in his comments he added that he doesn’t think Washington is close to a lock and people aren’t really connecting to the film. I’m certainly taking it with a grain of salt. Sounds like Fienberg is just trying to push favorites or people he can get on his podcast. Gotta read between the lines when pundits make clearly outlandish comments sometimes, as some hope their statements can influence the race. It's completely ridiculous to claim The Tragedy Of Macbeth has "no buzz", yet in the same breath claim Andrew Garfield is now a "lock" for Best Actor in a niche musical Tick, Tick Boom that could barely get into the top 10 when it came out on Netflix. Where is the "buzz" on his film or Garfield? Fienberg is just trying to manufacture some for him. Maybe he'll be on the podcast. In no sane universe is Garfield locked ("sewn up") for Best Actor or Washington (who may be competitive for the win) in any danger of missing just because Fienberg says so. Feinberg could have made it more believable by not claiming Garfield is locked for a film with far less buzz and hopes of Oscar nods across the board than TTOM. It just makes it obvious what he's playing at. |
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Post by pupdurcs on Nov 21, 2021 14:22:49 GMT
Interesting to note Fienberg made his comments just after the LA Times Oscar Buzz Panel named Washington no.1 in their Best Actor Oscar forecasts in terms of "buzz" over Smith. Probably not a coincidence, as there is now a danger of Washington becoming the frontrunner and other pundits are feeling it. Tragedy Of Macbeth is also in several other categories.
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Post by pupdurcs on Nov 21, 2021 19:29:22 GMT
Lol! Just read on the AwardsWorthy forums that apparently Feinberg is in the tank for King Richard because he worked with Rick Macci and the Williams family. Makes perfect sense why he's trying to kneecap Denzel's potential frontrunner surge, and trying to place a non-threat like Garfield ahead of him. Washington is likely the biggest threat to Smith. This awards season shenanigans is a brutal and snaky business  |
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sirchuck23
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Post by sirchuck23 on Nov 21, 2021 19:30:32 GMT
Aw shit…here we go.
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Post by pupdurcs on Nov 21, 2021 19:33:35 GMT
Lol! That thread isn't ending very well for Big Willy. |
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sirchuck23
Based
Bad news dawg...you don't mind if I have some of your 300 dollar a glass shit there would ya?
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Post by sirchuck23 on Nov 21, 2021 19:59:54 GMT
Lol! That thread isn't ending very well for Big Willy.I guess he posed that question for a Twitter debate because King Richard just released and Denzel and Will will be competing in Best Actor this year..but I mean seriously..and I love Will Smith he’s a big part of my childhood and one my fave movie stars ever…but no man..no. Even Will will tell you that. |
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Post by quetee on Nov 21, 2021 21:45:29 GMT
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Post by franklin on Nov 23, 2021 21:11:47 GMT
1. Will Smith
2. Benedict Cumberbatch
3. Leonardo DiCaprio
4. Andrew Garfield
5. Denzel Washington
I know it's still late November but i don’t see how anyone among the other contenders (Dinklage, Bardem, Phoenix, Cooper, and Rex) can break this quintet.
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Post by JangoB on Nov 24, 2021 11:49:17 GMT
1. Will Smith 2. Benedict Cumberbatch 3. Leonardo DiCaprio 4. Andrew Garfield 5. Denzel Washington I know it's still late November but i don’t see how anyone among the other contenders (Dinklage, Bardem, Phoenix, Cooper, and Rex) can break this quintet. Are these ranked? If so, why on earth is Denzel #5?? Why the confidence with Garfield who's film was forgotten as soon as it came out? |
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Post by mhynson27 on Nov 24, 2021 11:50:50 GMT
1. Will Smith 2. Benedict Cumberbatch 3. Leonardo DiCaprio 4. Andrew Garfield 5. Denzel Washington I know it's still late November but i don’t see how anyone among the other contenders (Dinklage, Bardem, Phoenix, Cooper, and Rex) can break this quintet. Are these ranked? If so, why on earth is Denzel #5?? Why the confidence with Garfield who's film was forgotten as soon as it came out? Behind Garfield is a bit much, but I do think there is a case to be made that Washington is 4th. |
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Post by JangoB on Nov 24, 2021 12:02:21 GMT
Are these ranked? If so, why on earth is Denzel #5?? Why the confidence with Garfield who's film was forgotten as soon as it came out? Behind Garfield is a bit much, but I do think there is a case to be made that Washington is 4th. Hmm, I dunno, I feel very confident about him, even more so than Leo. But just seeing him behind Garfield and at #5 really threw me off  |
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Post by Kirk-Picard on Nov 24, 2021 16:10:13 GMT
Bel-Airs Fresh Prince FTW
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Post by stephen on Nov 24, 2021 16:14:20 GMT
Are these ranked? If so, why on earth is Denzel #5?? Why the confidence with Garfield who's film was forgotten as soon as it came out? Behind Garfield is a bit much, but I do think there is a case to be made that Washington is 4th. I definitely don't have the confidence in Garfield, but I think DiCaprio is so safe for the nomination right now that he could arguably be ahead of Denzel as far as safety goes, but Washington has much more winner upside. |
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Nov 24, 2021 16:31:19 GMT
Behind Garfield is a bit much, but I do think there is a case to be made that Washington is 4th. I definitely don't have the confidence in Garfield, but I think DiCaprio is so safe for the nomination right now that he could arguably be ahead of Denzel as far as safety goes, but Washington has much more winner upside. I'm at that point where I think Smith, Denzel, Cumberpatch, Dicaprio and Garfield feels like a very solid top five but I've also been following the Oscars for so long (holy shit coming up on 20 years) that I know that it is pretty much never that simple and the consensus in late November is pretty much never the final nomination lineup. Honestly it's more likely that we have two of those wrong than we are 5/5 this early. |
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Post by stephen on Nov 24, 2021 16:42:03 GMT
I definitely don't have the confidence in Garfield, but I think DiCaprio is so safe for the nomination right now that he could arguably be ahead of Denzel as far as safety goes, but Washington has much more winner upside. I'm at that point where I think Smith, Denzel, Cumberpatch, Dicaprio and Garfield feels like a very solid top five but I've also been following the Oscars for so long (holy shit coming up on 20 years) that I know that it is pretty much never that simple and the consensus in late November is pretty much never the final nomination lineup. Honestly it's more likely that we have two of those wrong than we are 5/5 this early. It's a solid top five (or, rather, top four -- I still don't buy Garfield as the ultimate fifth despite the reviews and banner year), but you're right -- the lineup fluctuates a fair bit throughout the season and there are a lot of strong alternatives for that last spot. It's why I said there's a very good chance someone gets the Tom Hanks in Captain Phillips treatment -- all it takes is for a couple of those contenders to get passion votes and someone who was seen as safe but not necessarily engendering a whole lot of passion winds up frosted out at the last second. |
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Post by pacinoyes on Nov 24, 2021 20:07:51 GMT
I've only seen 2 ........
Smith - almost a lock to win - the part is programmed for a win - so much it's almost cynical - he does everything here, he's funny, sad, strong, weak, considers commiting a murder, honorable, decent, fights racism, preaches family, love and hard work - basically everything except doing the catering........um.......his big mouth or a negative campaign could knock him out for the win
Cumby
DiCap
Washington (Could still win where I dont think Cumby or DiCap can (?)) - Tragedy of Macbeth is good and his character ends memorably which he doesn't get often for both of those things - on the other hand he shares the spotlight, the movie is somewhat difficult, he has 2 already ........and he's not showy - at all - until the very end ...........also he's not Streep, he's closer to Lange, no one is Streep .....
BardemNot sure why I'd have Garfield over Dinklage (?) - whose pic can get mutiple nods maybe - and not sure why I'd have either of those dudes over a previous Oscar winner ...........in apparently an audience friendly movie............. with possibly the female winner for BA in it and a screenplay nod all but assured?  Cooper waiting to kick out Bardem........maybe .........I dunno........Cooper gets in and if he's major (big IF) he could challenge Smith because his film is commercial too, he's "due" (not really, whatever), he's acting opposite someone likely to get a nod or a win (in BSA).....he ticks off the boxes but not like Smith does ........ |
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sirchuck23
Based
Bad news dawg...you don't mind if I have some of your 300 dollar a glass shit there would ya?
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Post by sirchuck23 on Nov 30, 2021 3:30:25 GMT
If the Best Actor lineup for this year ended up being:
Bradley Cooper
Benedict Cumberbatch
Leonardo DiCaprio
Will Smith
Denzel Washington
Would it make that lineup the starriest A-List Best Actor lineup of the 21st century so far?
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sirchuck23
Based
Bad news dawg...you don't mind if I have some of your 300 dollar a glass shit there would ya?
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Post by sirchuck23 on Dec 2, 2021 8:56:44 GMT
Welp..Bye Bradley
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Post by pacinoyes on Dec 2, 2021 11:09:39 GMT
Garfield has suddenly surged to 3rd in Gold Derby's odds now all of a sudden - Washington 4th. Kind of shocked that Garfield is outpacing Dinklage (who's 5th) much less Washington......
Garfield 11/2, Washington 6/1 .........Smith and I'mCumbydammit at 1 and 2
Those guys have a history btw Garfield beat him out for the Tony Award a few years back though where Washington was in that year could be argued I guess.
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Post by JangoB on Dec 2, 2021 11:29:53 GMT
All hail Franklin the Oracle  |
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Post by DanQuixote on Dec 2, 2021 13:44:50 GMT
1. Will Smith
2. Benedict Cumberbatch
3. Leonardo DiCaprio
4. Denzel Washington
I’m feeling pretty confident in these four (I wouldn’t call them locks because it’s still early). I think Garfield will probably pop up as the fifth nominee at SAG and could easily win the Comedy Globe (if they happen). However, I think he’ll end up getting snubbed like Egerton before him. I’m gonna say Phoenix ends up getting nominated instead. Cooper, Bardem and Dinklage are threats too.
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