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Post by stabcaesar on Jan 18, 2024 13:43:25 GMT
I'm dying to see the uproar if Gerwig was snubbed In a year that will likely have three films by female directors nominated for Best Picture a snub of Gerwig, Triet and Song would cause an #oscarssowhite type of uproar.
Until now I thought it wouldn't happen because Payne would miss out but The Holdovers now looks so strong that he'll likely make it in.
Best chance to have a female director is now that Triet takes that Cannes winning auteur spot that has become a staple in the last years instead of Glazer. Or maybe Lanthimos misses, after BAFTA nothing seems too crazy anymore.
Well the directors branch is the one that gives the least amount of fucks about uproars. I agree that Nolan, Scorsese, Payne, Lanthimos and Glazer are our final five.
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Archie
Based
Eraserhead son or Inland Empire daughter?
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Post by Archie on Jan 18, 2024 13:43:44 GMT
If The Holdovers gets Payne and Sessa in, it's winning BP.
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Post by stabcaesar on Jan 18, 2024 13:45:03 GMT
If The Holdovers gets Payne and Sessa in, it's winning BP. Not if Oppenheimer gets in everywhere it needs to get in.
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Post by pacinoyes on Jan 18, 2024 13:48:38 GMT
If Gladstone wins it mirrors KotFM in that she starts fine in the movie and award season..........is then poisoned literally through the whole movie and metaphorically in the award season by the White Devil in the movie and VanillaEmma Stone irl, but then would live to somehow triumph over her oppressors who are so white that Emma Stone is practically translucent with her freckles ffs........ On the other hand if Emma Stone wins...she started off dead, was considered a poor thing, found her own power as the movie and the award season went on and fncked her way to the top - so much that in my house I often call her VaginaEmma Stone Um........oh nevermind........
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Jan 18, 2024 13:49:46 GMT
I'm dying to see the uproar if Gerwig was snubbed In a year that will likely have three films by female directors nominated for Best Picture a snub of Gerwig, Triet and Song would cause an #oscarssowhite type of uproar.
Until now I thought it wouldn't happen because Payne would miss out but The Holdovers now looks so strong that he'll likely make it in.
Best chance to have a female director is now that Triet takes that Cannes winning auteur spot that has become a staple in the last years instead of Glazer. Or maybe Lanthimos misses, after BAFTA nothing seems too crazy anymore.
To be honest I don’t think the directors branch cares at all what Twitter thinks.
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Post by stephen on Jan 18, 2024 13:52:46 GMT
In a year that will likely have three films by female directors nominated for Best Picture a snub of Gerwig, Triet and Song would cause an #oscarssowhite type of uproar.
Until now I thought it wouldn't happen because Payne would miss out but The Holdovers now looks so strong that he'll likely make it in.
Best chance to have a female director is now that Triet takes that Cannes winning auteur spot that has become a staple in the last years instead of Glazer. Or maybe Lanthimos misses, after BAFTA nothing seems too crazy anymore.
To be honest I don’t think the directors branch cares at all what Twitter thinks. They don't at all.
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Post by DanQuixote on Jan 18, 2024 13:59:45 GMT
They reaaaally need to overhaul the BAFTA membership as soon as possible. £500 a pop for membership is insane. When the Globes have more interesting nominees, you know you’re in trouble.
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Post by Pavan on Jan 18, 2024 14:26:28 GMT
Gladstone is KOTFM's biggest chance at a win and now her chances are looking slim. The film that started its journey as a frontrunner might end up with zero Oscar wins.
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Post by JangoB on Jan 18, 2024 14:27:14 GMT
If The Holdovers gets Payne and Sessa in, it's winning BP. Nah, it'll just mean Oppy will have a definite runner-up.
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havok2
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Post by havok2 on Jan 18, 2024 14:30:13 GMT
Lol but 'Payne isn't no. 4'
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Post by franklin on Jan 18, 2024 14:39:21 GMT
Gladstone, DiCaprio and Scorsese snubbed???
WTF???
British voters are on crack!!!
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Post by Pavan on Jan 18, 2024 14:39:33 GMT
Noms Tally-
Oppenheimer- 13 Poor Things- 11 Killers of the Flower Moon- 9 The Zone of Interest- 9 The Holdovers- 7 Anatomy of a Fall- 7 Maestro- 7
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Jan 18, 2024 14:57:15 GMT
In a year that will likely have three films by female directors nominated for Best Picture a snub of Gerwig, Triet and Song would cause an #oscarssowhite type of uproar.
Until now I thought it wouldn't happen because Payne would miss out but The Holdovers now looks so strong that he'll likely make it in.
Best chance to have a female director is now that Triet takes that Cannes winning auteur spot that has become a staple in the last years instead of Glazer. Or maybe Lanthimos misses, after BAFTA nothing seems too crazy anymore.
To be honest I don’t think the directors branch cares at all what Twitter thinks. It’s crazy to me how much people inside the Twitter bubble believe that people outside of it it care about it the slightest
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Post by Allenism on Jan 18, 2024 15:00:19 GMT
Teo Yoo getting in is wild, esepcially with the Lee snub.
It was only a few years ago when their Best Actress line-up had 0 matches with the Academy's, so it feels difficult to say how much of a harbinger they still are for the big categories.
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Jan 18, 2024 15:00:35 GMT
To be honest I don’t think the directors branch cares at all what Twitter thinks. It’s crazy to me how much people inside the Twitter bubble believe that people outside of it it care about it the slightest Oh god I saw people literally saying Maestro was at risk because film Twitter hates it.
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Post by mhynson27 on Jan 18, 2024 15:01:42 GMT
Teo Yoo getting in is wild, esepcially with the Lee snub. It was only a few years ago when their Best Actress line-up had 0 matches with the Academy's, so it feels difficult to say how much of a harbinger they still are for the big categories. I believe I read that each category has a different jury.
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Post by stephen on Jan 18, 2024 15:05:43 GMT
It’s crazy to me how much people inside the Twitter bubble believe that people outside of it it care about it the slightest Oh god I saw people literally saying Maestro was at risk because film Twitter hates it. To be fair, I wonder if some of the BAFTA jurors looked at the Maestro hate and said, "You know what would be really funny?"
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paulgallo
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Post by paulgallo on Jan 18, 2024 15:08:31 GMT
In a year that will likely have three films by female directors nominated for Best Picture a snub of Gerwig, Triet and Song would cause an #oscarssowhite type of uproar.
Until now I thought it wouldn't happen because Payne would miss out but The Holdovers now looks so strong that he'll likely make it in.
Best chance to have a female director is now that Triet takes that Cannes winning auteur spot that has become a staple in the last years instead of Glazer. Or maybe Lanthimos misses, after BAFTA nothing seems too crazy anymore.
To be honest I don’t think the directors branch cares at all what Twitter thinks. I know that. They still could nominate Triet or Gerwig regardless and I was speculating how that could occur. That's why I wrote that Triet would fit their preference for Cannes winning foreign auteurs.
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Post by Billy_Costigan on Jan 18, 2024 15:32:12 GMT
BAFTA's process is broken with the jury committees now. It's hard to compare them to nominations 3+ years ago. The Longlist is more important at this point.
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Post by RiverleavesElmius on Jan 18, 2024 15:56:07 GMT
People are waaaay overthinking this shit, as usual. BAFTA are NOT in any way a good harbinger for the Oscars. Gladstone could still win and Gerwig is still a lot stronger in director than Payne (though they could both get in). Unlike the guild awards, these noms change and/or settle nothing. To think this justifies doubt about Gerwig or makes Stone/Gladstone less of a race is absurd. Only one I will say is hurt by this is Leo, since he was also (UNFAIRLY) snubbed by SAG and getting snubbed by BOTH is a bad combo, but he could still get in at the Oscars.
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Jan 18, 2024 15:56:07 GMT
BAFTA's process is broken with the jury committees now. It's hard to compare them to nominations 3+ years ago. The Longlist is more important at this point. I think it’s funny that they would rather just create this convoluted voting system then just invite more diverse people up their voting body.
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filmnoir
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Post by filmnoir on Jan 18, 2024 16:43:25 GMT
Ruffalo now has missed SAG and BAFTA. It was pointed out by the pundits that Poor Things did miss SAG ensemble and Lanthimos was snubbed at BAFTA.
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Post by stabcaesar on Jan 18, 2024 16:47:26 GMT
Ruffalo now has missed SAG and BAFTA. It was pointed out by the pundits that Poor Things did miss SAG ensemble and Lanthimos was snubbed at BAFTA. Yeah I don't see how Ruffalo is in a better position than say Melton now. He missed both SAG and BAFTA. He is obviously a far more established name than some other contenders and the film is stronger, but he also has Dafoe splitting is votes.
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Jan 18, 2024 17:06:37 GMT
Ruffalo now has missed SAG and BAFTA. It was pointed out by the pundits that Poor Things did miss SAG ensemble and Lanthimos was snubbed at BAFTA. Yeah I don't see how Ruffalo is in a better position than say Melton now. He missed both SAG and BAFTA. He is obviously a far more established name than some other contenders and the film is stronger, but he also has Dafoe splitting is votes. I don’t really believe in vote splitting. These performances are all competing with each other. Not more so with performance in the same film. Vote splitting didn’t hurt the Banshees men or EEAO women last year.
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Post by stabcaesar on Jan 18, 2024 17:16:07 GMT
Yeah I don't see how Ruffalo is in a better position than say Melton now. He missed both SAG and BAFTA. He is obviously a far more established name than some other contenders and the film is stronger, but he also has Dafoe splitting is votes. I don’t really believe in vote splitting. These performances are all competing with each other. Not more so with performance in the same film. Vote splitting didn’t hurt the Banshees men or EEAO women last year. But it hurt Belfast and The Fabelmans. Banshees men both got in everywhere last year, and EEAAO turned out to be the biggest sweeper of all time. The fact that Ruffalo is missing everywhere shows that Poor Things is more like Belfast/The Fabelmans.
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