Zeb31
Based
Bernardo is not believing que vous êtes come to bing bing avec nous
Posts: 2,557 
Likes: 3,794
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Post by Zeb31 on Jan 23, 2018 13:49:22 GMT
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The-Havok
Badass
Doing pretty good so far
Posts: 1,155
Likes: 552
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Post by The-Havok on Jan 23, 2018 13:53:43 GMT
Phantom Thread.
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dazed
Based
Posts: 2,656
Likes: 1,821
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Post by dazed on Jan 23, 2018 13:54:02 GMT
Billboards.
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Post by stephen on Jan 23, 2018 13:55:16 GMT
Honestly, depends on what wins Original Screenplay at this rate. But I think Shape's PGA/DGA combo makes it the one to beat, but Three Billboards still has an edge due to the actorly representation within the Academy and the guaranteed two wins it's getting in above-the-line categories. If McDonagh wins Screenplay, it still can win. But if Peele or Gerwig win, it's probably the death knell for Billboards.
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Post by reggaetapes on Jan 23, 2018 14:12:56 GMT
Its between Lady Bird and Three Billboards imo.
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Jan 23, 2018 14:16:52 GMT
Three Billboards
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Post by mhynson27 on Jan 23, 2018 14:20:02 GMT
The Shape of Water
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doodle
New Member
Posts: 221
Likes: 29
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Post by doodle on Jan 23, 2018 14:50:24 GMT
Three Billboards
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Post by Pavan on Jan 23, 2018 15:05:23 GMT
I'm inclining towards The Shape of Water. I hope it gets BP and Nolan gets BD, that'd be awesome.
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Post by TheAlwaysClassy on Jan 23, 2018 15:06:00 GMT
Probably The Shape of Water, but I still think Lady Bird will be the spoiler.
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Post by Billy_Costigan on Jan 23, 2018 15:07:46 GMT
The Shape of Water is the obvious choice right now. It hit everything it needed. No Get Out or Lady Bird in Editing. No Three Billboards for Director.
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Post by mhynson27 on Jan 23, 2018 15:14:01 GMT
The Shape of Water is the obvious choice right now. It hit everything it needed. No Get Out or Lady Bird in Editing. No Three Billboards for Director. There is one other film that hit both of those  |
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Post by FrancescoAbides on Jan 23, 2018 15:20:53 GMT
The Form of H2O, but Three Billboards wins BP if it gets Original Screenplay
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Post by moonman157 on Jan 23, 2018 15:22:54 GMT
The Fish Who Fucks probably
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Post by Pavan on Jan 23, 2018 15:23:24 GMT
The Shape of Water is the obvious choice right now. It hit everything it needed. No Get Out or Lady Bird in Editing. No Three Billboards for Director. There is one other film that hit both of those yeah but no screenplay or acting noms though. Dunkirk isn't that kind of film in the first place. |
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Jan 23, 2018 15:23:43 GMT
Shape of Water. I don't see Billboards getting that Argo style sympathy being as decisive as it is (also the studio wouldn't push that since they also have Shape) and Shape of Water is pretty much backlash proof (female lead, minority director, gay and black main characters) so I don't think it will get La La Landed
This race is by no means over and I still think the actors could possibly carry Billboards. I also think if Get Out and Lady Bird really pushed their narratives they might have a shot. There is a lot of time left.
I also don't think Dunkirk is an impossible winner for both DGA and Bafta so maybe they could make a race of it.
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Post by mhynson27 on Jan 23, 2018 15:26:42 GMT
There is one other film that hit both of those yeah but no screenplay or acting noms though. Dunkirk isn't that kind of film in the first place. Yeah I know, was just pointing out the success of the best film of 2017. |
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Post by therealcomicman117 on Jan 23, 2018 15:27:00 GMT
The Shape of Water I'd say.
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Post by pacinoyes on Jan 23, 2018 15:32:36 GMT
I'm going to say it won't be Shape of Water which I hated and is seriously a batsh it stupid movie. I used to say "too genre-y" and I still say it and not even good genre-y..........
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Jan 23, 2018 15:35:14 GMT
I'm going to say it won't be Shape of Water which I hated and is seriously a batsh it stupid movie. I used to say "too genre-y" and I still say it and not even good genre-y.......... You sound very non-partisan |
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Post by pacinoyes on Jan 23, 2018 15:39:53 GMT
Who wants a "non-partisan" movie lover?
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Jan 23, 2018 15:58:10 GMT
Still trying to process the fact that Three Billboards is going to lose to a lightweight bestiality fairy tale.
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Post by Joaquim on Jan 23, 2018 16:05:13 GMT
Find some dirt on Guillermo so Dunkirk can take it.
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Post by stephen on Jan 23, 2018 16:06:41 GMT
I'm going to say it won't be Shape of Water which I hated and is seriously a batsh it stupid movie. I used to say "too genre-y" and I still say it and not even good genre-y.......... You sound very non-partisan To be fair, pacinoyes was counting on Three Billboards to get Best Visual Effects . . . Just kidding, pacinoyes. You know I love ya. And hey, seven nods for Billboards ain't too shabby. |
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Post by bob-coppola on Jan 23, 2018 16:23:26 GMT
Unless Fox Searchlight goes insane and try to make an Argo-esque come-back, its chances are pretty slim I guess after the BD snub. It indeed got seven nods which is huge, but that snub was a big blow. I think The Shape of Water might win, or it could be BP/BD split, with Lady Bird or Phantom Thread winning. The MeToo movement could push Lady Bird, and the surprising strenght of Paul Thomas Anderson could be a sign.
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