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Post by Joaquim on Oct 28, 2024 17:02:17 GMT
See this response from AOC is funny to me (the 2nd tweet) because I don’t believe for one second that she’s actually attended a Kill Tony show. If she really has her ass would’ve walked out before Tony picked the first name out of his hat
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Post by quetee on Oct 28, 2024 17:06:12 GMT
Apparently Barron suggested that one ass hat comedian. Looks like someone really wants daddy’s assets. He probably should stop listening to his kids. JD Vance was suggested by JR. You notice Ivanka is the only smart one in the bunch. She got her money and bounced. |
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dazed
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Post by dazed on Oct 28, 2024 17:32:53 GMT
See this response from AOC is funny to me (the 2nd tweet) because I don’t believe for one second that she’s actually attended a Kill Tony show. If she really has her ass would’ve walked out before Tony picked the first name out of his hat i didn’t watch the live stream but i seen a clip of it (the one that tony replied to in that thread) and aoc seemed to know who he was right away (as well as him being a comedian) when walz asked who he is. maybe he introduced himself earlier idk. |
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Post by mikediastavrone96 on Oct 28, 2024 18:06:35 GMT
See this response from AOC is funny to me (the 2nd tweet) because I don’t believe for one second that she’s actually attended a Kill Tony show. If she really has her ass would’ve walked out before Tony picked the first name out of his hat I think you'd be surprised how into edgy humor leftists can be. A joke at a comedy club can feel harmless; it's hard to pretend it means nothing when that same joke is being used for a presidential rally. |
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Post by Joaquim on Oct 28, 2024 18:18:36 GMT
See this response from AOC is funny to me (the 2nd tweet) because I don’t believe for one second that she’s actually attended a Kill Tony show. If she really has her ass would’ve walked out before Tony picked the first name out of his hat I think you'd be surprised how into edgy humor leftists can be. A joke at a comedy club can feel harmless; it's hard to pretend it means nothing when that same joke is being used for a presidential rally.I actually agree with this, my thing is I just can’t picture AOC in particular being a fan of Kill Tony. That’s why I singled out just the second tweet where she says she’s attended shows in the past. She could’ve just left it at the first tweet and I wouldn’t find anything to smirk at |
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Post by quetee on Oct 28, 2024 18:44:06 GMT
What I find interesting about his tweet is that he said he made fun of everyone.....no he didn't. He picked the same groups to bash ...and seriously, you are lame in 2024 if your joke references black people and watermelon.
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Post by pacinoyes on Oct 28, 2024 19:59:42 GMT
released 2day  |
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Post by pacinoyes on Oct 29, 2024 13:10:14 GMT
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Post by Brother Fease on Oct 29, 2024 18:40:01 GMT
Harris just won the Kids Pick the President poll. Since 1988, the kids have predicted the winner except in 2004 and 2016.
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cherry68
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Man is unhappy because he doesn't know he's happy. It's only that.
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Post by cherry68 on Oct 29, 2024 20:49:17 GMT
Harris just won the Kids Pick the President poll. Since 1988, the kids have predicted the winner except in 2004 and 2016. |
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Post by Joaquim on Oct 29, 2024 20:55:24 GMT
Harris just won the Kids Pick the President poll. Since 1988, the kids have predicted the winner except in 2004 and 2016. Give it a rest bro |
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Post by urbanpatrician on Oct 29, 2024 21:16:50 GMT
Harris just won the Kids Pick the President poll. Since 1988, the kids have predicted the winner except in 2004 and 2016. And Cincinnati bakery shop - whoever sells more cookies at the shop has won every election since 1984 but one. Trump wins. See what happens when you have all these exceptions? Like this (my graphic), the Redskins rule, or the Lichtman guy. That means....one of these picks is most certainly wrong.  |
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Post by Brother Fease on Oct 30, 2024 0:02:38 GMT
Harris just won the Kids Pick the President poll. Since 1988, the kids have predicted the winner except in 2004 and 2016.
Trump wins.See what happens when you have all these exceptions? Like this (my graphic), the Redskins rule, or the Lichtman guy. That means....one of these picks is most certainly wrong. Lets first correct the record: Based on your own link or screen shot, the contest is still going on and there's about an 800 cookie difference. It's still too early to declare victory.
The Redskin Rule is pure coincidence. It's not a reliable or logical method to predict elections.
Allan Lichtman has an objective algorithm to predict elections. It's based on reading the temperature of the country, and has laid out his criteria on how these keys are determined. He's 38/41 all time for the electoral college and 9/10 since he began predicting.
I go by the Misery Index algorithm. That's been accurate 15 out of the 16 cycles. 1976 was the last time it missed.
I get it, you support Donald Trump. That's cool. He might win. My guess is that you think "the cookie poll" is a sign of enthusiasm, and the candidate people are the most passionate about, generally wins. I get that. But the problem here is that Leonardo Dicaprio could go online and buy a thousand Harris cookies and tilt the balance.
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Post by pacinoyes on Oct 30, 2024 0:26:17 GMT
Tha thread will be awesome the week after huh?
The 2024 presidential race is likely to come down to the seven battleground states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Winners are most likely to be called in Georgia, Michigan and North Carolina, but in the other four it may take some time, especially if the margins are close. In fact, thanks to a combination of new state laws and the inaction of legislators who could have made vote-counting more efficient — but didn’t — it may take even longer to declare a winner than it did in 2020, when news organizations called the race four days after Election Day. www.nytimes.com/2024/10/29/opinion/election-night-trump-harris.html |
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Post by urbanpatrician on Oct 30, 2024 0:49:11 GMT
And Cincinnati bakery shop - whoever sells more cookies at the shop has won every election since 1984 but one.
Trump wins.See what happens when you have all these exceptions? Like this (my graphic), the Redskins rule, or the Lichtman guy. That means....one of these picks is most certainly wrong. Lets first correct the record: Based on your own link or screen shot, the contest is still going on and there's about an 800 cookie difference. It's still too early to declare victory.
The Redskin Rule is pure coincidence. It's not a reliable or logical method to predict elections.
Allan Lichtman has an objective algorithm to predict elections. It's based on reading the temperature of the country, and has laid out his criteria on how these keys are determined. He's 38/41 all time for the electoral college and 9/10 since he began predicting.
I go by the Misery Index algorithm. That's been accurate 15 out of the 16 cycles. 1976 was the last time it missed.
I get it, you support Donald Trump. That's cool. He might win. My guess is that you think "the cookie poll" is a sign of enthusiasm, and the candidate people are the most passionate about, generally wins. I get that. But the problem here is that Leonardo Dicaprio could go online and buy a thousand Harris cookies and tilt the balance.
No I'm not saying cookie shop is a sign of enthusiasm. It's just superstition like that, the Redskins rule (too many exceptions to be taken seriously) and Lichtman trying to use his silly model to predict elections he wasn't alive for is sketchy at best. And hes been wrong several times even predicting retrospective races to be taken seriously. And if he's right, then Nate Silver is wrong. Someone is wrong here. See? Leonardo DiCaprio can buy 1000 cookies but he's not going to and unless someone else is trying to intentionally buy cookies fraudulently, Trump has won the cookie sell already. How about the Gallup poll? See how accurate they have been. They track party registration (and there's more Republican registrations this year than 2020) and identification and they've never been over a point off since as far as info is given.  |
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Post by Brother Fease on Oct 30, 2024 1:18:51 GMT
Lets first correct the record: Based on your own link or screen shot, the contest is still going on and there's about an 800 cookie difference. It's still too early to declare victory.
The Redskin Rule is pure coincidence. It's not a reliable or logical method to predict elections.
Allan Lichtman has an objective algorithm to predict elections. It's based on reading the temperature of the country, and has laid out his criteria on how these keys are determined. He's 38/41 all time for the electoral college and 9/10 since he began predicting.
I go by the Misery Index algorithm. That's been accurate 15 out of the 16 cycles. 1976 was the last time it missed.
I get it, you support Donald Trump. That's cool. He might win. My guess is that you think "the cookie poll" is a sign of enthusiasm, and the candidate people are the most passionate about, generally wins. I get that. But the problem here is that Leonardo Dicaprio could go online and buy a thousand Harris cookies and tilt the balance.
No I'm not saying cookie shop is a sign of enthusiasm. It's just superstition like that, the Redskins rule (too many exceptions to be taken seriously) and Lichtman trying to use his silly model to predict elections he wasn't alive for is sketchy at best. And hes been wrong several times even predicting retrospective races to be taken seriously. And if he's right, then Nate Silver is wrong. Someone is wrong here. See? Leonardo DiCaprio can buy 1000 cookies but he's not going to and unless someone else is trying to intentionally buy cookies fraudulently, Trump has won the cookie sell already. How about the Gallup poll? See how accurate they have been. They track party registration (and there's more Republican registrations this year than 2020) and identification and they've never been over a point off since as far as info is given. Allan Lichtman's algorithm is not silly or superstition. He uses actually objective measures. You should actually learn his system.
You seem very triggered by posting the Kids Pick the President poll. It's a fun activity, and not really scientific. Same with The Redskins Rule. Same with the cookie poll.
Party registration means very little. There's no candidate attached to them. I know registered Democrats who vote Republicans. I know registered Republicans who vote for Democrats. And so forth. Marist released polls showing that Harris was leading in early in-person voting in Georgia and North Carolina. I do not take that seriously either, because you know, we have absentee votes and people who want to vote closer to election because you know, they are busy. You also have the concept that some people haven't made up their mind and reserving their right to cast their ballots on election day.
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Post by urbanpatrician on Oct 30, 2024 1:28:59 GMT
No I'm not saying cookie shop is a sign of enthusiasm. It's just superstition like that, the Redskins rule (too many exceptions to be taken seriously) and Lichtman trying to use his silly model to predict elections he wasn't alive for is sketchy at best. And hes been wrong several times even predicting retrospective races to be taken seriously. And if he's right, then Nate Silver is wrong. Someone is wrong here. See? Leonardo DiCaprio can buy 1000 cookies but he's not going to and unless someone else is trying to intentionally buy cookies fraudulently, Trump has won the cookie sell already. How about the Gallup poll? See how accurate they have been. They track party registration (and there's more Republican registrations this year than 2020) and identification and they've never been over a point off since as far as info is given. Allan Lichtman's algorithm is not silly or superstition. He uses actually objective measures. You should actually learn his system.
You seem very triggered by posting the Kids Pick the President poll. It's a fun activity, and not really scientific. Same with The Redskins Rule. Same with the cookie poll.
Party registration means very little. There's no candidate attached to them. I know registered Democrats who vote Republicans. I know registered Republicans who vote for Democrats. And so forth. Marist released polls showing that Harris was leading in early in-person voting in Georgia and North Carolina. I do not take that seriously either, because you know, we have absentee votes and people who want to vote closer to election because you know, they are busy. You also have the concept that some people haven't made up their mind and reserving their right to cast their ballots on election day.
You don't think party registration means anything? Not sure what to tell you then. 95% of Democrats vote Harris and about the same as Republicans voting Trump, so those exception voters about even out. Harris might be leading early voting, but Democrats always lead early voting. Thats no surprise. Is she getting the Biden early voting numbers she sorta needs given how close those states are and how many Trump voters are gonna show up on election day? Yes I agree those are fun activities, but I'm just saying they could go both ways. Just wondering if you think the same. |
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Post by quetee on Oct 30, 2024 1:45:15 GMT
For this election, I don't think party registration means that much. I think a lot of those early voting Republicans are not voting for Trump
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Post by urbanpatrician on Oct 30, 2024 1:57:21 GMT
For this election, I don't think party registration means that much. I think a lot of those early voting Republicans are not voting for Trump . It's a trend in every swing state. There can't be that many exceptions. Harris is finished unless she's holds off the Blue Wall. Doubtful and certainly playing on defense instead of offense at this point. |
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Post by Joaquim on Oct 30, 2024 11:30:15 GMT
For this election, I don't think party registration means that much. I think a lot of those early voting Republicans are not voting for Trump . The right has been going crazy on an early vote effort. Yes, those early voting republicans are indeed voting for Trump |
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Post by Joaquim on Oct 30, 2024 12:01:05 GMT
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Post by pacinoyes on Oct 30, 2024 13:24:41 GMT
So the sitting, presumably alive POTUS calls 75 million people who will vote for the Rancid Orange Blob "garbage".........and that's not worse than some shitty comedian making a bad joke? Most embarrassing election ever.......FUCK the last 8 years and all these assholes...... also none of these assholes is hot  |
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Post by Joaquim on Oct 30, 2024 13:38:32 GMT
So the sitting, presumably alive POTUS calls 75 million people who will vote for the Rancid Orange Blob "garbage".........and that's not worse than some shitty comedian making a bad joke? Most embarrassing election ever.......FUCK the last 8 years and all these assholes...... also none of these assholes is hot It completely undoes any damage Tony’s joke may have caused. Biden has been sabotaging Kamala’s campaign every step of the way ever since he was “encouraged” to step aside. The real October surprise was that he’s still got it and he was the better candidate all along  |
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Post by Ryan_MYeah on Oct 30, 2024 15:01:35 GMT
Does 75 million people voting for an obviously racist, sexist, elitist, and generally bigoted man who has no idea how to properly govern, and who’d gladly strip the rights and insurance that people like me depend on without a second thought, make them a bad person?
No, voting for Donald Trump in isolation does not inherently make you a bad person….
but it doesn’t matter. Because I don’t trust you, I can’t depend on you, and I have zero faith that if my neck were on the line, you’d abandon your self-interests to stick your neck out for me. Because it doesn’t affect you.
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Post by quetee on Oct 30, 2024 16:03:31 GMT
Does 75 million people voting for an obviously racist, sexist, elitist, and generally bigoted man who has no idea how to properly govern, and who’d gladly strip the rights and insurance that people like me depend on without a second thought, make them a bad person? No, voting for Donald Trump in isolation does not inherently make you a bad person…. but it doesn’t matter. Because I don’t trust you, I can’t depend on you, and I have zero faith that if my neck were on the line, you’d abandon your self-interests to stick your neck out for me. Because it doesn’t affect you. I pretty much side-eye the judgement. How anyone can listen to him, read what he's about and still sign on the dotted line...well, only cares about some imaginary eggs are $10 b.s |
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