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Post by urbanpatrician on Sept 14, 2024 23:31:32 GMT
Love Sara Eisen's little facial expressions.........i've said this before the hottest girl - by faaaaaaaaaaaaar - on the Left side of the aisle / media is Jessica Burbank of The Hill.....i posted her in Celebrity Crushes once ........iirc correctly ONLY theycallmemrfish liked the photo........which makes him the only heterosexual male on this fucking place besides me apparently
The female versions of Allan Lichman and Nate Silver. Your girl on the left. She's definitely hot regardless of her platform even tho she clearly got KO'ed here. Lichman. Silver. One of them is wrong. We'll find out who. It's clear by that 50-50 dilemma tho, - that seers can't be taken with certainty.
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Post by Brother Fease on Sept 14, 2024 23:43:28 GMT
Obviously a lot can happen in two months but Harris is the obvious frontrunner as of now. It's a pro incumbent cycle, Biden was only struggling due to his personal unpopularity, not the fundamentals of the election. I kind of get his probability.Trump over-performed in 2016 and Biden won by less than expected in 2020. If you look at Trump's polling numbers in 2016 and 2020, they are actually better in 2024 than they were in either of those other years. That's my sense of his probability. There seems to be an expectation from Silver that there are more "hidden Trump voters" than there are passionate Harris fans.
I do agree with your commentary. It should be obvious to everybody, regardless of your preference. Harris is the frontrunner. She has the passion vote. 538 has Harris with a 59% chance of winning. Allan Lichtman's objective model and the Misery Index model have Harris winning.
But as I have stated before, I suspect that "his model" will eventually adjust to Harris as the favorite. I would be surprised his probability leans toward Trump or doesn't end up with a 52-48 type split.
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Post by Joaquim on Sept 15, 2024 2:54:06 GMT
I wouldn’t say Kamala won the debate, more like she just didn’t lose it. She is dumber than a box of rocks but Trump was a complete and utter embarrassment. Probably the most embarrassing debate performance of all time. At least with Biden you can feel slightly bad for him because he’s an elder abuse victim. Wtf is Trump’s excuse for going full deranged Facebook boomer? Anyone who passes the California state bar, one of the toughest in the U.S....that person is no dummy.
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Post by quetee on Sept 15, 2024 18:56:58 GMT
So a 79 year old presidential candidate going on social media saying: I hate Taylor Swift.
Is beyond ridiculous.
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cherry68
Based
Man is unhappy because he doesn't know he's happy. It's only that.
Posts: 4,110
Likes: 2,362
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Post by cherry68 on Sept 15, 2024 21:21:43 GMT
A shooting near Trump in Florida while he was playing golf. An AK 47 was found in a backpack.
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Post by TylerDeneuve on Sept 15, 2024 21:32:48 GMT
A shooting near Trump in Florida while he was playing golf. An AK 47 was found in a backpack. Damn... The Swifties are activated.
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Post by quetee on Sept 15, 2024 21:56:47 GMT
More distractions. No more cats and dogs. Trump's supporters are not trying to kill him.
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Post by pacinoyes on Sept 15, 2024 22:13:42 GMT
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Post by quetee on Sept 15, 2024 22:19:55 GMT
Trump has already sent out a donation link. 🤣..... grifter city.
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Post by TylerDeneuve on Sept 16, 2024 0:32:41 GMT
She wouldn't have missed.
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Post by quetee on Sept 16, 2024 0:39:22 GMT
It appears this guy was an ex 2016 Trump supporter.
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Post by Joaquim on Sept 16, 2024 2:01:14 GMT
Can someone pls hit the fucking target?!?!
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Post by pacinoyes on Sept 16, 2024 6:12:21 GMT
Nate Silver has.....as of today ......... tied himself into knots ......
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Post by TylerDeneuve on Sept 16, 2024 14:45:09 GMT
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Post by Lord_Buscemi on Sept 16, 2024 14:54:40 GMT
Pretty sure that would be Jason Derulo or Wyclef Jean, right?
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Post by urbanpatrician on Sept 16, 2024 18:22:30 GMT
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Post by quetee on Sept 16, 2024 20:39:35 GMT
Anyone have the viral clip of Megan Kelly's guest dropping the N word?
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Post by Brother Fease on Sept 16, 2024 21:49:25 GMT
Anyone have the viral clip of Megan Kelly's guest dropping the N word? As you wish.
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Post by quetee on Sept 16, 2024 23:23:53 GMT
Anyone have the viral clip of Megan Kelly's guest dropping the N word? As you wish.
He claims he meant migrants. 🤣
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Post by Brother Fease on Sept 16, 2024 23:41:31 GMT
He claims he meant migrants. 🤣 We will never know what was within his heart, but I am pretty sure that the M in migrants doesn't have an N sound. You know, just a wild guess. I just think it is funny that somebody was trying to defend racist and xenophobic comments, ended up making racist comments.
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Sept 17, 2024 2:39:05 GMT
* feverishly hitting f5* Harris is as likely to take Wisconsin (66%) as Trump is Florida per the 538 model. Plus The Suffolk University poll that just came out also had her up 3+ in PA and winning women by a higher margin than Trump is winning men. Taylor Swift won the Super Bowl and now she's coming for the White House.
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cherry68
Based
Man is unhappy because he doesn't know he's happy. It's only that.
Posts: 4,110
Likes: 2,362
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Post by cherry68 on Sept 17, 2024 6:28:04 GMT
* feverishly hitting f5* Harris is as likely to take Wisconsin (66%) as Trump is Florida per the 538 model. Plus The Suffolk University poll that just came out also had her up 3+ in PA and winning women by a higher margin than Trump is winning men. Taylor Swift won the Super Bowl and now she's coming for the White House. I can say Swift jinxed the US open.
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Sept 18, 2024 15:12:33 GMT
annnd Senate Republicans just blocked the IVF protections bill for a second time. Gifting Harris/Walz talking points on a silver platter.
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Post by quetee on Sept 18, 2024 15:23:27 GMT
annnd Senate Republicans just blocked the IVF protections bill for a second time. Gifting Harris/Walz talking points on a silver platter. What do they have against IVF??
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Post by TylerDeneuve on Sept 18, 2024 16:03:59 GMT
annnd Senate Republicans just blocked the IVF protections bill for a second time. Gifting Harris/Walz talking points on a silver platter. What do they have against IVF?? They want to pass a fetal personhood bill eventually, so fertilized eggs and embryos on ice would create a huge legal quagmire.
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