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Post by Joaquim on Sept 2, 2024 23:55:00 GMT
I think polls are just keeping Trump relevant. The only way he wins this is if he cheats. Period. This statement is a threat to our democracy |
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Post by Joaquim on Sept 3, 2024 0:05:44 GMT
Another reason that republicans have been underperforming since Roe v. Wade got overturned which doesn’t get talked about much is that a lot of pro lifers are single issue voters. All they really cared about was getting Roe v. Wade overturned. Once that happened and the abortion issue was kicked back to the states, it’s like the pro lifers essentially got everything they wanted so they’re not coming out to vote anymore because mission accomplished. What these idiots don’t realize is that now when abortion ends up on the ballot and they don’t turn out to vote because they already got everything they wanted with Roe getting overturned, the state ends up becoming even more pro choice than it was before because only the energized pro choicers are turning out to vote
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cherry68
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Man is unhappy because he doesn't know he's happy. It's only that.
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Post by cherry68 on Sept 3, 2024 17:39:28 GMT
Joaquim A bit off topic, but Maduro proclaimed Christmas will come on October 1st this year in Venezuela.
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Sept 3, 2024 17:47:00 GMT
Joaquim A bit off topic, but Maduro proclaimed Christmas will come on October 1st this year in Venezuela. Spooky Season erasure. Disgusting  |
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Post by Joaquim on Sept 3, 2024 18:24:03 GMT
Joaquim A bit off topic, but Maduro proclaimed Christmas will come on October 1st this year in Venezuela.  |
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Post by quetee on Sept 4, 2024 17:46:23 GMT
Wow... In recent interview, Trump said he never went to Epstein's Island.
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Post by pacinoyes on Sept 4, 2024 18:15:17 GMT
"For Trump to win these swing states, he needs to be up by at least 3%."
Nah ^ Trump underpolls - in 2016 & 2020 - he can win and be down by 5+ even in general overall polling .............. will he win? ........probably not - but swing states wthin margin of error trumps (no pun) the General Election poll #'s and to a lesser extent the specific state polls too
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Post by quetee on Sept 4, 2024 22:20:10 GMT
Liz Cheney just endorsed Kamala. Hoping, Dubya is next.
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Post by Martin Stett on Sept 4, 2024 22:44:37 GMT
Liz Cheney just endorsed Kamala. Hoping, Dubya is next. This endorsement may just drive me to actually vote Trump |
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Archie
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Eraserhead son or Inland Empire daughter?
Posts: 4,163 
Likes: 4,844
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Post by Archie on Sept 4, 2024 22:52:37 GMT
We love Dubya now!!! He's so wholesome 🥰🥰🥰😇
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Post by pacinoyes on Sept 4, 2024 22:58:37 GMT
Liz Cheney just endorsed Kamala. Hoping, Dubya is next. This endorsement may just drive me to actually vote Trump Speaking of endorsements from the other party for a candidate does NO ONE find Tulsi Gabbard hot in 2024 or is this that weird MAR type shit of "the women on FOX don't look human" (um) or "I have too much integrity in my wang to fantasize about her!" and what not   Joaquim may need a poll....just sayin' |
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Post by Brother Fease on Sept 5, 2024 0:11:20 GMT
"For Trump to win these swing states, he needs to be up by at least 3%." Nah ^ Trump underpolls - in 2016 & 2020 - he can win and be down by 5+ even in general overall polling .............. will he win? ........probably not - but swing states wthin margin of error trumps (no pun) the General Election poll #'s and to a lesser extent the specific state polls tooHow so? Just look at the 2022 midterms. Warnock and Fetterman were not favored to win. Abortion has been a gigantic road block for the Republicans. It is a consistent trend. Special elections have favored the Democrats too. On top of that, look at the favor ability ratings. Harris has a net favor ability, Trump is polling just as bad as Biden.
I am not saying Trump cannot turn the boat around and Harris is incapable of losing momentum, but there's going to be a significant portion of our population who will vote for Blue simply because of the issue of abortion. We're already seeing women and low income voters disproportionately favoring Harris.
2016 is not 2024. People do not view both candidates as corrupt and unlikable. In 2020, Trump lost the states of Wisconsin, Michigan, Penn, Georgia, and Arizona. This time around Trump is a convicted felon, found liable for sexual assault, sexual abuse, defamation of character and causing injuries to E. Jean Carroll, AND tried to steal a presidential election.
So yes, Trump needs to be up for by at least 3% in these swing states for him to have a good chance. As of today, Harris is beating him in the polls, fundraising, crowd size, and energy.
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Post by pacinoyes on Sept 5, 2024 0:35:42 GMT
"For Trump to win these swing states, he needs to be up by at least 3%." Nah ^ Trump underpolls - in 2016 & 2020 - he can win and be down by 5+ even in general overall polling .............. will he win? ........probably not - but swing states wthin margin of error trumps (no pun) the General Election poll #'s and to a lesser extent the specific state polls tooHow so? Just look at the 2022 midterms.
So yes, Trump needs to be up for by at least 3% in these swing states for him to have a good chance
already answered ths - Trump underperforms in the polls and HE'S never been on a ballot post Dobbs until now. We'll know soon enough......... that ahead by 3% is absurd, arbitrary ........ So no ...........disagree ...........have a nice evenng.............. |
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Post by Brother Fease on Sept 5, 2024 0:59:16 GMT
already answered ths - Trump underperforms in the polls and HE'S never been on a ballot post Dobbs until now. We'll know soon enough......... that ahead by 3% is absurd, arbitrary ........ So no ...........disagree ...........have a nice evenng.............. Trump only underperformed in 2016. That's it. Trump has been a bad luck omen for the GOP. The main reason why Biden won in 2020 was because people didn't want Trump in the WH again. Add to the mix abortion, being a convicted felon, being a sex offender, and trying to overturn a presidential election does not make him more popular. |
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Post by pacinoyes on Sept 5, 2024 1:24:18 GMT
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Post by The_Cake_of_Roth on Sept 5, 2024 4:21:12 GMT
is this that weird MAR type shit of "the women on FOX don't look human" (um) or "I have too much integrity in my wang to fantasize about her!" and what not Or more accurately, "There are too many other women in the world with more going for them, so why waste my fantasies on her?"  |
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Post by Brother Fease on Sept 5, 2024 11:52:29 GMT
Biden won the election and the national popular vote doesn’t matter. Biden still won over 300 electoral college votes and set the record for the most ballots cast for a presidential candidate. |
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Post by Joaquim on Sept 5, 2024 11:58:20 GMT
This endorsement may just drive me to actually vote Trump Speaking of endorsements from the other party for a candidate does NO ONE find Tulsi Gabbard hot in 2024 or is this that weird MAR type shit of "the women on FOX don't look human" (um) or "I have too much integrity in my wang to fantasize about her!" and what not Joaquim may need a poll....just sayin' She is mommy |
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Sept 5, 2024 16:38:07 GMT
Polls seems to have a hard time accounting for enthusiasm gaps which partially explains how polls underepresented Trump's numbers in 2016 and 2020 and Dems in 2022. I'd sure like to believe that's the case because if you look at the polls, Harris is trouncing Clinton and Biden's enthusiasm numbers, and not only is Trump losing the enthusiasm battle to Harris but he's substantially down from his 2020 enthusiasm levels. For the first time in three presidential cycles, Dems have the enthusiasm edge, and we saw what happened with the polls last time that happened in 2022. a reminder: Kari Lake was ahead in polling averages, Adam Laxalt was ahead, Oz was ahead, Tudor Dixon was only behind 5 points despite losing to Whitmer by 10, Masters was in the margin of error, etc. Kamala Harris heads into Trump debate with lead, rising enthusiasm (USA Today / Suffolk University poll) |
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Sept 5, 2024 16:49:40 GMT
oh, and apparently Tim Pool is an accidental Kremlin agent  I don't know the measurable impact of all these Russian bots lol, but it's been clear since 2016 which side Putin wants to win. Which is worse, Dems bought by AIPAC or GOP bought by Putin? Decisions, decisions  |
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Post by Joaquim on Sept 5, 2024 17:07:30 GMT
I’ll take anyone bought by Putin over anyone bought by AIPAC 100 times out 100, party affiliation be damned
Ideally I’d like my politicians and political influencers to not be bought by anyone but that’s not the world we live in
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Post by quetee on Sept 5, 2024 17:29:34 GMT
I really do believe Trump is suffering from Dementia. He is saying odd things and he looks like he's lost in thought. He actually thinks he's running against Biden still. Both his parents suffered from the disease.
It would be cruel if his wife, who appears to give zeros fs and his kids to know he's in a decline and allow him to continue.
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Post by TylerDeneuve on Sept 5, 2024 18:12:54 GMT
I really do believe Trump is suffering from Dementia. He is saying odd things and he looks like he's lost in thought. Girl, he may well be lost, but it certainly isn't in thought. |
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Post by pacinoyes on Sept 5, 2024 18:27:03 GMT
It's over people ........Trump to concede later today
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Sept 5, 2024 18:31:57 GMT
omg thank god. I can now obsessively refresh 538's polling average and election forecast with slightly less anxiety  |
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