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Post by wallsofjericho on Apr 14, 2021 10:04:55 GMT
Do you think Hopkins's BAFTA win changes anything and with The Father peaking right now, could Sir Anthony win a second Oscar. I'm 50/50 on it personally.
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Post by pacinoyes on Apr 14, 2021 10:14:10 GMT
Nope, I don't think it changes anything at all. I would love if Hopkins won - love the performance for all the reasons I've said before - but it will be Boseman for all the reasons I stated before too. I really think if I hear the name Anthony Hopkins it will be the most surprised I've ever been ......maybe that's overstating it but ........I think that's about right........ I think this year BAFTA is meaningless and I'd wager everything I have on Boseman winning so I could retire at the early age of 172.  |
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Post by TerryMontana on Apr 14, 2021 10:54:11 GMT
We've already covered that... It's still Boseman.
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LaraQ
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Post by LaraQ on Apr 14, 2021 11:37:04 GMT
I dunno,I think Hopkins might just sneak it.BAFTA is a big voting block and despite his tragic death,Boseman's performance isn't undeniable the way Heath Ledger's was.
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morton
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Post by morton on Apr 14, 2021 13:00:25 GMT
I dunno,I think Hopkins might just sneak it.BAFTA is a big voting block and despite his tragic death,Boseman's performance isn't undeniable the way Heath Ledger's was. I think Boseman still wins, but it will be closer than I thought. Obviously SAG went for Boseman in a big way, so there’s a lot of love/respect there, but I really thought he’d get the double nominations at the Oscars as a sign of strength that he was definitely winning ala Foxx or Pacino. Plus as others have mentioned The Father is peaking at the right time now, and MRBB wasn’t nominated for Best Picture which is a category that is often tied to Best actor and its winner. I believe only Bridges, Whitaker, and Washington are the only actors to win in this century whose films haven’t been nominated for Best Picture too. Voters also don’t seem to care about narrative as much they used like Close losing for The Wife despite the fact she won SAG, the Globe, etc. and had the narrative of having never won before. Still Boseman has won all the other televised awards besides BAFTA, and Hopkins has already won, so I think Boseman still wins. |
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Post by franklin on Apr 14, 2021 13:06:33 GMT
Some people think Hopkins may pull a Colman, but people forget the fact that Colman already won the Globe and Critics Choice at that time, she was always an underestimated threat.
Apple and oranges, it's still Boseman's to lose.
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Post by stephen on Apr 14, 2021 13:06:37 GMT
Boseman still is in the pole position and there's no other awards left between now and the Oscar for Hopkins to gain momentum, so I still think it's Chadwick's. I think Simone Taylor Ledward's Globes speech cinched it for him if nothing else did; that was the moment of the ceremony. BAFTA did prove, however, that he is not undeniable and that there is vulnerability, and I think The Father really is peaking at the perfect time. I don't think an upset is outside the realm of possibility, and I think the margin of votes will be slimmer than one would expect (especially as Ahmed is in there funneling votes from both due to his film's strength and support), but I think Boseman still will win out in the end.
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Post by Deleted on Apr 14, 2021 13:43:31 GMT
I'm so ready for this never-ending awards season to be over.
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flasuss
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Post by flasuss on Apr 14, 2021 13:57:52 GMT
Boseman still has it in the bag, is just that between the BAFTA win and the movie overperforming in the nominations, the difference between Boseman and Hopkins will probably be a lot closer than people were assuming at first.
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sirchuck23
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Post by sirchuck23 on Apr 14, 2021 14:57:14 GMT
Chadwick Boseman is winning the Best Actor Oscar in two weeks.
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Post by Sharbs on Apr 14, 2021 15:25:06 GMT
I think Boseman is winning, but am I crazy to be predicting Colman? -- cause I still think that is plausible.
EDIT: Nope, I'm crazy.
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Post by therealcomicman117 on Apr 14, 2021 15:25:50 GMT
Hopkins could certainly overperform, and it might be closer than we think, but I'd be a bit shocked if Chadwick Boseman name isn't read off the ballot the Sunday after next. He feels almost inevitable, and he has the real narrative.
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Apr 14, 2021 16:54:22 GMT
100% Boseman.
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Javi
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Post by Javi on Apr 14, 2021 17:05:39 GMT
A Tony win would probably be too beautiful for this world, but I'm going with him anyway.
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Post by michael128 on Apr 15, 2021 4:30:04 GMT
If it can't be Corden, it better be Hopkins
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Post by Brother Fease on Apr 15, 2021 11:47:45 GMT
Boseman is the heavy favorite to win here. He's won the Globe, Critics Choice, and SAG. Hopkins only won the BAFTA. I think some of us are making it more complicated than it is. The BAFTAs and Oscars have lined up at most 6 out of 8. The Father is mostly going to be the next Lion.
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Post by cheesecake on Apr 16, 2021 13:48:21 GMT
Boseman, but it should be Hopkins.
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Post by mrimpossible on Apr 18, 2021 17:18:57 GMT
Hopkins film is peaking at the exact right time when voting starts and ends. This is gonna be close. The Father is much more loved by the Academy and audiences in general than Ma Rainey.
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Apr 18, 2021 17:26:02 GMT
While I still think it will be Boseman, I wonder if a big chunk of voters will just assume he’s got the win and then throw their vote towards Hopkins. Kinda like we see on a lot of the polls here  |
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Post by mrimpossible on Apr 18, 2021 22:08:03 GMT
While I still think it will be Boseman, I wonder if a big chunk of voters will just assume he’s got the win and then throw their vote towards Hopkins. Kinda like we see on a lot of the polls here I think that's what happened to Glenn Close. All those anonymous Oscar ballots kept saying "I'm voting for Colman or whoever, but Close has this locked". Then the results came:  |
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Post by Deleted on Apr 18, 2021 22:11:43 GMT
While I still think it will be Boseman, I wonder if a big chunk of voters will just assume he’s got the win and then throw their vote towards Hopkins. Kinda like we see on a lot of the polls here I think that's what happened to Glenn Close. All those anonymous Oscar ballots kept saying "I'm voting for Colman or whoever, but Close has this locked". Then the results came: Glenn looked so beautiful that night.  Great art is its own reward.  |
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Post by mrimpossible on Apr 18, 2021 22:20:56 GMT
I think that's what happened to Glenn Close. All those anonymous Oscar ballots kept saying "I'm voting for Colman or whoever, but Close has this locked". Then the results came: Glenn looked so beautiful that night. Great art is its own reward. Even though I liked Colman's performance more I was still heartbroken for Glenn. 1.) Her performance was worthy of an Oscar. 2.) The stars seemed to align for her. 3.) She's an absolute legend who should've won 2 Oscars. At least she lost to a performance like Colman's in The Favourite. She really did look amazing that night, what a dress! |
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Apr 18, 2021 22:43:25 GMT
after rewatching Ma Rainey's I'm more convinced than ever that it's going to be Boseman, and he's gonna make one hell of a winner.
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morton
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Post by morton on Apr 19, 2021 1:50:36 GMT
Hopkins film is peaking at the exact right time when voting starts and ends. This is gonna be close. The Father is much more loved by the Academy and audiences in general than Ma Rainey. This makes no sense lol, but I think that Hopkins can win Best Actor and Davis wins Best Actress now. She’s campaigning a lot in this voting period more than I’ve seen for awhile, I guess it makes sense since this year is so weird and usual campaigning wouldn’t have made sense. I still don’t trust MRBB will win two lead Oscars though, except that again this year is so unusual I guess it’s possible. |
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Post by mrimpossible on Apr 19, 2021 2:26:46 GMT
Hopkins film is peaking at the exact right time when voting starts and ends. This is gonna be close. The Father is much more loved by the Academy and audiences in general than Ma Rainey. This makes no sense lol, but I think that Hopkins can win Best Actor and Davis wins Best Actress now. She’s campaigning a lot in this voting period more than I’ve seen for awhile, I guess it makes sense since this year is so weird and usual campaigning wouldn’t have made sense. I still don’t trust MRBB will win two lead Oscars though, except that again this year is so unusual I guess it’s possible. Ma Rainey didn't get a BP nod, The Father did. It also missed screenplay, The Father could win Adapted Screenplay. Ma Rainey is at 7/10 in IMDB, The Father is at 8.3/10 and #136 in IMDB Top 250 films. If you look at RT audience score, Ma Rainey is at 74%, while The Father is 90%... |
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