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Post by pacinoyes on Jan 7, 2019 11:21:59 GMT
I still think she might, it's a nothing role but Green Book is not the kind of movie that's going to "under-perform" - I still don't know anybody who's seen it in the real world that didn't love it - I can't say that about any other movie this year. Possible.........possible......wouldn't shock me at all.
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Post by Sharbs on Jan 7, 2019 13:04:57 GMT
She's in it for for too brief. It's not happening
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Post by wilcinema on Jan 20, 2019 10:19:27 GMT
I don't think so, but at this point who knows  |
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Post by Brother Fease on Jan 20, 2019 11:33:17 GMT
I still think she might, it's a nothing role but Green Book is not the kind of movie that's going to "under-perform" - I still don't know anybody who's seen it in the real world that didn't love it - I can't say that about any other movie this year. Possible.........possible......wouldn't shock me at all. Not at all a nothing role. She has very few scenes, but her presence does drive for both characters to change via the letter writing. I wouldn't at all be shocked to see her sneaking in, despite no Guild, Globe, BAFTA, or Critics Choice support. |
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Post by stabcaesar on Jan 20, 2019 11:54:16 GMT
The only reason Jacki Weaver got in for SLP is because they wanted to nominate something in all acting categories. Given that Green Book doesn't have a lead actress I doubt this would happen.
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Post by pacinoyes on Jan 20, 2019 12:00:46 GMT
Yes, always thought she'd get a nod, I believe I actually mentioned her first see below, it is a nothing role imo but she's used and situated very well indeed - no problem with her getting a nod at all if she does:
Oct 8, 2018 20:06:12 GMT -5 pacinoyes said:
A Star Is Born isn't that good but that never matters ............... but I think The Green Book (haven't seen) is going to be occupying some of the same populist turf as ASIB actually - crowd pleaser, but more socially conscious, word of mouth appeal, crossover potential, acting nods - not just the 2 male leads but Cardellini too (just you watch).
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Post by bob-coppola on Jan 20, 2019 15:27:27 GMT
I really think people are freaking out in their overreactions. Who'd miss in favor of Cardellini, an actress who never got any Oscar love, doesn't have any previous snub to help build her good-will and wasn't nominated for anything else this season? Stone, Adams and Weisz aren't going anywhere. King, despite missing SAG and BAFTA, won the Globes and the BFCA, it's naive to think she'd altogether miss the Oscar nod. Robbie and Foy already made strong cases for the #5 spot, being nominated in many important precursos and are clearly ahead of a nobody. And there's Blunt in AQP who could win SAG in a King-less field since she was double-nominated there. There's no room for a C-list actress to happen in a nothing role here, in my opinion. We get it, Green Book won the PGA (this is the worst season ever), but it's battling for directing and screenplay nods, not more acting nods.
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Jan 20, 2019 15:41:31 GMT
I really think people are freaking out in their overreactions. Who'd miss in favor of Cardellini, an actress who never got any Oscar love, doesn't have any previous snub to help build her good-will and wasn't nominated for anything else this season? Stone, Adams and Weisz aren't going anywhere. King, despite missing SAG and BAFTA, won the Globes and the BFCA, it's naive to think she'd altogether miss the Oscar nod. Robbie and Foy already made strong cases for the #5 spot, being nominated in many important precursos and are clearly ahead of a nobody. And there's Blunt in AQP who could win SAG in a King-less field since she was double-nominated there. There's no room for a C-list actress to happen in a nothing role here, in my opinion. We get it, Green Book won the PGA (this is the worst season ever), but it's battling for directing and screenplay nods, not more acting nods. As you state the first 4 are all very strong but that 5th spot is wide open and up in the air. Pretty much nothing would surprise me from Foy/Robbie/Blunt to Kidman/Cardellini to someone that’s way outside of the conversation like Debicki. |
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morton
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Post by morton on Jan 20, 2019 18:49:18 GMT
I really think people are freaking out in their overreactions. Who'd miss in favor of Cardellini, an actress who never got any Oscar love, doesn't have any previous snub to help build her good-will and wasn't nominated for anything else this season? Stone, Adams and Weisz aren't going anywhere. King, despite missing SAG and BAFTA, won the Globes and the BFCA, it's naive to think she'd altogether miss the Oscar nod. Robbie and Foy already made strong cases for the #5 spot, being nominated in many important precursos and are clearly ahead of a nobody. And there's Blunt in AQP who could win SAG in a King-less field since she was double-nominated there. There's no room for a C-list actress to happen in a nothing role here, in my opinion. We get it, Green Book won the PGA (this is the worst season ever), but it's battling for directing and screenplay nods, not more acting nods. Yes, Jacki Weaver might have snuck in for Silver Linings Playbook, but I think she had a few things working for her that Cardellini doesn't. She was nominated just a couple of years before that. More importantly, they could have went with Nicole Kidman who would have been the lone nominee for a film/role that Oscar usually wouldn't go for especially in Supporting Actress, or Judi Dench in a James Bond film. Foy has shown up at GG and BAFTA, and First Man will at least be nominated for several technical awards. Plus, her suffering wife suffers a lot more than Cardellini's suffering wife. She's also shown up on the awards circuit the past few years with The Crown, so that can also give her a leg up. Then, there's Robbie. She was just nominated last year, and has a very baity role as Queen Elizabeth where she deglams. She also got SAG and BAFTA nominations. Finally, there's Blunt. While her performance in A Quiet Place might not be what typically gets nominated, she did score double noms at SAG, and has the success of both AQP and Mary Poppins Returns. She did miss out in either actress category at BAFTA, but Cardellini probably wasn't even top 10 there. Sorry I just don't see it with Cardellini, and I'm usually someone who tends to believe the gloom and doom scenario is going to happen before any other scenario. She has nothing. No regional nominations, no ensemble nominations, nothing. At least Silver Linings Playbook had a lot of ensemble nominations, and Weaver picked up a couple of regional nominations. Off the top of my head, other surprise nominees over the years at least had something, Maggie Gyllenhaal (Crazy Heart) - Had one critic mention, but also had Jeff Bridges to coattail off of. Michael Shannon (Revolutionary Road) - He missed the televised precursors, but he had mentions from critics for his role. Tommy Lee Jones (In the Valley of Elah) - Critics mentions plus also had buzz for No Country for Old Men. Laura Linney (The Savages) - Several critics mentions. Samantha Morton (In America) - She had a BFCA nomination and SAG Ensemble nomination. |
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Post by Deleted on Jan 20, 2019 19:33:06 GMT
I think she's going to be this year's Jennifer Garner (2013)/Kelly MacDonald (2007): the predicted 'surprise' nominee that eventually doesn't get nominated. I do believe that the fifth spot is up for grabs and I'm leaning towards Foy rather than Blunt at the moment.
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Post by sirjeremy on Jan 20, 2019 21:11:13 GMT
I don't think she's got the popularity to pull it off. Universal are campaigning for both Foy and Cardellini but over the past couple of weeks I've noticed Foy campaigning hard so I think she has the edge over anyone else.
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rhodoraonline
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Post by rhodoraonline on Jan 20, 2019 21:31:55 GMT
God hope NO
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Post by cheesecake on Jan 21, 2019 0:04:38 GMT
I've been thinking about this lately and I honestly wouldn't be surprised if it happened.
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