The-Havok
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Doing pretty good so far
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Post by The-Havok on Jan 5, 2019 21:01:40 GMT
Django too busy annexing Ukraine.
BEST FILM The Rider
BEST DIRECTOR Alfonso Cuaron, Roma
BEST ACTOR Ethan Hawke, First Reformed
BEST ACTRESS Olivia Colman, The Favorite
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Chee Yon Jung, Burning
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY Roma
BEST SCREENPLAY The Death of Stalin
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM ROMA
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morton
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Post by morton on Jan 5, 2019 21:13:27 GMT
I'm probably overreacting here since Roma won Director, Cinematography, was runner-up in Film, and will probably win Best Foreign Language Film, but does anyone think this is a sign of Roma fatigue?
I really thought it would win easily here. Maybe they just wanted to spread the wealth to something that hasn't got much attention so far knowing that Roma missing wouldn't be a big deal for it. If there is Roma fatigue though, then I'm a bit more confident that a third candidate can win over both it and ASIB.
ETA: I see Roma did in fact win Foreign Language Film as most predicted, so maybe Oscar voters will be like the NSFC voters and think that Roma winning Director, Cinematography, and Foreign Language Film are enough and give Best Picture to another film.
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Post by stephen on Jan 5, 2019 21:16:50 GMT
For the runners-up:
BEST PICTURE:
1. The Rider (44 points)
2. Roma (41 points)
3. Burning (27 points)
BEST DIRECTOR:
1. Alfonso Cuaron, Roma (60 points)
2. Lee Chang-dong, Burning (22 points)
3. Chloe Zhao, The Rider (22 points)
BEST ACTOR:
1. Ethan Hawke, First Reformed (58 points)
2. Willem Dafoe, At Eternity’s Gate (30 points)
3a. Ben Foster, Leave No Trace (25 points)
3b. John C. Reilly, The Sisters Brothers/Stan & Ollie (25 points)
BEST ACTRESS:
1. Olivia Colman, The Favourite (36 points)
2. Regina Hall, Support the Girls (33 points)
3. Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me? (27 points)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
1. Steven Yeun, Burning (40 points)
2. Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me? (35 points)
3. Brian Tyree Henry, If Beale Street Could Talk/Widows/Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse (32 points)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
1. Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk (47 points)
2. Elizabeth Debicki, Widows (37 points)
3. Emma Stone, The Favourite (24 points)
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:
1. Roma (44 points)
2. Cold War (34 points)
3a. Burning (30 points)
3b. Shoplifters (30 points)
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:
1. Roma (70 points)
2. If Beale Street Could Talk (26 points)
3. Cold War (24 points)
BEST SCREENPLAY:
1. The Death of Stalin (47 points)
2. Can You Ever Forgive Me? (27 points)
3. The Favourite (24 points)
BEST NONFICTION FILM:
1. Minding the Gap (35 points)
2. Shirkers (31 points)
3. Amazing Grace (24 points)
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The-Havok
Badass
Doing pretty good so far
Posts: 1,155
Likes: 552
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Post by The-Havok on Jan 5, 2019 21:17:11 GMT
I'm probably overreacting here since Roma won Director, Cinematography, was runner-up in Film, and will probably win Best Foreign Language Film, but does anyone think this is a sign of Roma fatigue? I really thought it would win easily here. Maybe they just wanted to spread the wealth to something that hasn't got much attention so far knowing that Roma missing wouldn't be a big deal for it. If there is Roma fatigue though, then I'm a bit more confident that a third candidate can win over both it and ASIB. Yeah. Critics don't vote but overkill may be a factor for both Roma and ASIB. It not winning Film is so weird even considering that tjey may have wanted to place more attention to another overlooked film. Spotlight won here so you'd expect to comply with the safe choice These are the NSFC though They're known for their oddball choices. |
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Jan 5, 2019 21:25:17 GMT
I'm probably overreacting here since Roma won Director, Cinematography, was runner-up in Film, and will probably win Best Foreign Language Film, but does anyone think this is a sign of Roma fatigue? I really thought it would win easily here. Maybe they just wanted to spread the wealth to something that hasn't got much attention so far knowing that Roma missing wouldn't be a big deal for it. If there is Roma fatigue though, then I'm a bit more confident that a third candidate can win over both it and ASIB. ETA: I see Roma did in fact win Foreign Language Film as most predicted, so maybe Oscar voters will be like the NSFC voters and think that Roma winning Director, Cinematography, and Foreign Language Film are enough and give Best Picture to another film. I really think you are over thinking this. These are the people who picked Goodbye to Language over Boyhood. Winning all three major critics awards is very rare. It also didn’t lose to anything in Oscar contention so it didn’t lose any ground to anything else. That being said I don’t think it’s winning anyways. But this loss means nothing. |
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Post by bob-coppola on Jan 5, 2019 21:30:18 GMT
Debicki getting a mention  |
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Post by JangoB on Jan 5, 2019 21:51:52 GMT
I sure would've included the runners-up in the OP had I not been busy with Ukraine  |
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The-Havok
Badass
Doing pretty good so far
Posts: 1,155
Likes: 552
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Post by The-Havok on Jan 5, 2019 21:57:51 GMT
I sure would've included the runners-up in the OP had I not been busy with Ukraine Lel too busy trying to beat you no time for runner ups |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 5, 2019 22:42:34 GMT
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Post by theycallmemrfish on Jan 5, 2019 22:49:34 GMT
OOOOOOOO!
If this can make it to the Oscars, I'd be soooo happy.
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The-Havok
Badass
Doing pretty good so far
Posts: 1,155
Likes: 552
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Post by The-Havok on Jan 5, 2019 23:00:59 GMT
OOOOOOOO! If this can make it to the Oscars, I'd be soooo happy. Last winner that missed an Oscar nod was Mother (1996). Wouldn't be surprised if it manages to get in even with its distributor. |
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Post by Mattsby on Jan 6, 2019 1:43:56 GMT
The Rider................
The recent Best Film winners for Gotham and NSFC were huge Oscar contenders. Why not this?? A tender portrait (a docudrama, really) of middle America. With a crew of about four or five people, Chloe Zhao (Chinese female filmmaker - but sure let's give Crazy Rich Asians a Best Pic nom) candidly revises macho myths of the cowboy and Americana. It's ultimately deeply felt. Also kinda like a miniscule rodeo take on The Wrestler.
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Post by Martin Stett on Jan 6, 2019 3:11:17 GMT
OOOOOOOO! If this can make it to the Oscars, I'd be soooo happy. We should advertise with T shirts that have Steve Buscemi's face and the caption "MAKE RUSSIA GREAT AGAIN" underneath. That will stir the pot. |
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Post by Johnny_Hellzapoppin on Jan 6, 2019 13:06:21 GMT
Any body that gives no mentions to A Star is Born is all good with me.
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Post by ingmarhepburn on Jan 6, 2019 15:00:22 GMT
Wow, the difference in points between Cuaron and their second choice is huge... Same for Ethan Hawke (no First Reformed for Screenplay, though??). And I'm starting to think we might be underestimating Willem Dafoe's chances. He's hitting all the major precursors, apart from SAG.
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