What do you believe Vice will walk away with from the.......

Christian Bale for Best Actor in an Musical or Comedy.

Supporting actress

This is what I'm thinking too right now. I think Bale seems more likely than Mortensen because I feel Bale has been singled out more for Vice than Mortensen has for Green Book. 

However, I think Vice could go empty handed as they could go with Green Book in the comedy/musical categories since they also gave director/screenplay nominations to it as well. Or they could go with The Favourite in the Comedy/Musical category too.

For directing, I have McKay in fifth place there. The only alternatives I see are maybe Cooper if they decide to award Malek in Best Actor in a Drama, and want to also award Cooper something than Best Drama, assuming ASIB wins Best Drama of course. Or maybe Spike Lee. 

Same with Best Supporting Actor. I think that everyone else has a better chance of winning that category than Rockwell even Driver. 

In screenplay, I think that they go with either The Favourite or maybe Green Book. 

Before King's snub at SAG, I would have probably gone with Adams at the Globes, but I could see awarding King being a way for the Globes to receive attention. Not to say that King wouldn't deserve the win, since If Beale Street Could Talk, hasn't even opened here yet.

Or I could also seeing them going with either Stone or Weisz too as Supporting Actress has the potential to be all over the map at each award show unless Adams just ends up sweeping, which is also a possibility.

Having seen it, I genuinely think it might get shut out altogether. Bale and Adams have strong chances in their respective categories, but I think that the extremely polarizing reviews coming out just at peak voting times might cause a lot of American Hustle-esque backpedaling on the HFPA's part. I think Green Book, for all of its issues, is more of a consensus pick, and I think Mortensen might benefit from the fact that Bale has already won before. I also think that Regina King's SAG snub might cause a ripple effect of correction from other awards bodies, similar to how Elba won SAG after being snubbed for the Oscar, and considering Adams has won twice before already, they may deign to split the difference and give her the Globe for Sharp Objects while King gets the Supporting Actress Globe (although I wouldn't count out Weisz). I definitely don't think it's going to sweep.

I would really love if The Favourite would win Best Comedy/Musical, Actress, Supporting Actress, and Screenplay because for me it was far and away above Green Book and Vice, so I'm trying to stay as unbiased as possible. I agree though that I could see some major backpedaling now. I feel that Vice is one of those late screeners that the Globes got a screening of that they thought was going to be huge because on paper and given many of the early tweets, it did seem that way, but agree after seeing it, I'm even more convinced that it could go home empty-handed.

I wasn't a fan of Green Book other than Ali, but it was okay and my audience like many other audiences it seems really ate it up. So that could be a very easy consensus pick in Best Comedy/Musical if voters think that The Favourite and Vice are too divisive for them. 

For me, Bale would be the only place that I would award Vice at the Globes, but Mortensen has been nominated four times so far without winning. Plus, the likable factor of Tony Vallelonga over Dick Cheney may go a long way in voters going for Mortensen over Bale. I'm also predicting Grant over Ali, or even a surprise Chalamet or Driver win, over Ali, so they can still reward Green Book either in Actor and/or Comedy/Musical. 

A little OT, but speaking of supporting actor someone at Awards_Watch posted Scott Feinberg's latest predictions, and he has Rockwell over Driver?!? I do think that Driver could potentially miss, but to Rockwell when Vice's critical reception was pretty mixed, and he's only shown at the Globes so far. (And I think he'll be dead last at the Globes too.) At least Jordan makes more sense if Black Panther is a top 3 threat for Best Picture. 

I’m still pegging it to get in for the majors. In my eyes, the only categories it has a shot of winning are Actor and Makeup (and I’d be shocked if it didn’t win that), but mixed reviews has never been an immediate deterrent. It still has very vocal fans who could propel it.

Or at least, that’s what I hope, ‘cause my league team needs it to survive.

I don't think so because he didn't have 'p.g.a.' next to his name.

He won’t be but there is a possibility that Michael Bay might be a nominee.