Who do you think is winning Supporting Actor?

I'd say Grant is ahead at the moment but I could see Ali surging ahead at the last minute. I don't think Elliott is a threat to either of them at the moment but anything can happen. This race is one of the more interesting ones this year.

Has to be Elliott. Not that he deserves to win, but he has sentiment and the film's popularity on his side.

My prediction for the winner keeps changing in this category, but at the moment I think that Grant is going to end up winning.

For a short time, I had doubts about Elliott because my feeling was that if Cooper and Gaga won their categories, it was doubtful that Elliott would also win his category, but then Colman entered Best Actress, and then I thought maybe Cooper and Elliott could win if Gaga didn't. However, after his GG snub and with Cooper and Gaga still being front-runners, I don't know that there's enough time for momentum to shift his way if Cooper and/or Gaga start to lose to someone else especially because the winner of Globe is going to have more momentum by that time.

Aside from Elliott, I kept wavering between Ali and Grant. I doubted Ali right away because I wasn't so sure that he would a second so soon, but Green Book kept chugging along despite backlash and despite a poor start at the box office. However, I feel that Grant and Can You Ever Forgive Me? have come on really strong in the past week or so, despite the film not doing that well at the box office. Even win Grant loses at one of the critics' awards, they usually go with someone other than Ali, so it doesn't really hurt Grant too much. While at the same time, McCarthy and the film have been getting a lot of notices too whereas Green Book hasn't really shown up that much outside San Diego.

It's possible that Green Book ends up having a long run at the box office, or shows up at all the guilds or starts winning at the precursors before the Oscars, but I don't know that there's going to be any kind of urgency to award Ali his second Oscar for Green Book. He's won some critics' awards, but only a small fraction of what he won for Moonlight.

I know that Christoph Waltz was able to win a short time later, and Jennifer Lawrence almost did it. However, Waltz was up against all previous winners, and Django Unchained had Harvey plus did much better at the box office than Green Book. Then, with Lawrence, she was the Queen of Hollywood at that time won the Globe and BAFTA, but still couldn't beat Nyong'o who was relatively unknown at the time.

So I'm going with Grant unless the Globes and Critics' Choice go with Ali, in which case I might predict Ali again.

Grant.

I'm feeling it'll be Grant. Ali is a strong contender, but he's already got one BSA prize (just two years ago) and he feels like someone who could eventually win in the lead category.

but neither was Ali in 2016 or Rylance in 2015. 

Grant, followed by Ali.

It's a potential Adapted Screenplay frontrunner, and if McCarthy continues to gain steam, there's no reason it can't break into the Best Picture lineup with some 5% passion-voting. Those that like it really like it.

I'll go with Grant vs Elliot, both veteran, respected, loved actors for the first time in contention. Both from loved, respected films.

Ali may be good but I don't see his perf being too superior to those two's and he just won.

Elliot