Post your bold early predictions here!

Predicting Hawke isn't really "bold" anymore. He's dominated Best Actor in the early-going and seems poised to be the critical favorite in the category, which should carry him to the nomination. And it's not like he has much competition to worry about ... for months now the category has been kind of a wasteland after the "big three" of Cooper, Bale, and Mortensen. So it's not even like he has to "replace" someone to get in. He's pretty damn close to being a sure-thing at this point, I'd say. 

And the same goes for Schrader. Again, I know it's still early, but he's three for three in Screenplay wins in the first week of the awards season, and showing no sign of slowing down. First Reformed could very well be the critical favorite here as well as it is for Lead Actor. And, again, it's not like it's a super competitive field this year. And I also don't think it has to "bump out" Eighth Grade to get in ... at this point, I think both are being nominated. A24 has already made a strong showing this awards season and have proved that we shouldn't doubt their ability to run campaigns, even when they're not putting all their eggs in one basket (which seems to be the case this year). Burnham is sweeping the directorial debut awards so far, and that success has gotta translate somewhere, and a Screenplay nomination feels far more likely than a Director one (especially if it doesn't become a Best Picture contender, which at the moment I don't think it will). So, yeah, I actually think both are pretty safe right now ... and I know that means that one between The Favourite, Roma, Green Book, and Vice will have to miss out, but I don't see why that couldn't happen. 

And I've been saying the same thing about Glenn Close for months now. I mean, seriously, has anyone even seen The Wife? She should still hit a number of the major precursors (Globes, BFCA, BAFTA), but ultimately I think the Academy will be favoring the newer, fresher faces emerging late in the season like Blunt, Ronan, Jones, etc. over her, especially considering I don't think many are gonna remember her film come time to vote. And it obviously doesn't help that The Wife isn't at all going to be a contender beyond her performance, while the same certainly can't be said for most of the films with contenders here. What I'm saying is, Close has a pretty steep path to a nomination; if she gets in, it would have to be because the performance is just that undeniably good (from what I've heard, that doesn't seem to be the case), or her status is that esteemed that the overdue narrative can carry her far (which I don't think it is).

Okay so I'm not actually sure what my own bold predictions would be    I'll have to think on it. 

My first thought when I saw this thread was, "I can't think of any bold predictions of my own but I just know Jakob is still going to be in denial about Close getting the nom". One of us is going to be very vindicated and one of us is going to look very stupid come Oscar morning, only time will tell 

Kidman will likely get double nominated. Most people underestimate just how revered she is now by her peers and within the industry.

She's not Streep (no one is), but voters will tick her name in both categories because of who she is.

My guess anyway. If I'm wrong, I'm wrong.

They better step it up at the industry stage. I need my fantasy league points!

That’s why I posted a long list, so i have enough to cushion my bad predictions hahaha

Michael B. Jordan for Supporting, Eighth Grade misses Screenplay, but Elsie Fisher gets a shock nod.

THIS 100%