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Post by stephen on Nov 29, 2018 14:45:55 GMT
The updates begin anon.
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Zeb31
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Bernardo is not believing que vous êtes come to bing bing avec nous
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Post by Zeb31 on Nov 29, 2018 15:28:12 GMT
Looking forward to 20 hours from now, when we find out what their Best Picture winner is.
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Post by Allenism on Nov 29, 2018 15:31:16 GMT
Looking forward to 20 hours from now, when we find out what their Best Picture winner is. I thought New Yorkers were always in a rush. What the hell.
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Post by pacinoyes on Nov 29, 2018 15:34:15 GMT
If Hawke and Schrader can make a dent here it's huge for them and you would think it's more of a NY film critics kind of pic.
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Post by wilcinema on Nov 29, 2018 15:43:51 GMT
Cold War winning Foreign Language means Roma winning Best Film.
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Post by stephen on Nov 29, 2018 15:47:08 GMT
Cold War winning Foreign Language means Roma winning Best Film. Eh, I'm not sure about that. The only times they've ever had a foreign language film win Best Film was in a period where they didn't have a Foreign Language category. Also, it's kinda weird to have a foreign movie win Best Film and yet not have it also win Best Foreign Film. It's why a lot of critics' bodies like this wait until they've announced Best Film before they announce the Foreign winner, just in case there's overlap.
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Post by wilcinema on Nov 29, 2018 15:58:28 GMT
Cold War winning Foreign Language means Roma winning Best Film. Eh, I'm not sure about that. The only times they've ever had a foreign language film win Best Film was in a period where they didn't have a Foreign Language category. Also, it's kinda weird to have a foreign movie win Best Film and yet not have it also win Best Foreign Film. It's why a lot of critics' bodies like this wait until they've announced Best Film before they announce the Foreign winner, just in case there's overlap. I can't imagine the best reviewed film of the year not getting the top prize. Unless they give it Best Director...
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Post by stephen on Nov 29, 2018 16:00:27 GMT
Eh, I'm not sure about that. The only times they've ever had a foreign language film win Best Film was in a period where they didn't have a Foreign Language category. Also, it's kinda weird to have a foreign movie win Best Film and yet not have it also win Best Foreign Film. It's why a lot of critics' bodies like this wait until they've announced Best Film before they announce the Foreign winner, just in case there's overlap. I can't imagine the best reviewed film of the year not getting the top prize. Unless they give it Best Director... Which is why I wonder why the hell they even bothered to do the foreign language category early or at all, if Roma is in the thick of it for BP. If it loses, they can at least give it the FL prize and they've acknowledged it. If it wins, no need to have the presumed runner-up take that category instead, which causes the weird optics I mentioned above. I can see them giving it something like Best Director, but I can also see NYFCC doing its own thing for Best Film.
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Post by DeepArcher on Nov 29, 2018 16:08:47 GMT
The continuing Bo Burnham/Eighth Grade wins for Best Debut are making me so happy. Love seeing Bo essentially being this year's Jordan Peele. (Not that I think he's winning Original Screenplay or getting a Director/Picture nod necessarily, but just in terms of popular comedian-turned-filmmaker who sweeps first-time director awards for his debut.)
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Post by wilcinema on Nov 29, 2018 16:12:44 GMT
Best Documentary is interesting this year. Minding The Gap is getting raves, then there's RBG that's very relevant, and then the Mr. Rogers doc. I think the Academy will go the easiest choice (Won't You Be My Neighbour) but the race will be very split.
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Post by stephen on Nov 29, 2018 16:27:25 GMT
An inspired-as-hell Animated winner.
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Post by wilcinema on Nov 29, 2018 16:28:34 GMT
An inspired-as-hell Animated winner. I thought Isle Of Dogs would get this but this is an interesting choice indeed. I wonder whether we should start predicting it for the Oscars.
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Post by Pavan on Nov 29, 2018 16:28:47 GMT
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-verse
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Post by stephen on Nov 29, 2018 16:31:07 GMT
An inspired-as-hell Animated winner. I thought Isle Of Dogs would get this but this is an interesting choice indeed. I wonder whether we should start predicting it for the Oscars. I actually have thought it makes the most sense as a winner. Isle of Dogs has no real momentum (Wes fans love it but people seemed to be predicting it for lack of a better option), Incredibles 2 was very lucrative but seems not to have a whole lot of legs, and Ralph Breaks the Internet hasn't lit the world on fire. The Spidey film has the Marvel factor, Stan Lee's recent passing (Spider-Man was his signature character) and is sure to be a B.O. sensation.
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Post by wilcinema on Nov 29, 2018 16:52:29 GMT
Cinematography was pretty much expected. I was predicting Cold War but I guess Roma could definitely win that.
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Post by stephen on Nov 29, 2018 17:01:01 GMT
Cinematography was pretty much expected. I was predicting Cold War but I guess Roma could definitely win that. I've not seen Roma yet, but Cold War would make a sublime winner. Of course, that's unless people wake up and realize how much of a visual feast Mandy is.
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Post by wilcinema on Nov 29, 2018 17:06:49 GMT
Cinematography was pretty much expected. I was predicting Cold War but I guess Roma could definitely win that. I've not seen Roma yet, but Cold War would make a sublime winner. Of course, that's unless people wake up and realize how much of a visual feast Mandy is. I'm predicting a Cinematography nod at the Oscars for Cold War. Zal already got one for Ida and Cold War looks even better honestly. I'm not betting against that, unless they feel two black-and-white movies in the category are one too many.
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Post by stephen on Nov 29, 2018 17:06:50 GMT
Grant is coming, gang.
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Post by wilcinema on Nov 29, 2018 17:09:41 GMT
I think Grant will be the frontrunner at the end of the critics awards run.
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Zeb31
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Post by Zeb31 on Nov 29, 2018 17:17:16 GMT
He sure makes a lot of sense as a winner, especially when his strongest competitor won in this category just 2 years ago.
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Post by wilcinema on Nov 29, 2018 17:20:28 GMT
He sure makes a lot of sense as a winner, especially when his strongest competitor won in this category just 2 years ago. He does make sense, but he needs McCarthy to be nominated as well, unless the movie shows up in other categories.
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Post by stephen on Nov 29, 2018 17:28:12 GMT
He sure makes a lot of sense as a winner, especially when his strongest competitor won in this category just 2 years ago. He does make sense, but he needs McCarthy to be nominated as well, unless the movie shows up in other categories. I don't think this is much the case anymore, although it would obviously benefit him if she and the film did well (and I still think she's in). Grant is practically a co-lead, has a weak-ass category against him, and is likely the BAFTA favorite. I personally think that Ali winning his second so soon after his first feels unfeasible (before y'all come at me with Christoph Waltz 2.0 comparisons, he was up against all winners and his film benefited from a late surge), Elliott feels more like an industry guy than a critics' choice, and I feel if he wins that likely means his film does as well (Cooper in Actor, Gaga in Song, BP, etc.). I could see it happening, but I also feel the Academy's more keen to spread the love these days. Chalamet is looking more and more in danger of missing, Driver needs the critics behind him, etc., etc. I think Grant's only real weakness is the general size of his movie, but I trust in Fox Searchlight.
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Post by Billy_Costigan on Nov 29, 2018 17:31:33 GMT
Best Supporting Actress: Regina King - If Beale Street Could Talk
She's sweeping.
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Zeb31
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Post by Zeb31 on Nov 29, 2018 17:32:18 GMT
He sure makes a lot of sense as a winner, especially when his strongest competitor won in this category just 2 years ago. He does make sense, but he needs McCarthy to be nominated as well, unless the movie shows up in other categories. Why, though? I do think she'll be nominated, especially if he gains more and more momentum and ensures that the film is watched by enough voters, but Best Actress is shaping up to be the most competitive acting category this season while Supporting Actor is the exact opposite, so I think he can pull through even if she ultimately doesn't make it, especially when the film itself also has Screenplay traction.
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Post by wilcinema on Nov 29, 2018 17:33:28 GMT
He does make sense, but he needs McCarthy to be nominated as well, unless the movie shows up in other categories. I don't think this is much the case anymore, although it would obviously benefit him if she and the film did well (and I still think she's in). Grant is practically a co-lead, has a weak-ass category against him, and is likely the BAFTA favorite. I personally think that Ali winning his second so soon after his first feels unfeasible (before y'all come at me with Christoph Waltz 2.0 comparisons, he was up against all winners and his film benefited from a late surge), Elliott feels more like an industry guy than a critics' choice, and I feel if he wins that likely means his film does as well (Cooper in Actor, Gaga in Song, BP, etc.). I could see it happening, but I also feel the Academy's more keen to spread the love these days. Chalamet is looking more and more in danger of missing, Driver needs the critics behind him, etc., etc. I think Grant's only real weakness is the general size of his movie, but I trust in Fox Searchlight. Yep, Elliott is the only other contender, probably. There could be a few surprises come nomination time (I expect Hoult to get some love) but not for the final win.
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