speeders
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Post by speeders on Sept 13, 2018 11:10:19 GMT
It's been a while since the last threads and things have changed... It would be fun to do this every month or so to see how the predictions change in the coming months.
I'm just gonna do the big 6 categories for now, but feel free to do as many as you'd like.
BEST PICTURE The Favourite BlacKkKlansman A Star is Born Roma First Man If Beale Street Could Talk Can You Ever Forgive Me? The Old Man and the Gun Cheney/Backseat/Vice Black Panther
HM: Boy Erased Widows Green Book
BEST DIRECTOR
Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman Damien Chazelle, First Man Alfonso Cuaron, Roma Barry Jenkins, If Beale Street Could Talk Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite
HM: Marielle Heller, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born Adam McKay, Cheney/Backseat/Vice
BEST ACTOR Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born Ryan Gosling, First Man Robert Redford, Old Man and the Gun Lucas Hedges, Boy Erased
Willem Dafoe, At Eternity’s Gate
HM: Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody Christian Bale, Cheney/Backseat/Vice John David Washington, BlacKkKlansman
BEST ACTRESS Nicole Kidman, Destroyer Lady Gaga, A Star is Born Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me? Emma Stone, The Favourite
Kiki Layne, If Beale Street Could Talk
HM:
Viola Davis, Widows Toni Collette, Hereditary
Rachel Weisz, The Favourite (depending on where she's campaigned)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Timothée Chalamet, Beautiful Boy Sam Elliot, A Star is Born Stephen James, If Beale Street Could Talk Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Sam Rockwell, Cheney/Backseat/Vice
HM: Mahershala Ali, Green Book
Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman Matthew McConaughey, White Boy Rick
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Olivia Colman, The Favourite Nicole Kidman, Boy Erased Sissy Spacek, The Old Man and the Gun Amy Adams, Cheney/Backseat/Vice Claire Foy, First Man
HM: Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
Elizabeth Debicki, Widows
Rachel Weisz, The Favourite (depending on where she's campaigned)
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Post by IceTruckDexter on Sept 13, 2018 11:14:46 GMT
Wrong
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Post by HELENA MARIA on Sept 13, 2018 11:17:41 GMT
Yeah , seems pretty accurate .
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speeders
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Post by speeders on Sept 13, 2018 11:35:37 GMT
So not a single person of those mentioned will be nominated next year? Let's see. Like the title and content of the thread clearly states, this is a platform for anyone to post their current predictions, not just me.
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Post by mhynson27 on Sept 13, 2018 12:35:28 GMT
Best Picture A Star is Born Black Panther BlacKkKlansman Can You Ever Forgive Me? The Favourite First Man If Beale Street Could Talk Roma Vice Widows
Best Director Alfonso Cuaron- Roma Bradley Cooper- A Star Is Born Damien Chazelle- First Man Spike Lee- BlacKkKlansman Yorgos Lanthimos- The Favourite
Best Lead Actor Bradley Cooper- A Star Is Born Christian Bale- Vice Rami Malek- Bohemian Rhapsody Ryan Gosling- Fist Man Viggo Mortensen- Green Book
Best Lead Actress Emma Stone- The Favourite Glenn Close- The Wife Lady Gaga- A Star Is Born Melissa McCarthy- Can You Ever Forgive Me? Viola Davis- Widows
Best Supporting Actor Daniel Kaluuya- Widows Mahershala Ali- Green Book Richard E. Grant- Can You Ever Forgive Me? Sam Elliot- A Star Is Born Timothee Chalamet- Beautiful Boy
Best Supporting Actress Amy Adams- Vice Claire Foy- First Man Olivia Colman- The Favourite Rachael Weisz- The Favourite Regina King- If Beale Street Could Talk
Best Original Screenplay The Favourite First Reformed Green Book Roma Vice
Best Adapted Screenplay A Star Is Born BlacKkKlansman Can You Ever Forgive Me? If Beale Street Could Talk Widows
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Post by JangoB on Sept 13, 2018 12:56:53 GMT
BEST PICTURE Roma A Star is Born The Favourite First Man BlacKkKlansman If Beale Street Could Talk Vice Black Panther Widows
BEST DIRECTOR Alfonso Cuaron, Roma Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite Damien Chazelle, First Man Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman
BEST ACTOR Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born Christian Bale, Vice Ryan Gosling, First Man Robert Redford, The Old Man & the Gun Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
BEST ACTRESS Lady Gaga, A Star is Born Viola Davis, Widows Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me? Glenn Close, The Wife Emma Stone, The Favourite
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me? Daniel Kaluuya, Widows Sam Elliott, A Star is Born Sam Rockwell, Vice Timothee Chalamet, Beautiful Boy
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Olivia Colman, The Favourite Claire Foy, First Man Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk Amy Adams, Vice Nicole Kidman, Boy Erased
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY The Favourite Vice Roma The Ballad of Buster Scruggs Eighth Grade
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY BlacKkKlansman Widows Can You Ever Forgive Me? A Star is Born If Beale Street Could Talk
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY First Man If Beale Street Could Talk The Favourite Roma A Star is Born
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN First Man The Favourite Black Panther Mary Poppins Returns Peterloo
BEST EDITING First Man Widows A Star is Born Vice BlacKkKlansman
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE First Man If Beale Street Could Talk BlacKkKlansman Ad Astra Mary Poppins Returns
BEST COSTUME DESIGN Black Panther The Favourite Mary Poppins Returns Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindewald Peterloo
BEST SOUND MIXING First Man Roma A Star is Born A Quiet Place Black Panther
BEST SOUND EDITING First Man A Quiet Place Black Panther Incredibles 2 Mission: Impossible – Fallout
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS Ready Player One Avengers: Infinity War Solo: A Star Wars Story First Man Black Panther
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING Black Panther Vice The Favourite
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Post by Christ_Ian_Bale on Sept 14, 2018 1:52:12 GMT
WILL THE GODDAMN CHENEY MOVIE STICK WITH A FUCKING TITLE PLEASE????
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Post by stephen on Sept 14, 2018 2:00:18 GMT
WILL THE GODDAMN CHENEY MOVIE STICK WITH A FUCKING TITLE PLEASE???? This time next month it will indeed be called The Goddamn Cheney Movie.
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Zeb31
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Post by Zeb31 on Sept 14, 2018 2:04:08 GMT
WILL THE GODDAMN CHENEY MOVIE STICK WITH A FUCKING TITLE PLEASE???? This time next month it will indeed be called The Goddamn Cheney Movie. Only because Dick is already taken.
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Post by stephen on Sept 14, 2018 2:09:42 GMT
This time next month it will indeed be called The Goddamn Cheney Movie. Only because Dick is already taken. Evel Dick: Not To Be Confused With the Winner of Big Brother 8.
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Post by IceTruckDexter on Sept 14, 2018 17:55:33 GMT
Why is everyone picking Colman in supporting and Stone in lead? I'm fairly sure it's the other way around.
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Post by The_Cake_of_Roth on Sept 14, 2018 20:35:45 GMT
Why is everyone picking Colman in supporting and Stone in lead? I'm fairly sure it's the other way around. Someone feel free to correct me if I'm wrong, but the studio's category placements for Stone and Colman don't seem to be clear yet. I see some arguing that it would make more sense to put Colman in supporting because she has a better chance of winning there, and those who have seen the film say that it's more Stone's story and it makes sense to put her in lead.
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jakob
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Post by jakob on Sept 15, 2018 21:12:56 GMT
BEST PICTURE BlacKkKlansman Black Panther Can You Ever Forgive Me? The Favourite First Man Green Book If Beale Street Could Talk Roma A Star Is Born
BEST DIRECTOR Spike Lee | BlacKkKlansman Yorgos Lanthimos | The Favourite Damien Chazelle | First Man Alfonso Cuaron | Roma Bradley Cooper | A Star Is Born
BEST ACTOR Christian Bale | Vice Bradley Cooper | A Star Is Born Ryan Gosling | First Man Rami Malek | Bohemian Rhapsody Viggo Mortensen | Green Book
BEST ACTRESS Glenn Close | The Wife Viola Davis | Widows Lady Gaga | A Star Is Born Nicole Kidman | Destroyer Melissa McCarthy | Can You Ever Forgive Me?
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Mahershala Ali | Green Book Timothee Chalamet | Beautiful Boy Adam Driver | BlacKkKlansman Sam Elliott | A Star Is Born Daniel Kaluuya | Widows
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Amy Adams | Vice Olivia Colman | The Favourite Claire Foy | First Man Nicole Kidman | Boy Erased Regina King | If Beale Street Could Talk
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY The Favourite First Man Green Book Roma Vice
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY BlacKkKlansman Can You Ever Forgive Me? If Beale Street Could Talk A Star Is Born Widows
BEST EDITING BlacKkKlansman First Man Roma A Star Is Born Widows
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY The Favourite First Man If Beale Street Could Talk Roma Widows
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN Black Panther Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindlewald First Man The Favourite Mary Poppins Returns
BEST COSTUME DESIGN Black Panther The Favourite Mary Poppins Returns Mary, Queen of Scots The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING Black Panther Mary, Queen of Scots Vice
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS Ad Astra Annihilation Avengers: Infinity War First Man Ready Player One
BEST SOUND MIXING First Man If Beale Street Could Talk Mission: Impossible- Fallout A Star Is Born Widows
BEST SOUND EDITING Avengers: Infinity War Black Panther First Man Mission: Impossible- Fallout Widows
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE Ad Astra Black Panther First Man If Beale Street Could Talk Widows
BEST ORIGINAL SONG Black Panther | "All the Stars" Mary Poppins Returns | "Trip A Little Light Fantastic" RBG | "I'll Fight" A Star Is Born | "The Shallow" A Star Is Born | "Always Remember Us This Way"
BEST ANIMATED FILM Early Man Incredibles 2 Isle of Dogs Ralph Breaks The Internet Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
BEST DOCUMENTARY FILM Fahrenheit 11/9 McQueen RBG Three Identical Strangers Won't You Be My Neighbor?
BEST FOREIGN FILM Capernaum Cold War Roma Shoplifters Sunset
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Post by stephen on Sept 15, 2018 21:19:54 GMT
Why is everyone picking Colman in supporting and Stone in lead? I'm fairly sure it's the other way around. Colman isn't as well-known as Stone or Weisz, and even though she's blatantly lead, it hasn't stopped the Academy before (Mara, Vikander). Colman's also probably an easier sell in Supporting Actress to win. She's a character actress, which tend to do better in this category than in Lead, and she's got less competition than Best Actress, which seems inordinately stacked right now. Plus Fox Searchlight also has McCarthy, who's getting strong reviews of her own, and they likely want to maximize nominations/wins where they can. But with that said, The Crown is about to do wonders for Colman and make her the breakout of 2018, and I think that she could absolutely win in Lead with the right campaign. Stone and Weisz double-down on Supporting Actress, which feels more "right" than Colman going there because I feel that Weisz would wind up left out in the cold because they'd put more effort into Olivia's campaign. I think if Colman goes supporting, she's got less competition and can build the momentum for a strong run at the win. If she goes lead, it's a bit harder for her but I think it's definitely doable. FSL is probably the best campaigner in the business, Colman will have the narrative and the banner year, her speeches will be charming if Venice is any indication, and I think there might be reluctance within the industry to go gaga for Gaga beyond a token "welcome to the club" acting nod, and Close might just be a pipe dream.
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