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Post by tastytomatoes on Aug 7, 2018 6:07:24 GMT
New month, new BP poll. You know the drill: the poll is only to make my tallying easier. If you want to vote for something else, you can: just post your choice below.
Otherwise only use the poll function to vote. Feel free to explain your vote, offer your insights, or guarantee future bragging rights for calling it early, but only the poll votes will be tallied (with the exception above). I'll keep it open for a few days, then post the results with some comments.
Boy Erased is out with zero votes (the trailer is so good though). For August, we have to newcomers to the poll raised by you, Bradley Cooper's A Star Is Born and Alfonso Cauron's Roma. This month last year, we were pretty sure between Spielberg and Nolan, and then Call Me By Your Name popped up.
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Post by mhynson27 on Aug 7, 2018 16:51:13 GMT
The Favourite
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Zeb31
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Post by Zeb31 on Aug 7, 2018 17:13:46 GMT
Going with The Favourite too.
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Post by Sharbs on Aug 7, 2018 17:16:23 GMT
That trailer for Beale Street was gorgeous, but I think the academy, pardon the pun, will go gaga for A Star is Born, and I'm predicting a minimum of 4 nominations for Cooper for this film. So for now that is my pick
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Aug 7, 2018 19:15:39 GMT
so people are voting Jenkins now. Interesting...
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Post by stephen on Aug 7, 2018 19:21:42 GMT
I don't buy Jenkins doubling down on his Oscar success just yet. If Beale Street Could Talk feels like it'll get some afterglow love, but I get the sense that it'll be more respected than adored. A Star Is Born seems like traditional Oscar bait, but the Academy isn't exactly in the mood for tradition lately. And Roma is a black-and-white foreign film pushed by Netflix: y'all are really optimistic that it could be the one to beat, unless it manages to be a real game-changer (which I'm hoping it is).
So I'm sticking to my guns: BlacKkKlansman. An incendiary film that is getting some of Spike's best reviews since Do the Right Thing (an often-ridiculed snub by the Academy) in this particular climate, where it takes a historical event and actually injects it with both levity and a firebrand sense of "have times really changed?" Feels like Spike's gearing up to be the Best Director frontrunner to beat at the moment, too.
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Post by The_Cake_of_Roth on Aug 7, 2018 19:52:16 GMT
Still gonna stick with Widows. Most people don't seem to think it'll be a top 5 contender, but I'll wait to see the kind of reception it gets at TIFF before I drop it. I keep hearing that the film is not really an action thriller like the trailer suggests and is more of a drama, which is what I suspected considering it's McQueen. I can see Davis and Kaluuya getting traction, which might boost its chances since BP winners of course need acting noms most of the time. If it weren't for the fact that none of the performances in BlacKkKlansman are getting much attention in reviews and that it's not doing the fall festival circuit, I'd be all in on that.
The Favourite and Roma definitely seem like strong contenders, but I'm still having a hard time imagining a Lanthimos film or a foreign language film from Netflix winning BP.
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Post by TheAlwaysClassy on Aug 7, 2018 20:52:17 GMT
I'm less sure of Backseat by the day, but I'll stick with it until we start getting some reviews for the other presumed front-runners.
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Post by Martin Stett on Aug 8, 2018 2:21:37 GMT
I'm still on my Klansman. Like when I was the first to go for Three Billboards, I'm sticking by my choice until hell freezes over.
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Post by quetee on Aug 8, 2018 3:15:10 GMT
So it appears we all got the Irishman memo. D'oh.
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Zeb31
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Post by Zeb31 on Aug 8, 2018 3:19:01 GMT
So it appears we all got the Irishman memo. D'oh. I thought we'd be in for a repeat of 2015. I remember even in October there were still people qualifying all their Oscar predictions with "these are assuming that Silence *doesn't* come out this year". |
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Post by Zeb31 on Aug 8, 2018 3:23:14 GMT
I'm less sure of Backseat by the day, but I'll stick with it until we start getting some reviews for the other presumed front-runners. I'm assuming Backseat will bow at AFI like The Big Short. Or maybe Telluride? That one and the Focus trio (Boy Erased, Mary Queen of Scots, On the Basis of Sex) are the only major players not to have been announced for any festival so far, right? Maybe Welcome to Marwen too. |
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Post by bob-coppola on Aug 8, 2018 12:11:10 GMT
I'm sticking with Klansman. I doubt they'll give Jenkins another BP win just two years after Moonlight.
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Post by tastytomatoes on Aug 9, 2018 16:43:45 GMT
No Ad Astra and The Favourite? As long as someone nominates it. You can go for one. |
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Post by joephoenix on Aug 9, 2018 17:13:23 GMT
I'll go with BlacKkKlansman but I don't feel confident about anything.
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Post by Kirk-Picard on Aug 10, 2018 11:40:09 GMT
A Star Is Born?
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Post by madmonsterparty on Aug 25, 2018 15:41:48 GMT
Bump
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Post by MsMovieStar on Aug 25, 2018 16:33:35 GMT
Oh honey, I'm going to go with The Favourite... (although the real favorite would have been my movie this year if they hadn't banned it in 48 countries so far...)
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Post by jimmalone on Aug 25, 2018 21:38:53 GMT
I don't buy Jenkins doubling down on his Oscar success just yet. If Beale Street Could Talk feels like it'll get some afterglow love, but I get the sense that it'll be more respected than adored. A Star Is Born seems like traditional Oscar bait, but the Academy isn't exactly in the mood for tradition lately. And Roma is a black-and-white foreign film pushed by Netflix: y'all are really optimistic that it could be the one to beat, unless it manages to be a real game-changer (which I'm hoping it is). So I'm sticking to my guns: BlacKkKlansman. An incendiary film that is getting some of Spike's best reviews since Do the Right Thing (an often-ridiculed snub by the Academy) in this particular climate, where it takes a historical event and actually injects it with both levity and a firebrand sense of "have times really changed?" Feels like Spike's gearing up to be the Best Director frontrunner to beat at the moment, too. Agree with everything you said about If Beale Street Could Talk, A Star is Born and Roma. Don't see any of it win for the reasons you stated. But after watching BlacKkKlansman yesterday, I also don't think this will be our winner. It just doesn't feel like a Best Picture winner to me. |
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Post by FrancescoAbides on Aug 25, 2018 23:28:46 GMT
BlacKkKlansman hell yeah
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