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Post by Viced on Jun 11, 2018 3:57:56 GMT
Lol @ Phoenix
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Post by Johnny_Hellzapoppin on Jun 11, 2018 12:22:22 GMT
I would like to see him do the whole 'I don't want this Oscars carrot' again, or something similar; then get nominated and turn up anyway like he always does. |
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Post by thomasjerome on Jun 11, 2018 12:37:19 GMT
1. Ryan Gosling - First Man
2. Christian Bale - Cheney
3. Bradley Cooper - A Star is Born
4. Hugh Jackman - Front Runner
5. Rami Malek - Bohemian Rhapsody
6. Willem Dafoe - At Eternity's Gate
7. Steve Carell - Beautiful Boy (or THe Women of Marwen)
8. Brad Pitt - Ad Astra
9. Robert Redford - Old Man and the Gun
10. Ethan Hawke - First Reformed
11. Lucas Hedges - Boy Erased
12. John David Washington - BlacKkKlansman
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Post by mhynson27 on Jun 11, 2018 13:16:54 GMT
Christian Bale - Cheney
Bradley Cooper - A Star is Born
Ryan Gosling - First Man
Hugh Jackman - Front Runner
Rami Malek - Bohemian Rhapsody
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Post by Johnny_Hellzapoppin on Jun 11, 2018 13:22:17 GMT
Gosling, Bale and Jackman all seem like the most sensible early options to fill spots 1, 2 & 3.
I'm saying that the Cooper film doesn't hit too well with Oscar, so for once he's beloved ass doesn't either. I'm also surprised so many people are looking past how terrible 'Bohemian Rhapsody' is probably going to be, and predicting Malek.
I think for now I would say Carell, Hawke and Washington fight for spots 4 & 5.
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Post by mhynson27 on Jun 11, 2018 13:26:09 GMT
Gosling, Bale and Jackman all seem like the most sensible early options to fill spots 1, 2 & 3. I'm saying that the Cooper film doesn't hit too well with Oscar, so for once he's beloved ass doesn't either. I'm also surprised so many people are looking past how terrible 'Bohemian Rhapsody' is probably going to be, and predicting Malek. I think for now I would say Carell, Hawke and Washington fight for spots 4 & 5. I'm surprised by how you're making a pretty definitive statement with nothing to back it up. |
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Post by Johnny_Hellzapoppin on Jun 11, 2018 13:35:01 GMT
Gosling, Bale and Jackman all seem like the most sensible early options to fill spots 1, 2 & 3. I'm saying that the Cooper film doesn't hit too well with Oscar, so for once he's beloved ass doesn't either. I'm also surprised so many people are looking past how terrible 'Bohemian Rhapsody' is probably going to be, and predicting Malek. I think for now I would say Carell, Hawke and Washington fight for spots 4 & 5. I'm surprised by how you're making a pretty definitive statement with nothing to back it up. I'm really just going off the production problems and the trailer. Of course Malek has the fact that he's playing the beloved Freddie Mercury going for him, which will help, but I'm not seeing it happening all the dame. |
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Post by TheAlwaysClassy on Jun 11, 2018 14:36:38 GMT
Bale, Backseat* (or is this just called Cheney now?)
Gosling, First Man
Carell, Beautiful Boy (I'm guessing they like this film more than The Women of Marwen)
Jackman, Front Runner
Hedges, Boy Erased
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Post by mhynson27 on Jun 11, 2018 15:27:29 GMT
I'm surprised by how you're making a pretty definitive statement with nothing to back it up. I'm really just going off the production problems and the trailer. Of course Malek has the fact that he's playing the beloved Freddie Mercury going for him, which will help, but I'm not seeing it happening all the dame. Understandable but I've heard a few test screening reports and it sounds like the film is 'good enough' to get Malek the nom. |
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Post by Johnny_Hellzapoppin on Jun 11, 2018 15:32:06 GMT
I'm really just going off the production problems and the trailer. Of course Malek has the fact that he's playing the beloved Freddie Mercury going for him, which will help, but I'm not seeing it happening all the dame. Understandable but I've heard a few test screening reports and it sounds like the film is 'good enough' to get Malek the nom. I really do hope the film is at least good and that Malek is brilliant in it.
I love Queen and Mercury, and would like a decent film tribute to the man, but I have such doubts! |
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Post by stephen on Jun 11, 2018 15:41:32 GMT
I'd be utterly gobsmacked if Christian Bale won an Oscar for playing Dick Cheney. Not because of Bale himself, but because it would be a very fraught atmosphere where they recognize a performance of such a divisive (living) figure in American politics. The last time that someone was even nominated for playing a living American with that amount of baggage was James Woods for playing Byron de la Beckwith, who was a Klan member who murdered a civil rights icon. They seldom recognize performances of living figures who are so divisive; even Meryl Streep, when she played Margaret Thatcher (who was alive at the time the film came out), won more because of Weinstein's influence and the "dueness" of recognizing her for a third win.
I think he's still got a shot to be nominated, because they do like him, but I can't see him winning for it unless he is truly undeniable, and even then, that would necessitate a lot of contenders falling short as well.
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Post by Billy_Costigan on Jun 11, 2018 15:55:14 GMT
I'd be surprised if Gosling isn't nominated. Carell and Bale seem likely too.
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Post by quetee on Jun 11, 2018 16:05:55 GMT
I'd be surprised if Gosling isn't nominated. Carell and Bale seem likely too. Bradley has more of a chance compared to Ryan. I know they like biopics but they also like actor director combo. I have no idea if Bradley gets p.g.a credit but I believe he gets a writer's credit on both script and songs. So if he hits this out of park, we are looking at five potential nods. |
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Post by stephen on Jun 11, 2018 16:14:01 GMT
I'd be surprised if Gosling isn't nominated. Carell and Bale seem likely too. Bradley has more of a chance compared to Ryan. I know they like biopics but they also like actor director combo. I have no idea if Bradley gets p.g.a credit but I believe he gets a writer's credit on both script and songs. So if he hits this out of park, we are looking at five potential nods. Yeah, he's a producer on it. If this is a juggernaut, then he could easily bump up to nine total nominations in the span of a decade. That's crazy, and you'd have to think he'd take home something if that were the case (probably a song Oscar, at the very least). |
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Post by jakesully on Jun 11, 2018 16:28:49 GMT
After seeing the First Man trailer , I definitely think Gosling will be nominated .
Absolutely no clue about the others (just please no Bradley "try hard" Cooper . God he sucks!) .
Would love for Phoenix to get nominated for his stellar work in You Were Never Really Here but it was a film that the studio dumped in Feb so it'll probably be forgotten come Oscar season.
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Post by stabcaesar on Jun 11, 2018 16:36:43 GMT
I can't see Joaquin getting nominated.
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Zeb31
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Post by Zeb31 on Jun 11, 2018 18:14:42 GMT
[Bradley Cooper] could easily bump up to nine total nominations in the span of a decade. Every day this world strays further away from God's light. |
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Post by therealcomicman117 on Jun 11, 2018 19:21:38 GMT
Christian Bale - Cheney
Steve Carrell - Beautiful Boy
Bradley Cooper - A Star is Born
Ryan Gosling - First Man
Hugh Jackman - Front Runner
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Post by quetee on Jun 11, 2018 19:49:52 GMT
Christian Bale - Cheney Steve Carrell - Beautiful Boy Bradley Cooper - A Star is Born Ryan Gosling - First Man Hugh Jackman - Front Runner newbie alert. This year is probably gonna be a tough one. |
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Post by bob-coppola on Jun 11, 2018 19:50:14 GMT
Gosling for First Man and Bale for that Chenney movie are the closest we have of a lock so far. Biopics are like catnip for the Best Actor category, and both are well-liked by the Academy (one could argue Gosling is on a career peak after La La Land and should get an afterglow nod).
I think Redford could be likely. His only acting nod was in the 70's, and that could either be a bad sign or a good one. It could be bad 'cause it seems like the academy doesn't care for him as an actor, but it could be used for an overdue narrative. He's a veteran, Honorary Oscar winner and it's his swansong.
The #4 and #5 are wide open. Hawke is a possibility, as First Reformed is getting raves. Hedges could happen for Boy Erased since that's a timely role/film, and Chalamet just opened the field for young actors to be remembered in the Leading categories. And there's Washington who's leading Blackkklansman, which I expect to be a hit. Also, don't forget about Jackman for the Frontrunner.
I'd rank 'em as:
1. Gosling, First Man
2. Bale, Chenney/Backseat
3. Redford, The Old Man and the Gun
4. Hawke, First Reformed
5. Washington, Blackkklansman
6. Hedges
7. Jackman
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Post by stephen on Jun 11, 2018 20:16:35 GMT
Gosling for First Man and Bale for that Chenney movie are the closest we have of a lock so far. Biopics are like catnip for the Best Actor category, and both are well-liked by the Academy (one could argue Gosling is on a career peak after La La Land and should get an afterglow nod). I think Redford could be likely. His only acting nod was in the 70's, and that could either be a bad sign or a good one. It could be bad 'cause it seems like the academy doesn't care for him as an actor, but it could be used for an overdue narrative. He's a veteran, Honorary Oscar winner and it's his swansong. The #4 and #5 are wide open. Hawke is a possibility, as First Reformed is getting raves. Hedges could happen for Boy Erased since that's a timely role/film, and Chalamet just opened the field for young actors to be remembered in the Leading categories. And there's Washington who's leading Blackkklansman, which I expect to be a hit. Also, don't forget about Jackman for the Frontrunner. Redford feels like a very strong possibility for a nomination. He missed out for All Is Lost in what I think is a bit of a tougher sell for the Academy (it's a great acting showcase, but one-man shows tend not to do well with them). Fox Searchlight is a strong studio to have, the release date is prime for a good awards run, and it promises to be a pretty good crowd-pleaser. Plus the swan song narrative can't hurt. I don't know if they're chomping at the bit to give Redford an acting win, but I can see them giving him the nod. Hawke's got the raves, but will A24 give him the push needed to stick around? It's a relatively early release, and unless he gets the Bichir treatment, I think it's an uphill climb for him, but they do like him so I think he'll remain on their radar. Washington's definitely one to keep an eye out for, especially if the film itself does well (as I think it will). He could be this year's Daniel Kaluuya: the young face of the film gets in. I'm expecting Driver to get some of that love as well because he's been on the cusp for a while when it comes to industry prizes; this feels like the right time for him to break in, and I can see both of them scoring nominations with the right campaign. |
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Post by bob-coppola on Jun 11, 2018 20:27:20 GMT
stephen Exactly. What worries me the most about First Reformed is that Hereditary seems to be A24's #1 priority so far, and I'm not sure they could campaign for two movies that seem so dark.
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Post by Mattsby on Jun 11, 2018 20:49:22 GMT
Christian Bale, Cheney
Clint Eastwood, The Mule
Robert Redford, The Old Man & the Gun
Hugh Jackman, The Front Runner
Steve Carell, Beautiful Boy
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Post by Mattsby on Jun 11, 2018 21:01:33 GMT
Christian Bale, Cheney Clint Eastwood, The MuleRobert Redford, The Old Man & the Gun Hugh Jackman, The Front Runner Steve Carell, Beautiful Boy Bold prediction!  Gran Torino started shooting in July and made a December release, major box office success, don't see why they wouldn't go for the same here. Def more awards friendly too; Clint is 88, and it's based on a true story. Binggg. |
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Jun 11, 2018 21:06:09 GMT
any predictions for You Were Never Really Here to get nominations for anything is wishful thinking and just plain delusional.
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