doodle
New Member
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Post by doodle on Jan 22, 2018 3:10:54 GMT
Thoughts? I think Lady Bird's are as well
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Post by Viced on Jan 22, 2018 3:11:34 GMT
It never had a chance tbh.
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Savager
Junior Member
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Post by Savager on Jan 22, 2018 3:12:40 GMT
Shape of Water vs Three Billboards
Everything else is out of the race.
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Post by Brother Fease on Jan 22, 2018 3:20:03 GMT
Don't agree at all. It's still alive for the following reasons:
1. Nods for PGA, DGA, and SAGE.
2. Has a good shot at winning the original screenplay award.
3. If it gets nominated for director, screenplay, and editing, it's a main contender for best picture.
4. A WGA and/or DGA win is a must.
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Post by stephen on Jan 22, 2018 3:22:10 GMT
It definitely needed one of SAG and PGA to stay alive, I think. I think the only way it's revived is if Three Billboards gets a La La Land-esque backlash, but even so, The Shape of Water is poised to be the tech juggernaut and will likely take any sort of anti-Billboards votes over the others.
What will be very interesting is who wins Best Original Screenplay.
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Post by countjohn on Jan 22, 2018 4:39:45 GMT
Maybe the answer is technically no, since something that never started can't really end.
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Post by jimmalone on Jan 22, 2018 7:00:15 GMT
I don't think it ever had any.
I think Lady Bird still has a small chance, but it's clearly behind Three Billboards and Shape of Water.
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Jan 22, 2018 7:02:41 GMT
I was surprised to see it come even this far. It's had a remarkable awards run for a small-budget genre film with a simple premise. I never expected it to be a BP frontrunner, and I don't think it ever was one. Y'all been overestimating its chances.
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Post by pendragon on Jan 22, 2018 7:56:53 GMT
If last year taught us anything, it's that it isn't over until it's over...and even then it still might not be over. Okay, maybe not to that extent, but this race has been all over the place, so I'd caution against making definitive statements. Just a couple weeks ago, The Shape of Water looked like an also-ran, now it's contending for the win. But can it and Three Billboards maintain their lead for the next five weeks?
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Post by evilbliss on Jan 22, 2018 9:01:07 GMT
Thoughts? I think Lady Bird's are as well Thank God! |
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doodle
New Member
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Post by doodle on Jan 22, 2018 9:20:49 GMT
If last year taught us anything, it's that it isn't over until it's over...and even then it still might not be over. Okay, maybe not to that extent, but this race has been all over the place, so I'd caution against making definitive statements. Just a couple weeks ago, The Shape of Water looked like an also-ran, now it's contending for the win. But can it and Three Billboards maintain their lead for the next five weeks? "It isn't over until it's over" I feel only applies to The Shape of Water. Get Out hasn't won the awards needed like Moonlight did last year. |
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Post by Brother Fease on Jan 22, 2018 12:35:02 GMT
If last year taught us anything, it's that it isn't over until it's over...and even then it still might not be over. Okay, maybe not to that extent, but this race has been all over the place, so I'd caution against making definitive statements. Just a couple weeks ago, The Shape of Water looked like an also-ran, now it's contending for the win. But can it and Three Billboards maintain their lead for the next five weeks? "It isn't over until it's over" I feel only applies to The Shape of Water. Get Out hasn't won the awards needed like Moonlight did last year. Not true. In the original screenplay category it has a really shot. I think it'll go to either 3B or Get Out. If it wins screenplay, then it's indeed a player to win Best Picture. |
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Post by HELENA MARIA on Jan 22, 2018 15:06:11 GMT
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Post by bob-coppola on Jan 22, 2018 16:04:52 GMT
Yeah... Lady Bird can still surprise and be the consensus choice between TSOW and 3B like Spotlight did, but that's only a possibility.
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doodle
New Member
Posts: 221
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Post by doodle on Jan 22, 2018 19:20:54 GMT
"It isn't over until it's over" I feel only applies to The Shape of Water. Get Out hasn't won the awards needed like Moonlight did last year. Not true. In the original screenplay category it has a really shot. I think it'll go to either 3B or Get Out. If it wins screenplay, then it's indeed a player to win Best Picture. well we're talking about Best Picture not screenplay |
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Post by Billy_Costigan on Jan 22, 2018 19:25:15 GMT
Realistically, yes. But after last year, who knows. If Moonlight can win BP after not winning any major guilds, anything can happen.
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Post by Brother Fease on Jan 23, 2018 1:58:21 GMT
Not true. In the original screenplay category it has a really shot. I think it'll go to either 3B or Get Out. If it wins screenplay, then it's indeed a player to win Best Picture. well we're talking about Best Picture not screenplay I know. Virtually every single Best Picture has won at least one major non-technical award. You would have to go back to the 40s and 30s for the exception. My point here is that Get Out winning Original Screenplay puts it in position to win best picture. BUT, lets be face it: The race now boils down to either Three Billboards or The Shape of Water. 3Bs has Actress and Supporting Actor locked up. TSOW has director. We will see what happens tomorrow. |
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Post by FrancescoAbides on Jan 23, 2018 2:03:07 GMT
It can still win Original Screenplay though, but I think Three Billboards takes the cake
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Post by therealcomicman117 on Jan 23, 2018 3:19:16 GMT
Its nomination is its reward at this point I'd say.
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