fotodude
Junior Member
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Post by fotodude on Dec 19, 2017 14:52:59 GMT
OK we can all admit that this year's race is one of the most exciting and unpredictable in recent memory, but even then this month's results are particularly surprising. Usually in December we have fewer contenders and a clearer path for a given frontrunner, whereas this month we still have 8 films receiving some kind of support, and the frontrunner has changed once again, the 6th this year. And who would've guessed only a few weeks ago that Lady Bird would claim that spot? It feels more like a default choice than a true winner, but you never know what can happen this year. Even more surprising is the fact that the runner-up is only 2 votes behind and is a genre film released in February: Get Out. And then the third one on the list comes with 9 votes less than the first, and is our frontrunner from the last two months: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri. Despite performing well at the Globes and SAG, we've strangely lost some faith in it. Call Me by Your Name, despite underperforming there, still gets a decent number of votes, whereas past frontrunners The Shape of Water, Dunkirk and The Post fall behind. But even these still seem like plausible winners. The intrigue and uncertainty of the situation also show in the turnout, highest of the year so far: 93 votes from OBers and MARers.
1. Lady Bird – 26 votes 2. Get Out – 24 votes 3. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri – 17 votes 4. Call Me by Your Name – 10 votes 5. The Shape of Water – 6 votes 6. The Post – 5 votes 7. Dunkirk – 4 votes 8. The Florida Project – 1 vote
Total: 93 votes
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Post by HELENA MARIA on Dec 19, 2017 15:30:28 GMT
OK we can all admit that this year's race is one of the most exciting and unpredictable in recent memory, but even then this month's results are particularly surprising. Usually in December we have fewer contenders and a clearer path for a given frontrunner, whereas this month we still have 8 films receiving some kind of support, and the frontrunner has changed once again, the 6th this year. And who would've guessed only a few weeks ago that Lady Bird would claim that spot? It feels more like a default choice than a true winner, but you never know what can happen this year. Even more surprising is the fact that the runner-up is only 2 votes behind and is a genre film released in February: Get Out. And then the third one on the list comes with 9 votes less than the first, and is our frontrunner from the last two months: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri. Despite performing well at the Globes and SAG, we've strangely lost some faith in it. Call Me by Your Name, despite underperforming there, still gets a decent number of votes, whereas past frontrunners The Shape of Water, Dunkirk and The Post fall behind. But even these still seem like plausible winners. The intrigue and uncertainty of the situation also show in the turnout, highest of the year so far: 93 votes from OBers and MARers. 1. Lady Bird – 26 votes 2. Get Out – 24 votes 3. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri – 17 votes 4. Call Me by Your Name – 10 votes 5. The Shape of Water – 6 votes 6. The Post – 5 votes 7. Dunkirk – 4 votes 8. The Florida Project – 1 vote Total: 93 votes Either LADY BIRD or GET OUT . Nolan will probably win best director for DUNKIRK.
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Post by jimmalone on Dec 19, 2017 16:37:58 GMT
This is a trend in recent years, isn't it?
I remember in most years (since 2005) it was pretty clear at latest in January what film would win Best Picture. And maybe it will be again, but right now it doesn't seem so. As well as in 2015 and 2016.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Dec 19, 2017 17:18:01 GMT
My guess would be either Three Billboards... or The Post. Get Out and Lady Bird just don't feel at all like Best Picture winners - a film like either one of them winning would be unprecedented - although with the demographic rule changes, I guess anything is possible.
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Post by The_Cake_of_Roth on Dec 19, 2017 18:35:00 GMT
CMBYN is done, why are so many people still voting for it?
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Post by quetee on Dec 19, 2017 19:42:39 GMT
CMBYN is done, why are so many people still voting for it? I'm gad someone is paying attention.
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Post by therealcomicman117 on Dec 20, 2017 1:45:26 GMT
Right now I'm going with Lady Bird.
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Post by dadsburgers on Dec 24, 2017 14:18:22 GMT
Three Billboards
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Post by Miles Morales on Dec 24, 2017 14:36:35 GMT
I'll say either The Post or Lady Bird
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Post by Billy_Costigan on Dec 27, 2017 20:47:50 GMT
Lady Bird HM Three Billboards
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Post by stephen on Dec 27, 2017 20:49:26 GMT
Three Billboards wins SAG, Get Out wins Oscar.
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dazed
Based
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Post by dazed on Dec 28, 2017 1:02:44 GMT
Three Billboards
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Post by therealcomicman117 on Dec 29, 2017 15:25:54 GMT
Lady Bird
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