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Post by SergeantTibbs on Dec 18, 2017 20:50:16 GMT
Last month's frontrunners were Oldman, McDormand, Rockwell and Janney. Methinks the supporting races will turn. Can Chalamet defeat Oldman? Who'll reign victorious in the Best Actress bloodbath?
I know there's a few polls about this up but this contributes to the board wide monthly poll so please still comment!
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Post by stephen on Dec 18, 2017 20:50:59 GMT
There's still an awful lot of race to run, but for the sake of your poll:
Oldman, Ronan, Dafoe, Metcalf.
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Post by wallsofjericho on Dec 18, 2017 20:52:13 GMT
Chalamet Hawkins Dafoe Metcalf
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Post by HELENA MARIA on Dec 18, 2017 21:19:53 GMT
OLDMAN RONAN DAFOE JANNEY
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Post by Kirk-Picard on Dec 18, 2017 21:31:55 GMT
Franco Ronan Dafoe Janney
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Dec 18, 2017 22:09:01 GMT
Chalamet McDormand Dafoe Metcalf
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Post by Sharbs on Dec 18, 2017 22:17:44 GMT
Oldman Ronan Dafoe Metcalf
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Post by joephoenix on Dec 18, 2017 23:56:43 GMT
Oldman McDormand Dafoe Metcalf
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Post by JangoB on Dec 19, 2017 0:04:37 GMT
Oldman, Hawkins, Dafoe, Metcalf
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Post by TheAlwaysClassy on Dec 19, 2017 0:12:52 GMT
Oldman Hawkins Dafoe Metcalf
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Post by mhynson27 on Dec 19, 2017 0:19:28 GMT
Oldman Hawkins Dafoe Metcalf
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Post by DeepArcher on Dec 19, 2017 1:14:25 GMT
Oldman, McDormand, Dafoe, Metcalf.
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Dec 19, 2017 3:23:34 GMT
Oldman Ronan Dafoe Metcalf
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filmnoir
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Post by filmnoir on Dec 19, 2017 3:27:03 GMT
Chalamet Ronan Dafoe Metcalf
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Post by quetee on Dec 19, 2017 4:39:52 GMT
James Frances William Laurie
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Post by SergeantTibbs on Dec 21, 2017 9:17:22 GMT
Bump
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Post by therealcomicman117 on Dec 22, 2017 0:20:24 GMT
Chalamet Hawkins Dafoe Metcalf
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Zeb31
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Post by Zeb31 on Dec 22, 2017 2:13:40 GMT
Shocked at how much Metcalf is dominating.
Oldman and Dafoe are the only ones I have a reasonable amount of confidence in. I'll go with Ronan and Janney, but both are mighty close. Love how open so many categories are this season.
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Post by SergeantTibbs on Dec 22, 2017 6:33:59 GMT
Closed!
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Post by dadsburgers on Dec 24, 2017 14:16:09 GMT
Oldman Ronan Dafoe Metcalf
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Post by sirjeremy on Dec 24, 2017 15:27:07 GMT
Oldman, Ronan, Dafoe, Metcalf.
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morton
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Post by morton on Dec 24, 2017 17:40:51 GMT
There's still an awful lot of race to run, but for the sake of your poll: Oldman, Ronan, Dafoe, Metcalf. Yes, I think Oldman is winning unless something comes out between now and then, or he puts his foot in his mouth again. I think either scenario is unlikely because I think the former would have happened already since I'm sure rival studios have tried to dig up dirt, and he seems smart enough to keep his mouth shut until the winner is finally revealed. I don't know about the other three awards though. Right now I'm going with Dafoe and Metcalf too, but it is possible that the televised awards go a different way. Before I thought that was likely, but now I think that the televised awards will just end up following the critics' lead. With Dafoe, he absolutely dominated the critics which is what he needed to do. He's also a highly respected veteran that's been nominated two times already. Finally, while The Florida Project may have a low nomination total which I thought would hurt Dafoe's chances, it seems very beloved by a lot of people. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri has bounced back in a big way, but it may be too little too late for Rockwell. While Metcalf hasn't quite dominated the critics as much as Dafoe, she's still done very well, and Lady Bird is very strong, maybe top 3 or even more. Also, while Allison Janney is very respected and loved in the industry, I don't know that's going to be as big of a factor as I thought it was going to be since it's not like Metcalf is unknown or hasn't won several industry awards either. Best Actress is still a toss-up for me. Right now I would predict Ronan because she hasn't won before, and she most fits the mold of the younger actress that has usually wins Best Actress since 1997 even if she's more like Brie Larson rather than like Emma Stone. The only doubts I have is that her role would be such an unconventional winner, but then I think about how there have been atypical Best Picture winners recently, and even Casey Affleck actually winning Best Actor before his best friend or his brother, wouldn't have seemed like something that would happen, imo, until it did. So I don't think that Ronan's atypical role will hurt her that much. It's still possible that McDormand, Hawkins, and even Streep, although I think less so now, have a chance to win. However, I think McDormand will be hurt by the fact that she already won before. With Hawkins, it could happen, but I feel like the younger actress pattern is too much too overcome. It can be done, but usually it's either because the actress is thought to be overdue (Mirren, Moore), thought to be overdue for a leading win (Blanchett), or has a super special narrative (Bullock, Streep). Hawkins has neither of those things to me, and while Hawkins and Ronan have both done extremely well with critics' groups right now, I would say other than the missed Director nomination for Gerwig although she did get a Screenplay nomination, Lady Bird has done very well overall whereas The Shape of Water missed out early on, then bounced back, but then missed out on the SAG Ensemble nomination and Spencer couldn't get in either. With Streep, I think several factors hurt her. Obviously the late screeners really hurt, but also The Post hasn't quite hit the zeitgeist yet the way that Get Out, Lady Bird, and Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri. There's still time for it too, but before it finally screened, I thought the zeitgeist would be something that would catch on right away and just keep building. Shocked at how much Metcalf is dominating. Oldman and Dafoe are the only ones I have a reasonable amount of confidence in. I'll go with Ronan and Janney, but both are mighty close. Love how open so many categories are this season. I know! This is so exciting. Usually most of the acting races already seem sewed up by this point. Like last year, everything seem pretty set early on. Washington did win SAG, but most people were predicting that Affleck would take the Oscar in the end.
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dazed
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Post by dazed on Dec 25, 2017 22:56:24 GMT
Franco Ronan Rockwell Metcalf
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