doodle
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Post by doodle on Dec 13, 2017 22:02:39 GMT
Most for sure thought it was going to be broken last year with La La Land. But that's only because LLL was the frontrunner for so long; I think we can all agree Moonlight was the runner-up and the only real threat to LLL. THIS year, however, I feel there is no clear frontrunner or runner-up. Also, I heard about screeners not being sent in on time to everyone and deadlines being missed. The whole SAG process this year sounded like a disaster.
Three Billboards isn't really a critic/fan favorite like other other past black comedies (Birdman, Silver Linings etc.). I guarantee many will call it overrated if it emerges as the frontrunner. It will be this years La La Land. Get Out especially isn't the type of film to win best picture. The Big Sick and Mudbound have been non-existent up until this point so I don't see either of those winning BP. Then there's Lady Bird. It's really the only film nominated for best cast ensemble that I can see winning. But then again I'm not so sure. I feel the Academy would rather reward a bigger film than that. That's why I was floored to see The Post and Shape of Water missing. I was actually ready to call them my frontrunners until today.
As of today, I'm still as clueless about who will win BP as I was months ago. I still believe it's a race between Lady Bird, Shape of Water, The Post, CMBYN, Dunkirk and Three Billboards.
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Post by joephoenix on Dec 14, 2017 0:06:03 GMT
I thought The Post wasn't eligible for SAG?
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morton
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Post by morton on Dec 14, 2017 0:12:18 GMT
I thought The Post wasn't eligible for SAG? It was, but the screeners went out very late. Plus, I guess people had to be there to sign for them. Although I guess some screeners went out late too like I, Tonya but still made it. However, I think if Streep could make it in for August: Osage County, Doubt, Florence Foster Jenkins, etc., I'm guessing that The Post missing was due to screening issues and not because there's not enough passion for it. She's fine for the Oscar nomination, but I think a win isn't in the cards this year. The Post could still win Best Picture too, but it needs a lot of things to go its way. I think Hanks is out though.
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Zeb31
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Post by Zeb31 on Dec 14, 2017 0:51:03 GMT
Streep is still comfortably in. It's pointless to think otherwise. Hanks is not totally out, though this does hamper his chances a little because DDL is still very much 3rd, with Franco in 4th and Kaluuya quickly on the rise.
The Post could still win BP, because it'll be peaking right around the time the ballots are out and its timeliness will help keep its momentum going, even if Three Billboards is ahead for now. So yeah, I think the stat has a realistic chance of being broken this year, even if I'm not predicting it to be.
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