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Post by Viced on Nov 28, 2017 20:14:45 GMT
PTA just won original screenplay.  Will add twitter links momentarily... |
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Post by Viced on Nov 28, 2017 20:18:25 GMT
(wtf?)
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Post by Viced on Nov 28, 2017 20:22:46 GMT
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jakob
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Post by jakob on Nov 28, 2017 20:24:00 GMT
Logan and Baby Driver is a dream come true. I only wish Apes mange’s to have the same luck. That said, at the expense of Three Billboards, having Downsizing in there as well, is quite a bummer.
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morton
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Post by morton on Nov 28, 2017 20:24:19 GMT
Wow!!! I guess Fox Searchlight didn't send them any money. No Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri. No The Shape of Water. The Post wins big!!!
I think TBOEM can rebound, but it's very troublesome that TSoW missed again. This is great for The Post and Streep for the possible win, and for Hanks because he was vulnerable.
ETA: Also I, Tonya could have used a boost here. It will be okay, but these were probably the easiest "critic awards" to "win".
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Post by Billy_Costigan on Nov 28, 2017 20:31:24 GMT
Gerwig and The Disaster Artist!  |
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Nov 28, 2017 20:34:44 GMT
I'm always interested in Original Screenplay and Actress here because recently they haven't had a good track record at the Oscars. Looks like Streep is going to break the streak. Not sure about Phantom Thread... I'm not predicting it at the moment.
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morton
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Post by morton on Nov 28, 2017 20:34:44 GMT
Interesting. Only Return of the King has been able to win Best Picture without being on NBR's top 10 list. Not a good sign for Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri or The Shape of Water because they also missed the Best Feature category at the Spirits which has also become a good bellweather lately.
ETA: I just realized that Darkest Hour didn't get any mentions either. I don't think it will hurt it, but this may show that it could be vulnerable for above the line categories aside from Best Actor.
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Nov 28, 2017 21:18:11 GMT
Wow! how unpredictable! but Phantom thread Baby driver and Downzizing instead of Blade Runner and Shape of Water and and Call me by your name...?  Call Me By Your Name made the top ten. Also I thought Baby Driver was much better than Blade Runner. Also better reviewed so that should make sense. |
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Post by alexanderblanchett on Nov 28, 2017 21:19:08 GMT
The snubs are more shocking than the winners.
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Post by FrancescoAbides on Nov 28, 2017 22:33:33 GMT
Hell yeah PTA!!!
And very interesting to see The Disaster Artist winning Adapted Screenplay.
Where are The Shape of Water and Blade Runner 2049 though?
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Post by IceTruckDexter on Nov 28, 2017 23:19:30 GMT
Logan got in Top 10. Thank Christ!!
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Post by hugobolso1 on Nov 29, 2017 1:53:51 GMT
Love to see a woman director winning again. I hope this season will win 4 the seccond time.
Awful Damn Meryl Streep.-
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Post by therealcomicman117 on Nov 29, 2017 3:48:24 GMT
In the last decade NBR has only voted for the Oscar best picture twice. I still remember when A Most Violent Year swept that one year, and everyone assumed it was going to win everything, and it didn't, so these awards don't mean a whole lot.
However let me just say I can't wait to see The Post. I never doubted the Berg for a second.
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jakob
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Post by jakob on Nov 29, 2017 4:46:16 GMT
Anyone else think DDL probably came in second under Hanks for Best Actor considering the love for Phantom Thread?
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Post by stephen on Nov 29, 2017 4:53:57 GMT
Anyone else think DDL probably came in second under Hanks for Best Actor considering the love for Phantom Thread? It could just as easily have been Franco, considering The Disaster Artist got equal amounts of love. |
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Nov 29, 2017 5:56:13 GMT
Anyone else think DDL probably came in second under Hanks for Best Actor considering the love for Phantom Thread? It could just as easily have been Franco, considering The Disaster Artist got equal amounts of love. Or Daniel Kaluuya |
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Post by therealcomicman117 on Nov 29, 2017 8:03:29 GMT
In the last decade NBR has only voted for the Oscar best picture twice. I still remember when A Most Violent Year swept that one year, and everyone assumed it was going to win everything, and it didn't, so these awards doesn't mean a whole lot. However let me just say I can't wait to see The Post. I never doubted the Berg for a second. A most violent year swept NBR? OMG  Yep. I remember a lot of people on IMDb thought it was going to be a surprise best picture nomination by that point, and then "poof" basically. |
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Post by jimmalone on Nov 30, 2017 14:56:58 GMT
I always expected The Post to do well here, but winning the big one plus both leading acting awards is a very strong signal.
But really surprised about their Top Ten this year. I kinda hoped Blade Runner would have shown at least here, but sadly it wasn't meant to be.
Neither The Shape of Water nor Three Billboards here is interesting.
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Post by jimmalone on Nov 30, 2017 17:21:33 GMT
One thing that the NBR always tells us is that it usually has the Best Picture Winner among their Top 10 films.
Since 1989 only A Beautiful Mind and Lord of the Rings managed to win the Best Picture Oscar without making the NBR list. And while it obviously can happen again, this is always one point I look to when searching about the film that can win the big one in February. So right now this bodes well for The Post, Dunkirk, Call me by your Name, Lady Bird, The Florida Project and maybe Phantom Thread.
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morton
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Post by morton on Nov 30, 2017 17:40:14 GMT
One thing that the NBR always tells us is that it usually has the Best Picture Winner among their Top 10 films. Since 1989 only A Beautiful Mind and Lord of the Rings managed to win the Best Picture Oscar without making the NBR list. And while it obviously can happen again, this is always one point I look to when searching about the film that can win the big one in February. So right now this bodes well for The Post, Dunkirk, Call me by your Name, Lady Bird, The Florida Project and maybe Phantom Thread. Yes, I don't know that The Post is necessarily going to go on to win Best Picture after this. I thought it was in a pretty good position before because of its narrative, but this certainly helps. The important thing though is that two contenders Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri and The Shape of Water got dealt a serious blow here. I think that TBOEM could  back, but this is the third time that TSOW has underwhelmed. I was already worried about Hawkins getting in, but now I'm worried that GdT might not even make it since Get Out seems to be the go to genre film of the year and Lady Bird keeps soaring which means Greta Gerwig could breakthrough in Best Director too. Then, there's Christopher Nolan who seems locked in at this point. Steven Spielberg always has to be a threat in BD, and usually there's one spot for a previous nominee. Call Me By Your Name has done well so far at the precursors too, so Luca Guadagnino is definitely a threat too. Then, there's Martin McDonagh if TBOEM does back. Finally, there's also quite a few people that could actually surprise in this category: Sean Baker (he did direct kids and it worked for Lion, Room, Beasts of the Southern Wild, Joe Wright (shades of Morten Tyldum?!?), PT Anderson (it seems divisive, but people who love it really love this film), and Denis Villeneuve (rising star, knocked another film out of the park again). |
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Post by quetee on Nov 30, 2017 20:32:30 GMT
One thing that the NBR always tells us is that it usually has the Best Picture Winner among their Top 10 films. Since 1989 only A Beautiful Mind and Lord of the Rings managed to win the Best Picture Oscar without making the NBR list. And while it obviously can happen again, this is always one point I look to when searching about the film that can win the big one in February. So right now this bodes well for The Post, Dunkirk, Call me by your Name, Lady Bird, The Florida Project and maybe Phantom Thread. Yes, I don't know that The Post is necessarily going to go on to win Best Picture after this. I thought it was in a pretty good position before because of its narrative, but this certainly helps. The important thing though is that two contenders Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri and The Shape of Water got dealt a serious blow here. I think that TBOEM could back, but this is the third time that TSOW has underwhelmed. I was already worried about Hawkins getting in, but now I'm worried that GdT might not even make it since Get Out seems to be the go to genre film of the year and Lady Bird keeps soaring which means Greta Gerwig could breakthrough in Best Director too. Then, there's Christopher Nolan who seems locked in at this point. Steven Spielberg always has to be a threat in BD, and usually there's one spot for a previous nominee. Call Me By Your Name has done well so far at the precursors too, so Luca Guadagnino is definitely a threat too. Then, there's Martin McDonagh if TBOEM does back. Finally, there's also quite a few people that could actually surprise in this category: Sean Baker (he did direct kids and it worked for Lion, Room, Beasts of the Southern Wild, Joe Wright (shades of Morten Tyldum?!?), PT Anderson (it seems divisive, but people who love it really love this film), and Denis Villeneuve (rising star, knocked another film out of the park again). the odds of Dunkirk getting sag ensemble is low. |
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Post by theycallmemrfish on Nov 30, 2017 20:40:29 GMT
I know everyone's all up in Get Out's dick... but come on, ensemble?!
And also, I loudly scoffed at the Baby Driver top ten spot.
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back, but this is the third time that TSOW has underwhelmed. I was already worried about Hawkins getting in, but now I'm worried that GdT might not even make it since Get Out seems to be the go to genre film of the year and Lady Bird keeps soaring which means Greta Gerwig could breakthrough in Best Director too. 
