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Post by Joaquim on Nov 3, 2024 6:36:44 GMT
Trump is not losing Iowa lmaoooo I’m sorry
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Post by quetee on Nov 3, 2024 6:39:00 GMT
Trump is not losing Iowa lmaoooo I’m sorry nobody said he is. That's not what the poll is saying |
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Archie
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Eraserhead son or Inland Empire daughter?
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Post by Archie on Nov 3, 2024 12:22:59 GMT
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dazed
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Post by dazed on Nov 3, 2024 13:37:11 GMT
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dazed
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Post by dazed on Nov 3, 2024 15:43:09 GMT
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Nov 3, 2024 15:51:39 GMT
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Post by Brother Fease on Nov 3, 2024 17:50:04 GMT
Trump is not losing Iowa lmaoooo I’m sorry I agree.
Iowa has a Republican Governor and both their Senators are Republican.
Chuck Grassley is in no danger of losing his Senate seat. If the election was close, then I can see the merit.
I would say the same thing for Florida and Texas.
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Post by Brother Fease on Nov 3, 2024 18:14:04 GMT
You don't think party registration means anything? Not sure what to tell you then. 95% of Democrats vote Harris and about the same as Republicans voting Trump, so those exception voters about even out. Harris might be leading early voting, but Democrats always lead early voting. Thats no surprise. Is she getting the Biden early voting numbers she sorta needs given how close those states are and how many Trump voters are gonna show up on election day? Yes I agree those are fun activities, but I'm just saying they could go both ways. Just wondering if you think the same. The early in-person voting according to CNN and Marist have Harris leading in all 7 swing states. Looking purely at party registration doesn't say who they are voting for. That's just simple reality.
2020 and 2024 are two different animals. In 2020, we had the COVID pandemic. Trump supporters went out and about. Biden supporters said home and voted primarily by mail. In 2024, both parties are encouraging their sides to vote early.
We could very well see the inverse of 2020 in 2024. Who knows. With all the polls in the 7 swing states being tight, the late-late-late deciders will probably tip the scale.
Yes, the cookie poll and the Redskin rule are fun activities- no connections to the pulse of the country.
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Post by pacinoyes on Nov 3, 2024 19:02:29 GMT
I know no one here really cares about politics - young snarky radicals that you are  - but here's an interview TODAY w/ Selzer where she explains her poll and is challenged on it too... Newt Gingrich calls in  ...........real inside baseball research stuff : Samples!, Crosstabs!, Incidence! ...........which I thought was awesome......... but I used to do this shit for a living so ymmv..... |
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flasuss
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Post by flasuss on Nov 3, 2024 19:50:49 GMT
Trump is not losing Iowa lmaoooo I’m sorry I agree.
Iowa has a Republican Governor and both their Senators are Republican.
Chuck Grassley is in no danger of losing his Senate seat. If the election was close, then I can see the merit.
I would say the same thing for Florida and Texas.
It's not the point- the thing is that, even if Trump wins there, it should be a close race, and if he's having trouble winning a state nearly entirely made of WASP evangelical farmers that he won easily before, it's hard to imagine him doing well in more diverse states that were closer in previous elections |
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Post by The_Cake_of_Roth on Nov 3, 2024 21:08:57 GMT
This is in Greensboro, my hometown. Comic gold. Kamala on a weekday at the same venue a few weeks ago:  |
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Post by quetee on Nov 3, 2024 21:26:00 GMT
This is in Greensboro, my hometown. Comic gold. Kamala on a weekday at the same venue a few weeks ago: And there are people out there that think he's winning the popular vote. 🤣. I'm guessing definitely under 70 mil. Probably about 66 to 67. I'm hoping for under 65 mil. |
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Post by Leo_The_Last on Nov 3, 2024 23:30:03 GMT
Just as an onlooker from the Old World, who is nonetheless effected by this whole thing by virtue of being a non-voting member of the Empire, this mess has to be the pinnacle of negative campaigning. My enemy is Hitler is obviously an old trope by now, the political equivalent of the jump scare, but from Putin is Hitler, Hamas is worse than Hitler to Trump loves Hitler's Generals and plans to cross the rubicon to destroy democracy (again), all balanced out by "levelheaded" warnings of Marxism, the CCP and woke stalinists, the crescendo ending of The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly looks almost Bressonian in comparison.
I save time by not specifically mention all the lunacy around Trump, but how anybody can somehow raise any sort of genuine enthusiasm for Harris is beyond me. That story is the epitome of what's wrong with the political landscape in America. From the media's justifications for Biden's blackouts and the ensuing deferral to alleged rightwing discourse up to the moment when Danny Ocean and Livia Soprano, the Wolfs of the plutocracy, took out the Old Man, an act of self-revelation of the chattering classes that was breathtaking in its brazenness. An just to top myself with endless movie references, they decide to go with Kamala, the Orlando Bloom of federal politics, a person without any political instinct whatsoever, a vain vacuum of liberal ticking boxes. And the subsequent theatrics, the efforts to transform her into someone deserving of a place alongside MLK or Mandela in a mural painting in Harlem or South Central. Joy as a substitute for anything resembling a coherent idea, the whole brat-hype as mimicry of true cultural penetration, almost Orwellian in nature. The alignment of the neocons and the whole liberal order. The Liz Cheney-firing squad fake news, another good idea Trump never had. The horror, the horror.
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Post by Brother Fease on Nov 4, 2024 0:17:31 GMT
It's not the point- the thing is that, even if Trump wins there, it should be a close race, and if he's having trouble winning a state nearly entirely made of WASP evangelical farmers that he won easily before, it's hard to imagine him doing well in more diverse states that were closer in previous elections I do not disagree with anything you wrote there.
It's a sign of many. Look at the Senate races: Texas, Nebraska, and Ohio. None of these states are swing states, yet these races are close calls.
Even if Tester loses in Montana, Democrats could still keep the Senate if either Brown (Ohio) or Osborne (Nebraska) wins.
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Post by urbanpatrician on Nov 4, 2024 6:02:57 GMT
I agree.
Iowa has a Republican Governor and both their Senators are Republican.
Chuck Grassley is in no danger of losing his Senate seat. If the election was close, then I can see the merit.
I would say the same thing for Florida and Texas.
It's not the point- the thing is that, even if Trump wins there, it should be a close race, and if he's having trouble winning a state nearly entirely made of WASP evangelical farmers that he won easily before, it's hard to imagine him doing well in more diverse states that were closer in previous elections You wish One can say the same about Trump in Colorado or New Hampshire. There is info that shows both as close. It's all right there on the internet, early voting results. Check yourself. Now Harris definitely won't lose Colorado, and she's the favorite in New Hampshire. But point is, there is info that shows both close in states nobody thought they would be close in. Iowa is gonna be about the same for Trump as Colorado or New Mexico is for Harris. None of these will be total wipeouts.... but in the end it'll go where we thought they'd go. And no it doesn't mean anything in regards to how it affects other states. |
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Post by urbanpatrician on Nov 4, 2024 6:07:31 GMT
If Trump actually pledged to put the Cheneys in front of a firing squad then I’d be more inclined to consider voting for him I would personally be even more MAGA than urbanpatrician if Trump openly declared that his first action would be a live public execution of the Cheneys. This year I'll choose to be more of a smart and normal man than a MAGAer. Because in my view, supporting a sorry ass candidate like Harris counts as super lame more than having to do with being MAGA or not. You'll find tons of men with the same thoughts. |
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Post by pacinoyes on Nov 4, 2024 12:50:23 GMT
Some final pacinoyes thoughts.........: * Whoever wins, America will get exactly what they deserve .......exactly * New Hampshire may flip....not saying it will though ........still something to watch * Harris needs 53-54% females to win everywhere........does anyone doubt that is not only possible .......but leaning towards likely? That's her "path" to victory... Try not to kill each other the next few days America......I'm seeing Anora this week....stick around for my review and stuff..........buy me a beer.  |
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Post by Joaquim on Nov 4, 2024 13:58:05 GMT
Careful, Joe, some of them are into that
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Post by TylerDeneuve on Nov 4, 2024 14:08:19 GMT
* Harris needs 53-54% females to win everywhere........does anyone doubt that is not only possible .......but leaning towards likely? That's her "path" to victory... Try not to kill each other the next few days America......I'm seeing Anora this week....stick around for my review and stuff..........buy me a beer. is really just OK... I'll be interested to read your thoughts, for sure! Re. Women Voters: Though the Trump campaign claims confidence, they’re reportedly in high panic mode over low early male turnout. They gambled on adding young male voters to the MAGA group and focused the campaign totally on the macho appeal, but it hasn't materialized. The gender gap may be more telling than the polls: with 118 million women and 114 million men of voting age, and women voting at higher rates than men (55% vs. 45%), Harris has a strong edge. Female support for Harris (65%) outpaces male support for Trump (55%). I also question Trump's appeal with young male voters (under 25)... Of the three major issues (economy, immigration, abortion), I'd think men of that age would be most concerned about what an unplanned pregnancy could mean for their futures... not just their girlfriends'. We’ll know in three days... |
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Post by Joaquim on Nov 4, 2024 15:03:39 GMT
* Harris needs 53-54% females to win everywhere........does anyone doubt that is not only possible .......but leaning towards likely? That's her "path" to victory... Try not to kill each other the next few days America......I'm seeing Anora this week....stick around for my review and stuff..........buy me a beer. is really just OK... I'll be interested to read your thoughts, for sure! Re. Women Voters: Though the Trump campaign claims confidence, they’re reportedly in high panic mode over low early male turnout. They gambled on adding young male voters to the MAGA group and focused the campaign totally on the macho appeal, but it hasn't materialized. The gender gap may be more telling than the polls: with 118 million women and 114 million men of voting age, and women voting at higher rates than men (55% vs. 45%), Harris has a strong edge. Female support for Harris (65%) outpaces male support for Trump (55%). I also question Trump's appeal with young male voters (under 25)... Of the three major issues (economy, immigration, abortion), I'd think men of that age would be most concerned about what an unplanned pregnancy could mean for their futures... not just their girlfriends'.We’ll know in three days... The young males the Trump campaign is targeting aren’t getting any girls pregnant, bruv |
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Post by TylerDeneuve on Nov 4, 2024 15:13:41 GMT
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Post by quetee on Nov 4, 2024 18:54:13 GMT
Pretty sure that Iowa poll 😳 them. I'm guessing and hoping Kamala flips another state blue. NC wouldn't surprise me at this point.
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Post by quetee on Nov 4, 2024 18:55:35 GMT
Trump is getting ready to get the memo where people finally decide to change the channel from this played out TV show. He jumped the shark...people are abandoning the ship.
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Nov 4, 2024 19:16:11 GMT
Pretty sure that Iowa poll 😳 them. I'm guessing and hoping Kamala flips another state blue. NC wouldn't surprise me at this point. she's got this |
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Post by quetee on Nov 4, 2024 19:30:00 GMT
Pretty sure that Iowa poll 😳 them. I'm guessing and hoping Kamala flips another state blue. NC wouldn't surprise me at this point. she's got this Trump gonna get spanked and unfortunately for him...at least according to Epstein....not the kind he likes. 😂 |
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- but here's an interview TODAY w/ Selzer where she explains her poll and is challenged on it too...Newt Gingrich calls in 
...........real inside baseball research stuff : Samples!, Crosstabs!, Incidence! ...........which I thought was awesome......... but I used to do this shit for a living so ymmv.....
