fotodude
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Post by fotodude on Jun 9, 2017 21:16:04 GMT
New month, new BP poll. I'm doing this a day earlier than usual since I'll be out tomorrow. You know the drill: the poll is only to make my tallying easier. Since it doesn't let us add more options here, I'm simply going to list all the films that received at least one vote last time. If you want to vote for something else, you can: just post your choice below.
Otherwise only use the poll function to vote. Again, don't vote twice if you're also on OB2. You can also post below to explain your vote, or if you want to guarantee future bragging rights if you call it early, but only the poll votes will be tallied (with the exception above). I'll keep it open for a few days, then post the results with some comments.
Last month Wonderstruck became our clear frontrunner, with 12 votes over runner-up Dunkirk, but I have a feeling that won't last this month... There was a total of 61 votes, so let's try to increase that number. These were the results in June last year. Not the most accurate, so let's see if we can do better this year.
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Post by notacrook on Jun 9, 2017 21:26:46 GMT
On paper, The Papers is sounding stronger and stronger.
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Post by merchandise on Jun 9, 2017 21:27:49 GMT
Damn, that poll from last year.
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fotodude
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Post by fotodude on Jun 9, 2017 21:30:19 GMT
Damn, that poll from last year. I was the one who voted for American Pastoral lol.
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fotodude
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Post by fotodude on Jun 9, 2017 21:34:24 GMT
No clue what to vote for this month. I was clearly on the Wonderstruck train until now, but obviously now I'm a lot less confident. Interesting fact: no BP winner since 2005's Crash has won with a metascore of under 85. Wonderstruck is now at 74.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 9, 2017 21:46:29 GMT
Easy Downsizing..
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 9, 2017 22:04:12 GMT
I am predicting 'The Post.' Because Bridge of Spies totally Won Best Picture Last Year. Followed up by 'Birth of a Nation's' Historic Sweep at this years Academy Awards.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 9, 2017 22:25:44 GMT
Okay, who chose 'Darkest Hour?'
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Jun 9, 2017 22:26:12 GMT
sticking with Darkest Hour just because a lot of these feel like much less conventional choices. I feel like Wonderstruck is safely out of the race.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 9, 2017 22:31:05 GMT
Naaah, maybe if it were released in 1983 I'm kidding, of course
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 9, 2017 22:42:19 GMT
The Papers, I guess
Darkest Hour as alternate
Feels like a year we actually get a middlebrow pure Oscar bait winner again
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Post by pendragon on Jun 9, 2017 23:02:38 GMT
I'm actually going to take a chance and say Last Flag Flying. It already has a decent shot at Actor and Adapted Screenplay wins and if its critical reception is even approaching Boyhood and Before Midnight, it could easily position itself as the consensus favorite.
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Post by Martin Stett on Jun 9, 2017 23:15:19 GMT
Sticking with Molly until she inevitably dies. Or at least when the other players begin appearing.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 9, 2017 23:34:13 GMT
Sticking with Molly until she inevitably dies. Or at least when the other players begin appearing. Why It's not that great of a script, Chastain isnt even a sure thing for a nomination, the distributor is a mess, and Sorkin fired the editor of the film during post-production I'm just genuinely curious
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Post by mhynson27 on Jun 9, 2017 23:45:13 GMT
The Papers with Nolan winning director in another split.
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Post by Martin Stett on Jun 10, 2017 0:07:25 GMT
Sticking with Molly until she inevitably dies. Or at least when the other players begin appearing. Why It's not that great of a script, Chastain isnt even a sure thing for a nomination, the distributor is a mess, and Sorkin fired the editor of the film during post-production I'm just genuinely curious Because I don't follow the awards game. I had heard something about the editor, but I try to know as little as possible about movies before I see them, which makes me a shit prognosticator.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 10, 2017 0:20:50 GMT
Why It's not that great of a script, Chastain isnt even a sure thing for a nomination, the distributor is a mess, and Sorkin fired the editor of the film during post-production I'm just genuinely curious Because I don't follow the awards game. I had heard something about the editor, but I try to know as little as possible about movies before I see them, which makes me a shit prognosticator. Lol, fair enough
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Zeb31
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Post by Zeb31 on Jun 10, 2017 0:54:03 GMT
Sticking with Molly until she inevitably dies. Or at least when the other players begin appearing. Why It's not that great of a script, Chastain isnt even a sure thing for a nomination, the distributor is a mess, and Sorkin fired the editor of the film during post-production I'm just genuinely curious Do we know who replaced him? None of the trades reported this, apparently.
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Zeb31
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Post by Zeb31 on Jun 10, 2017 1:00:29 GMT
The Papers keeps on making more and more sense, though it being a VERY late-breaker could leave enough room for something else to build buzz out of the fall festivals.
On the other hand, I'm still not buying Dunkirk as a BP threat, it being a Summer release and everything, but if it does wind up getting enough heat to be positioned as a frontrunner, then I can easily see The Papers surpassing it at the last minute, Spotlight/Moonlight-style.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 10, 2017 2:08:12 GMT
Why It's not that great of a script, Chastain isnt even a sure thing for a nomination, the distributor is a mess, and Sorkin fired the editor of the film during post-production I'm just genuinely curious Do we know who replaced him? None of the trades reported this, apparently. No clue but I'm worried because the script is moreso very commercial and montage-driven, so with the wrong editor, it could be a disaster
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 10, 2017 2:11:50 GMT
The Papers keeps on making more and more sense, though it being a VERY late-breaker could leave enough room for something else to build buzz out of the fall festivals. ............
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 10, 2017 2:23:48 GMT
The Papers keeps on making more and more sense, though it being a VERY late-breaker could leave enough room for something else to build buzz out of the fall festivals. On the other hand, I'm still not buying Dunkirk as a BP threat, it being a Summer release and everything, but if it does wind up getting enough heat to be positioned as a frontrunner, then I can easily see The Papers surpassing it at the last minute, Spotlight/ Moonlight-style. I feel the same way that we'll get a few different winners at the guilds and precursors with Papers pulling out a last minute BP win GLOBE: Dunkirk or Darkest Hour BAFTA: Darkest Hour PGA: Dunkirk OSCARS: The Papers
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Post by mhynson27 on Jun 10, 2017 4:16:42 GMT
The Papers keeps on making more and more sense, though it being a VERY late-breaker could leave enough room for something else to build buzz out of the fall festivals. On the other hand, I'm still not buying Dunkirk as a BP threat, it being a Summer release and everything, but if it does wind up getting enough heat to be positioned as a frontrunner, then I can easily see The Papers surpassing it at the last minute, Spotlight/ Moonlight-style. I feel the same way that we'll get a few different winners at the guilds and precursors with Papers pulling out a last minute BP win GLOBE: Dunkirk or Darkest Hour BAFTA: Darkest Hour PGA: Dunkirk OSCARS: The Papers DGA?
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morton
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Post by morton on Jun 10, 2017 5:09:00 GMT
The paper is truly taking the advantage of Trump's scandals, but Oscar always looks on a different way. I hope Detroit is really great and can smash all the competitors The Papers keeps on making more and more sense, though it being a VERY late-breaker could leave enough room for something else to build buzz out of the fall festivals. On the other hand, I'm still not buying Dunkirk as a BP threat, it being a Summer release and everything, but if it does wind up getting enough heat to be positioned as a frontrunner, then I can easily see The Papers surpassing it at the last minute, Spotlight/ Moonlight-style. The Papers does make a lot of sense, but I'm always wary about a consensus building this early. Not that I don't follow the consensus (cough Silence, cough Joy), but I'm still concerned about The Papers breaking too late. Plus, I tend to like it when things are unpredictable and with Oldman probably winning Best Actor and Dafoe and Streep looking to be early favorites, it feels like it could be pretty predictable if The Papers wins as most people are predicting now. So I'll still go with The Death of Stalin since I think a lot of people could be sleeping on it, and it could possibly be just as relevant as The Papers.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 10, 2017 5:25:02 GMT
I feel the same way that we'll get a few different winners at the guilds and precursors with Papers pulling out a last minute BP win GLOBE: Dunkirk or Darkest Hour BAFTA: Darkest Hour PGA: Dunkirk OSCARS: The Papers DGA? Probably Nolan by default Papers is more likely to split BP since it's not a directorial achievement whatsoever, and will be late Florida Project is too indie to win DGA Villeneuve will be lucky to get a nom, and if Miller couldn't even pull it off I don't picture Bigelow or Detroit as a major contender for the win So, that basically leaves Nolan vs Joe Wright, and in this scenario, I'd go with Dunkirk winning for what is to be a more tech and action driven film
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