|
|
Post by finniussnrub on Jan 10, 2024 22:14:38 GMT
So in the last few years (since the merger really) SAG has been off by at least 4 (like last year), sometimes more. Say average of 4 though, who do think gets replaced?
|
|
|
|
Post by stephen on Jan 10, 2024 22:17:24 GMT
Domingo almost assuredly is getting bumped from Best Actor, and I expect Andrew Scott to replace him.
Bening is definitely getting jettisoned, and I think Sandra Huller takes her place. That said, I do think Robbie or Mulligan could miss if there's a Past Lives surge.
Brown feels like a SAG-only thing. I think Ruffalo gets in at the BAFTAs and the Oscars, and I think Dafoe rounds out the presumed five in the end. Melton and Sessa out.
I don't want to underestimate Cruz, whom the Academy adores . . . but the other four feel pretty safe. I'll say Cruz misses the Oscar for someone who gets a BAFTA bump like Pike.
|
|
|
|
Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Jan 10, 2024 22:18:54 GMT
Domingo, Bening, Dafoe, Cruz.
|
|
|
|
Post by finniussnrub on Jan 10, 2024 22:27:16 GMT
Domingo seems obvious, for Scott, though there is an outside chance for a DiCaprio resurgence as well.
Bening, I knew she'd get in at SAG when I watched the film, and likely will miss for Huller.
I think Poor Things continues the trend of 2 in supporting actor, at the expense of Brown (Who is good, but I don't think his performance is really big enough to make it into the final five. Additionally I think you can say he falls into a "SAG loves him", that potentially helped him here).
I think this could be the five for Supporting Actress, but for the sake of it, say Cruz misses for maybe Foy if "Strangers" really goes the distance.
|
|
|
|
Post by JangoB on Jan 10, 2024 22:38:37 GMT
Domingo goes, DiCaprio gets in.
Bening goes, Hüller gets in.
Dafoe goes, Ruffalo gets in.
Cruz goes, Moore gets in.
|
|
|
|
Post by wilcinema on Jan 10, 2024 22:42:50 GMT
Andrew Scott for Domingo.
Huller for Bening.
Ruffalo for Brown.
Same five in Supporting Actress.
|
|
|
|
Post by sterlingarcher86 on Jan 10, 2024 22:47:50 GMT
Dicaprio in for Domingo
Huller in for Benning
Ruffalo in for Dafoe
I'm going with these 5.
|
|
|
|
Post by DanQuixote on Jan 10, 2024 23:04:50 GMT
DiCaprio for Domingo
Hüller (Anatomy) for Bening
Ruffalo for Brown
Hüller (Zone) for Foster (NGNG)
I do think Greta Lee could replace Carey Mulligan or Margot Robbie as well.
|
|
|
|
Post by mhynson27 on Jan 10, 2024 23:56:32 GMT
DiCaprio for Domingo
Huller for Bening
Ruffalo for Brown
Same 5
|
|
|
|
Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Jan 11, 2024 0:45:23 GMT
DiCaprio for Domingo
Huller for Robbie
Ruffalo for Brown
No one
|
|
|
|
Post by stabcaesar on Jan 11, 2024 2:46:19 GMT
I think it will be more than 4 replacements. For now:
Domingo out, Scott in
Bening out, Huller or Lee in (or Mulligan out too and they are both in)
Brown out, Ruffalo in
Cruz out, Moore in
Foster out, BAFTA nominee (Idk who that is yet) in
|
|
