Post by Brother Fease on Jan 1, 2024 13:34:58 GMT
This Sunday is the 81st annual Golden Globes. This is the first-time since 1982 the Globes will be on CBS rather than NBC. Comedian Jo Koy will host the show.
BEST DRAMA
Favorite - Oppenheimer. Leads the pack with 8 nominations & up for director, screenplay, and 3 acting awards.
Spoiler - Killers of the Flower Moon. 7 Globe nods & up for director, screenplay, and 3 acting awards. Won the most major Best Picture prizes this year.
Gold Derby - The two are pretty neck-and-neck. 17/5 vs. 39/10.
BEST ACTOR IN A DRAMA
Favorite - Bradley Cooper
Spoiler - Cillian Murphy
Gold Derby - The two are pretty neck-and-neck. 39/20 vs. 19/5. Cooper's performance is seen as more awards bait. Murphy has been winning the most critics circle prizes.
Spoiler - Cillian Murphy
Gold Derby - The two are pretty neck-and-neck. 39/20 vs. 19/5. Cooper's performance is seen as more awards bait. Murphy has been winning the most critics circle prizes.
BEST ACTRESS IN A DRAMA
Favorite - Lily Gladstone. Won the most critics circle prizes.
Spoiler - Sandra Hüller & Carey Mulligan
Gold Derby - Gladstone is the clear favorite here with a 10/3 odds. Hüller & Mulligan are tied with a 9/2 odds.
Spoiler - Sandra Hüller & Carey Mulligan
Gold Derby - Gladstone is the clear favorite here with a 10/3 odds. Hüller & Mulligan are tied with a 9/2 odds.
BEST COMEDY/MUSICAL
Favorite - Barbie. Leads the pack with 9 nominations & up for director, screenplay, and 2 acting nominations.
Spoiler - Poor Things. 7 Globe nods & up for director, screenplay, and 3 acting awards.
Gold Derby - Tight race. It's 71/20 vs. 19/5. Oddschecker has Poor Things as the favorite.
BEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY/MUSICAL
Favorite - Paul Giamatti. Won the most critics circle prizes for an actor in a comedy or musical
Spoiler - Jeffrey Wright
Gold Derby - Giamatti is the clear front-runner with a 17/5 odds.
BEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY/MUSICAL
Favorite - Emma Stone. Won the most critics circle prizes for an actress in a comedy or musical.
Spoiler - Margot Robbie
Gold Derby - Stone is the front-runner with a 10/3 odds, followed by Robbie with 4/1. Some betting sites have Fantasia Barrino in 2nd place, not Robbie.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Favorite - Robert Downey Jr. Critics circle champion.
Spoiler - Ryan Gosling
Gold Derby - Junior holds the lead, with a 71/20 odds. Gosling has 4/1 and Melton 5/1. Gosling and Melton have pretty much the same number of critics circle wins.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Favorite - Da'Vine Joy Randolph. She's the critics circle champion by a mile.
Spoiler - Danielle Brooks.
Gold Derby - Randolph 69/20. Brooks is 4/1. Blunt is 5/1.
BEST DIRECTOR
Favorite - Christopher Nolan. Leads with the most critics circle wins by a mile.
Spoiler - Martin Scorsese
Gold Derby - Nolan has an 82/25 odd. Scorsese is 4/1, Gerwig is 5/1.
Special Statistical Note - The 21st century has been quite kind to Scorsese at the Globes. He's won 3 Best Director trophies to 2 losses. Both of his losses were to previous winners for Best Director at the Globes. Eastwood won for Bird & Unforgiven. Mendes won for American Beauty. People here may believe Nolan will win the Critics Choice, DGA, and the the Oscar, but the Globes could be a different story.
BEST SCREENPLAY
Favorite - Barbie
Spoiler - Oppenheimer & Poor Things
Gold Derby - Barbie 19/5, followed by Oppy & Poor Things 9/2.
SSN - Critic Circle awards champion is The Holdovers, and that didn't get nominated here. Barbie, Killers, Oppy, Poor Things, and Past Lives have roughly won the same number of screenplay awards. They tend to go with the veteran screenwriter (They love Tarantino & Sorkin) or the films written and directed by the same person. Their last 7 winners were written and directed by the same person.
The rest:
Animated Feature - Spider-Man (The Boy and the Heron)
Non-English Language - Anatomy of a Fall (Past Lives)
Score - Oppenheimer (Poor Things)
Song - "What Was I Made For" ("I Am Just Ken")
Box-office - Barbie (Taylor Swift: The Eras Tours)
What are your predictions?
