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Post by stephen on Jun 5, 2017 12:02:55 GMT
It's gonna be an uphill climb for Phoenix to get a nomination. Amazon Studios is still an unproven quantity as far as campaigning goes, it's an incredibly bleak film, and Phoenix doesn't give a shit about campaigning. He would have to be a critical darling and a lot of presupposed frontrunners would have to underwhelm, I think. but many consider him overdue anyway. I think he has a chance. Its a bleak role indeed but it wouldn't be the first they love by an appreciated actor. Many consider him overdue, but Phoenix notoriously eschews the campaign trail and there are a lot of potential contenders in Best Actor, many of whom are perceived as just as overdue (i.e. Oldman, Jackman). Ramsay is always a tough sell with the Academy, and while the film got raves at Cannes, it still has to be a hit with the industry.
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