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Post by Brother Fease on Dec 22, 2023 13:22:19 GMT
PRECURSOR AWARDS
Emily Blunt for Oppenheimer - Golden Globe + Critics Choice nominee
Danielle Brooks for The Color Purple - Golden Globe + Critics Choice nominee Jodie Foster for Nyad - Golden Globe + Critics Choice nominee Julianne Moore for May December - Golden Globe + Critics Choice nominee Da'Vine Joy Randolph for The Holdovers - Golden Globe + Critics Choice nominee
America Ferrera for Barbie - Critics Choice nominee
Rosamund Pike for Saltburn - Golden Globe nominee
Randolph has won Boston, LA, NBR, Southeastern, and Dallas Film Critics acting awards. Rachel McAdams for Are You There God? It's Me, Margaret won the 2nd supporting performance acting award at the LA Film Critics awards.
Other contenders we have Juliette Binoche for The Taste of Things (Satellite nominee), Penelope Cruz for Ferrari (Satellite nominee), Claire Foy for All of Us Strangers (London Film Critics nominee), Sandra Hüller for The Zone of Interest (London Film Critics + Chicago nominee), and Viola Davis for Air
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Post by JangoB on Dec 22, 2023 13:40:45 GMT
- Randolph
- Blunt
- Brooks
- Moore
- Ferrera
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Post by stephen on Dec 22, 2023 13:43:18 GMT
Blunt, Brooks, Davis, Foster, Randolph.
This the category I am predicting the least overlap with the Oscars. Brooks and Randolph are the only ones I feel confident in getting in at the Oscars (yes, I still think Blunt is vulnerable). I think SAG-AFTRA is just going to default to their favourites (Blunt and Davis), the veteran nom in Foster, and the two perceived frontrunners. Ferrera could definitely happen here and I'd have her as the alternate.
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Post by Brother Fease on Dec 22, 2023 14:10:03 GMT
Blunt, Brooks, Davis, Foster, Randolph. This the category I am predicting the least overlap with the Oscars. Brooks and Randolph are the only ones I feel confident in getting in at the Oscars (yes, I still think Blunt is vulnerable). I think SAG-AFTRA is just going to default to their favourites (Blunt and Davis), the veteran nom in Foster, and the two perceived frontrunners. Ferrera could definitely happen here and I'd have her as the alternate. Randolph is the only safe nominee in my book. I do not see Blunt as another Cameron Diaz type figure. It is still rather shocking she got left out for A Quiet Place. I actually feel good about Blunt here. She has that one big scene toward the end and she's in a popular film -- favored to win Director and Editing. Davis is a strong possibility here -- TV and Movie actors love her. |
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Post by stabcaesar on Dec 22, 2023 18:02:21 GMT
Randolph, Blunt, Moore, Brooks, Foster. Foster misses the Oscar nom in the end, McAdams gets in with much stronger passion.
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Post by DanQuixote on Dec 23, 2023 12:53:53 GMT
Blunt, Brooks, Davis, Ferrera and Randolph.
Alt. Foster
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Post by JangoB on Dec 26, 2023 18:29:13 GMT
- Randolph - Blunt - Brooks - Moore - Ferrera Changing my vote: replacing Moore with Taraji P. Henson (who's not even among the poll options). I suspect TCP will be a hit with SAG and, as cynical as this may sound, I think her recent comments may help her splendidly regarding her nomination chances. |
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Post by stephen on Dec 26, 2023 18:36:32 GMT
- Randolph - Blunt - Brooks - Moore - Ferrera Changing my vote: replacing Moore with Taraji P. Henson (who's not even among the poll options). I suspect TCP will be a hit with SAG and, as cynical as this may sound, I think her recent comments may help her splendidly regarding her nomination chances. Yeah, I do think Henson could definitely resurge here. |
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Dec 26, 2023 18:37:53 GMT
Changing my vote: replacing Moore with Taraji P. Henson (who's not even among the poll options). I suspect TCP will be a hit with SAG and, as cynical as this may sound, I think her recent comments may help her splendidly regarding her nomination chances. Yeah, I do think Henson could definitely resurge here. I don’t think Domingo is impossible here even if it turned out to just be one of those SAG only things |
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Post by stephen on Dec 26, 2023 18:42:57 GMT
Yeah, I do think Henson could definitely resurge here. I don’t think Domingo is impossible here even if it turned out to just be one of those SAG only things I don't think this is unreasonable, but I do think Sterling K. Brown makes more sense as a SAG-only play in Supporting Actor. |
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Dec 26, 2023 18:52:09 GMT
I don’t think Domingo is impossible here even if it turned out to just be one of those SAG only things I don't think this is unreasonable, but I do think Sterling K. Brown makes more sense as a SAG-only play in Supporting Actor. Maybe Sessa too given their fondness of young actors. |
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Post by stephen on Dec 26, 2023 18:55:31 GMT
I don't think this is unreasonable, but I do think Sterling K. Brown makes more sense as a SAG-only play in Supporting Actor. Maybe Sessa too given their fondness of young actors. I feel like Melton will be the one who benefits most from that, but if Sessa gets in anywhere, it would be here. I do think there's enough potential left-field passion that we might see some surprises in who gets left out. |
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Post by mhynson27 on Dec 27, 2023 0:38:28 GMT
Maybe Sessa too given their fondness of young actors. , but if Sessa gets in anywhere, it would be here. I do think there's enough potential left-field passion that we might see some surprises in who gets left out. I don't think Melton will specifically benefit from this, because he's already in the consensus 5. |
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Post by stephen on Dec 27, 2023 0:43:56 GMT
I feel like Melton will be the one who benefits most from that, but if Sessa gets in anywhere, it would be here. I do think there's enough potential left-field passion that we might see some surprises in who gets left out. I don't think Melton will specifically benefit from this, because he's already in the consensus 5. My point is that Melton already fits the quota of young(-ish) newcomer actor and they don't really have to go elsewhere for that. |
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Post by JangoB on Dec 27, 2023 2:12:45 GMT
Changing my vote: replacing Moore with Taraji P. Henson (who's not even among the poll options). I suspect TCP will be a hit with SAG and, as cynical as this may sound, I think her recent comments may help her splendidly regarding her nomination chances. Yeah, I do think Henson could definitely resurge here. As could the movie itself. Somehow a nomination combo of Ensemble + Barrino + Brooks + Henson doesn't seem all that wild to me. The movie's about to hit it big at the box office, the cast is great at doing Q&As... it's coming. |
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