Sarah Paulson in "Appropriate": Best Actress Tony Win?

If there's one thing I'm good at  - well no, I'm good at a lot of things............but one of them is telling you who will win a Tony.....remember last year when I said Jessica Chastain wouldn't beat Jodie Comer for reasons aside from the performances (I never saw Chastain)?

Remember when I said they may snub John David Washington months early? Remember when I said Andrew Garfield and Bryan Cranston would never, ever lose?

I do 

This has opened to raves - I haven't seen it yet ...........and Paulson is getting most of them (Elle Fanning is in it too) - this actress - in this part - essentially an activist actress in an activist piece is on-paper catnip for Tony people who are so corrupt they make the modern  Oscars look like the Pia Zadora Golden Globes (um)........this  is almost a slam dunk .........but Jessica Lange is to come in April........

Could be quite a battle