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Post by Brother Fease on Dec 16, 2023 14:55:52 GMT
The Director's Guild of America will announce their best director nominees on January 10th. It will be their 76th annual awards. 88% of the time (66/75) the winner of the DGA award has gone on to win Best Director at the Oscars. Driving Miss Daisy (1989) and CODA (2021) are the only films to win Best Picture without a DGA nomination.
PRECURSOR AWARDS Golden Globe + Critics Choice nods - Bradley Cooper for Maestro, Greta Gerwig for Barbie, Yorgos Lanthimos for Poor Things, Christopher Nolan for Oppenheimer, and Martin Scorsese for Killers of the Flower Moon.
Golden Globe - Celine Song for Past Lives Critics Choice - Alexander Payne for The Holdovers
Barbie, Poor Things, Oppenheimer, and Killers of the Flower Moon are the only films to score picture, director, acting, and screenplay nominations at the Globes and Critics Choice awards.
Jonathan Glazer for The Zone of Interest won the Boston Film Critics and the Los Angeles Film Critics Best Director prize. Nolan took home Best Director trophies at the New York City and Chicago Film Critics awards. Scorsese was honored by the National Board of Review for Best Director.
Outside of those eight, I will throw into mix Ben Affleck for Air, Cord Jefferson for American Fiction, Justine Triet for Anatomy of a Fall, Hayao Miyazaki for The Boy and The Heron, Blitz Bazawule for The Color Purple, Todd Haynes for May December, Emerald Fennell for Saltburn, and Joaquim Dos Santos, Kemp Powers & Justin K. Thompson for Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse. All of these were Golden Globe, Critics Choice, or AFI Best Picture contenders. Put in Miyazaki because his film came in third place at the Toronto International Film Festival.
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Post by stephen on Dec 16, 2023 16:36:18 GMT
Nolan, Lanthimos, Scorsese, Gerwig, Cooper.
I feel like we definitely lose Cooper out to either of Glazer or Triet, and it's possible Gerwig drops off as well. Song gets her laurels in First Feature.
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Post by Brother Fease on Dec 16, 2023 17:06:56 GMT
Nolan, Lanthimos, Scorsese, Gerwig, Cooper. I feel like we definitely lose Cooper out to either of Glazer or Triet, and it's possible Gerwig drops off as well. Song gets her laurels in First Feature. We agree 100% here. That's my 5 for DGA, and I think Cooper or Gerwig could get that "surprise snub" in favor of Glazer or Triet. I hear that the director's branch has a lot of international directors. |
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Post by stephen on Dec 16, 2023 17:13:49 GMT
Nolan, Lanthimos, Scorsese, Gerwig, Cooper. I feel like we definitely lose Cooper out to either of Glazer or Triet, and it's possible Gerwig drops off as well. Song gets her laurels in First Feature. We agree 100% here. That's my 5 for DGA, and I think Cooper or Gerwig could get that "surprise snub" in favor of Glazer or Triet. I hear that the director's branch has a lot of international directors. They absolutely do, and Glazer and Triet are much more in line with BAFTA/Oscar's sensibilities in this category. They are easily the boldest and most avant-garde branch in the Oscars, too. |
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Post by Brother Fease on Dec 16, 2023 17:29:06 GMT
We agree 100% here. That's my 5 for DGA, and I think Cooper or Gerwig could get that "surprise snub" in favor of Glazer or Triet. I hear that the director's branch has a lot of international directors. They absolutely do, and Glazer and Triet are much more in line with BAFTA/Oscar's sensibilities in this category. They are easily the boldest and most avant-garde branch in the Oscars, too. Do you think they are most likely going to Glazer or Triet? Or do you think they might go 2018, and go with two international pictures for Best Director? My bet is on Glazer. |
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Post by stephen on Dec 16, 2023 17:54:24 GMT
They absolutely do, and Glazer and Triet are much more in line with BAFTA/Oscar's sensibilities in this category. They are easily the boldest and most avant-garde branch in the Oscars, too. Do you think they are most likely going to Glazer or Triet? Or do you think they might go 2018, and go with two international pictures for Best Director? My bet is on Glazer. Glazer feels more in line with the directors' branch, whereas I feel Anatomy of a Fall is higher on the Picture/Screenplay chart. |
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Dec 16, 2023 18:39:32 GMT
Glazer could very easily make Oscar but I think there is almost no chance he makes it here
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Post by Brother Fease on Dec 16, 2023 19:09:58 GMT
Lets look at recent history with the DGA and Oscar:
2022 - 4/5 (No Joseph Kosinski for Maverick)
2021 - 4/5 (No Denis Villeneuve for Dune)
2020 - 4/5 (No Aaron Sorkin for Chicago 7)
2019 - 4/5 (No Taika Waititi for Jojo)
2018 - 3/5 (No Farrelly for Green Book & No Cooper for Star)
2017 - 4/5 (McDonagh for Billboards)
2016 - 4/5 (No Davis for Lion)
2015 - 4/5 (No Scott for The Martian)
Odd Ball Years:
2012 - 2/5 (No Affleck, Bigelow, and Hooper)
2009, 2005, 1998 - 5/5 (Perfect match)
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Post by mhynson27 on Dec 17, 2023 0:02:06 GMT
Nolan
Scorsese
Lanthimos
Gerwig
Payne
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allaby
New Member
Posts: 61 
Likes: 17
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Post by allaby on Dec 17, 2023 1:12:51 GMT
My predictions: Nolan, Lanthimos, Scorsese, Glazer, Song
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Post by Brother Fease on Dec 17, 2023 2:10:41 GMT
My predictions: Nolan, Lanthimos, Scorsese, Glazer, Song Interesting picks. Why do you have Glazer and Song instead of Gerwig, Cooper, or Payne? Are you thinking the DGA voters are going to go for the independent productions? |
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allaby
New Member
Posts: 61
Likes: 17
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Post by allaby on Dec 17, 2023 17:50:02 GMT
My predictions: Nolan, Lanthimos, Scorsese, Glazer, Song Interesting picks. Why do you have Glazer and Song instead of Gerwig, Cooper, or Payne? Are you thinking the DGA voters are going to go for the independent productions? Yes, my prediction/guess is that Zone of Interest and Past Lives will appeal more to their sensibilities. |
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Post by JangoB on Dec 17, 2023 17:51:44 GMT
Marty, Chris, Yorgi Bear, GreGer, Alex
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Post by mhynson27 on Dec 18, 2023 0:24:51 GMT
Interesting picks. Why do you have Glazer and Song instead of Gerwig, Cooper, or Payne? Are you thinking the DGA voters are going to go for the independent productions? Yes, my prediction/guess is that Zone of Interest and Past Lives will appeal more to their sensibilities. But DGA is usually incredibly basic though. Just look at the list of people they nominated who then missed the Oscar nom. People like Glazer and Song are more likely to hit with the Academy than DGA. |
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Post by Brother Fease on Dec 18, 2023 0:43:10 GMT
Yes, my prediction/guess is that Zone of Interest and Past Lives will appeal more to their sensibilities. But DGA is usually incredibly basic though. Just look at the list of people they nominated who then missed the Oscar nom. People like Glazer and Song are more likely to hit with the Academy than DGA. I can see Celine Song pulling off a Lee Isaac Chung here. Glazer feels more like a Robert Östlund, Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Thomas Vinterberg, Paweł Pawlikowski, and a Tree of Life type of deal.
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Dec 18, 2023 1:07:28 GMT
I’m going on a limb here and predicting the most middle brow lineup possible of…
Nolan
Scorsese
Gerwig
Cooper
Payne
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Post by wilcinema on Dec 18, 2023 17:39:46 GMT
I'm very confident in Nolan, Scorsese and Gerwig.
Then I'd say Cooper has a very good chance too.
Yorgos is the iffiest of the frontrunners here, imo. I wouldn't be surprised if Payne got in instead.
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dazed
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Post by dazed on Dec 18, 2023 17:43:30 GMT
nolan
yorgos
cooper
gerwig
scorsese
cooper misses out to glazer oscar night
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Post by quetee on Dec 18, 2023 18:54:07 GMT
I think Payne replaces someone here. As for Oscar night, that Barbie movie was a mess.
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Post by mhynson27 on Dec 18, 2023 22:28:52 GMT
I think Payne replaces someone here. As for Oscar night, that Barbie movie was a mess. Welp, wish you had said something sooner. Pack it up boys, Barbie is finished! |
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