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Post by Brother Fease on Dec 12, 2023 1:35:13 GMT
- Downey Jr. - Gosling - Ruffalo - Melton - De Niro That looks the most logical at the moment. Brown and Dafoe are real possibilities to slip in. Out of that, you have Messina, Sessa, and Magaro as those dark dark horses.
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Post by finniussnrub on Dec 12, 2023 1:47:47 GMT
- Downey Jr. - Gosling - Ruffalo - Melton - De Niro That looks the most logical at the moment. Brown and Dafoe are real possibilities to slip in. Out of that, you have Messina, Sessa, and Magaro as those dark dark horses. Calling Messina even a dark horse is a stretch.
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Post by Brother Fease on Dec 12, 2023 2:09:10 GMT
That looks the most logical at the moment. Brown and Dafoe are real possibilities to slip in. Out of that, you have Messina, Sessa, and Magaro as those dark dark horses. Calling Messina even a dark horse is a stretch. It is going to come down to the Globe nominees and Brown. Lets see what Critics Choice say. Messina, Sessa, and Magaro are basically riding their films best picture wave. If we see Air playing well with the Guilds, I think Messina's odds will increase. Again, I think Brown has a much much much better chance than Messina.
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Post by finniussnrub on Dec 12, 2023 2:25:37 GMT
Calling Messina even a dark horse is a stretch. It is going to come down to the Globe nominees and Brown. Lets see what Critics Choice say. Messina, Sessa, and Magaro are basically riding their films best picture wave. If we see Air playing well with the Guilds, I think Messina's odds will increase. Again, I think Brown has a much much much better chance than Messina. Where's the support anywhere for Messina? He was recognized by Hollywood Critics Association Midseason Awards, which also recognized Affleck in the same film and Jason Momoa in Fast X, and that's it.
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Post by Brother Fease on Dec 12, 2023 2:34:38 GMT
It is going to come down to the Globe nominees and Brown. Let’s see what Critics Choice say. Messina, Sessa, and Magaro are basically riding their films best picture wave. If we see Air playing well with the Guilds, I think Messina's odds will increase. Again, I think Brown has a much much much better chance than Messina. Where's the support anywhere for Messina? He was recognized by Hollywood Critics Association Midseason Awards, which also recognized Affleck in the same film and Jason Momoa in Fast X, and that's it. For starters, I am not predicting Messina. Let’s get that straight. The point here is whenever you have a BP contender, the acting roles have a high chance of getting in. I picked Messina because he had the best supporting role.
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Post by finniussnrub on Dec 12, 2023 2:37:43 GMT
Where's the support anywhere for Messina? He was recognized by Hollywood Critics Association Midseason Awards, which also recognized Affleck in the same film and Jason Momoa in Fast X, and that's it. For starters, I am not predicting Messina. Let’s get that straight. The point here is whenever you have a BP contender, the acting roles have a high chance of getting in. I picked Messina because he had the best supporting role. You also need like a hint of buzz which Messina lacks, additionally, Air hasn't been doing amazing so far. Not quite a fringe contender, but close, and certainly FAR from the top five.
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Post by mhynson27 on Dec 12, 2023 2:38:44 GMT
- Downey Jr. - Gosling - Ruffalo - Melton - De Niro Yeppppp. Dafoe as the only one who can spoil.
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Post by finniussnrub on Dec 12, 2023 2:40:53 GMT
- Downey Jr. - Gosling - Ruffalo - Melton - De Niro Yeppppp. Dafoe as the only one who can spoil. I say wait at least till SAG for such declarations. The Globes didn't have Hirsch or Henry last year.
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Post by Brother Fease on Dec 12, 2023 2:43:08 GMT
For starters, I am not predicting Messina. Let’s get that straight. The point here is whenever you have a BP contender, the acting roles have a high chance of getting in. I picked Messina because he had the best supporting role. You also need like a hint of buzz which Messina lacks, additionally, Air hasn't been doing amazing so far. Not quite a fringe contender, but close, and certainly FAR from the top five. Air got the Globe nomination. That’s something and could see brighter days.
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Post by mhynson27 on Dec 12, 2023 2:43:59 GMT
Yeppppp. Dafoe as the only one who can spoil. I say wait at least till SAG for such declarations. The Globes didn't have Hirsch or Henry last year. One of them probably would have if they had 6 slots last year.
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Post by finniussnrub on Dec 12, 2023 2:48:27 GMT
I say wait at least till SAG for such declarations. The Globes didn't have Hirsch or Henry last year. One of them probably would have if they had 6 slots last year. Or could've been Paul Dano.
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Post by stabcaesar on Dec 12, 2023 9:53:33 GMT
Unless some shocking snubs happen with the BAFTAs or SAG, I think this will be the most air-tight category and the current top 5 (Gosling, RDJ, Melton, Ruffalo, De Niro) will be the 5 nominees in the end.
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Post by wilcinema on Dec 12, 2023 13:55:28 GMT
Dafoe is the kind of guy that gets nominated with no precursors for a strong movie but hard to deny Melton's strength right now, especially with Moore and Portman as likely nominees for the same movie.
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Dec 12, 2023 19:31:19 GMT
You also need like a hint of buzz which Messina lacks, additionally, Air hasn't been doing amazing so far. Not quite a fringe contender, but close, and certainly FAR from the top five. Air got the Globe nomination. That’s something and could see brighter days. It is quite a leave from Air getting one of 6 GG comedy nods to thinking it is strong enough to coattail nominations for a supporting performance that has gotten nothing so far. True BP contenders can do this sometimes like Power of the Dog but this is much. I know you like the movie but I think you are being unrealistic.
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Post by Brother Fease on Dec 12, 2023 21:27:42 GMT
Air got the Globe nomination. That’s something and could see brighter days. It is quite a leave from Air getting one of 6 GG comedy nods to thinking it is strong enough to coattail nominations for a supporting performance that has gotten nothing so far. True BP contenders can do this sometimes like Power of the Dog but this is much. I know you like the movie but I think you are being unrealistic. I am not predicting Messina though. The poster was complaining about a dark dark horse.
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Post by stephen on Dec 12, 2023 21:29:17 GMT
It is quite a leave from Air getting one of 6 GG comedy nods to thinking it is strong enough to coattail nominations for a supporting performance that has gotten nothing so far. True BP contenders can do this sometimes like Power of the Dog but this is much. I know you like the movie but I think you are being unrealistic. I am not predicting Messina though. The poster was complaining about a dark dark horse. Howerton is a dark horse. Messina isn't even in the stable.
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Post by wilcinema on Dec 12, 2023 21:30:27 GMT
How did Messina get into all of this
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Post by finniussnrub on Dec 12, 2023 21:31:26 GMT
It is quite a leave from Air getting one of 6 GG comedy nods to thinking it is strong enough to coattail nominations for a supporting performance that has gotten nothing so far. True BP contenders can do this sometimes like Power of the Dog but this is much. I know you like the movie but I think you are being unrealistic. I am not predicting Messina though. The poster was complaining about a dark dark horse. Non-existent horse, that should not be put next to Sessa and Magaro in terms of nomination possibility.
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