fotodude
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Post by fotodude on May 10, 2017 20:49:35 GMT
New month, new BP poll. Reminder about the format: this is only to make my tallying easier. Since the poll doesn't let us add more options here, I'm simply going to list all the films that received at least one vote last time. If you want to vote for something else, you can: just post your choice below.
Otherwise only use the poll function to vote. Again, don't vote twice if you're also on OB2. You can also post below to explain your vote, or if you want to guarantee future bragging rights if you call it early, but only the poll votes will be tallied (with the exception above). I'll keep it open for a few days, then post the results with some comments.
Last month Wonderstruck narrowly won, followed by Dunkirk, Downsizing and Detroit all within a 4-vote distance, with a total of 70. Let's see if we can keep or increase that number. These were the results in May last year. Not the most accurate, so let's see if we can do better this year.
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Post by Martin Stett on May 10, 2017 20:51:30 GMT
Sticking with Molly until she inevitably falls apart.
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fotodude
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Post by fotodude on May 10, 2017 20:54:53 GMT
Sticking with Molly until she inevitably falls apart. It's been an interesting choice for me too, even though there are several warning signs (firing the editor, recent reshoots, no more buzz...).
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Post by therealcomicman117 on May 10, 2017 21:09:24 GMT
Hmm, I'm going with the Detroit riots film, though I know it might not even be nominated for best picture, especially given its release date. Just making a random guess in all honesty.
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Post by mhynson27 on May 11, 2017 1:47:42 GMT
Sticking with my boy Nolan until I have a strong reason not to.
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Zeb31
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Post by Zeb31 on May 11, 2017 1:52:15 GMT
Sticking to Wonderstruck by elimination.
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Post by Deleted on May 11, 2017 4:01:47 GMT
Wonderstruck
I guess Darkest Hour as an alternate, but I dont even feel that
I dont see many films that can do it, honestly: -Post will be very late and small, Spotlight won for similar film and that was a critically acclaimed and emotional fest breakout -Darkest Hour is pure middlebrow bait that usually doesn't win anymore -Dunkirk has an early release and needs some of the very best reviews of Nolan's career to compensate -Detroit feels more like August counter-programming -Lean on Pete might be too small and is still currently undated
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Post by Johnny_Hellzapoppin on May 11, 2017 7:21:59 GMT
I'll stick with Dunkirk until a film with a one word title that ends with 'light' comes around.
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fotodude
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Post by fotodude on May 11, 2017 9:13:10 GMT
I'll stick with Dunkirk until a film with a one word title that ends with 'light' comes around. Wonderstruck is the closest we have. After all it's in reference to lightning.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 11, 2017 9:14:37 GMT
Downsizing I dunno but I have a big faith in this movie.. Different, Unique & Original.. I think it will do great!
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Post by quetee on May 11, 2017 19:42:57 GMT
The post
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Post by Deleted on May 14, 2017 0:57:42 GMT
Call Me By Your Name: Best Picture Best Director Best Adapted Screenplay Best Supporting Actor
Come crawling to me when I'm right
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Post by Deleted on May 14, 2017 1:21:29 GMT
Darkest Hour seems like the very obvious best picture winner but I'd love to see unique film Like Downsizing or Happy Ending wins. Ughh, Here's the Catch; Whenever a Film wins Best Picture, there's always a political reason behind it. Whether It be a Film about the Making of Films, or a Social Issue such as; Race, Sexual Orientation, Poverty, Drugs, Equal Rights, Urban Conflict, Discrimination, Crime, War, Cultural Differences, Disability,or Anything that is Relevant and Important in the Current Political Landscape where Conservative A-Holes tell Gays and Blacks to Fuck Off.There are some exceptions to the rule of course, where a Typical 'Oscar' Biopic or Historical Drama wins (ala The King's Speech, Gladiator, Braveheart, etc.) But for the most part (and as of VERY recently,) the Best Picture Award is mostly given to what is the most politically correct.
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on May 14, 2017 5:47:33 GMT
But for the most part (and as of VERY recently,) the Best Picture Award is mostly given to what is the most politically correct. Sure, if you're not counting Spotlight, Birdman, Argo, The Artist, The Hurt Locker, No Country for Old Men, The Departed, Million Dollar Baby, Return of the King, Chicago, or A Beautiful Mind The only two "politically correct" choices in the last several years were 12 Years a Slave and Moonlight, and people will be bitching about it forever.
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on May 14, 2017 5:47:54 GMT
Not Dunkirk.
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Post by Deleted on May 14, 2017 18:46:28 GMT
But for the most part (and as of VERY recently,) the Best Picture Award is mostly given to what is the most politically correct. Sure, if you're not counting Spotlight, Birdman, Argo, The Artist, The Hurt Locker, No Country for Old Men, The Departed, Million Dollar Baby, Return of the King, Chicago, or A Beautiful Mind The only two "politically correct" choices in the last several years were 12 Years a Slave and Moonlight, and people will be bitching about it forever. Argh Me Matey, did you read the rest of it?
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fotodude
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Post by fotodude on May 14, 2017 21:58:13 GMT
Call Me By Your Name: Best Picture Best Director Best Adapted Screenplay Best Supporting Actor
Come crawling to me when I'm right Did you use the poll to vote?
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Post by Sharbs on May 14, 2017 22:56:46 GMT
Darkest Hour seems like the very obvious best picture winner but I'd love to see unique film Like Downsizing or Happy Ending wins. Ughh, Here's the Catch; Whenever a Film wins Best Picture, there's always a political reason behind it. Whether It be a Film about the Making of Films, or a Social Issue such as; Race, Sexual Orientation, Poverty, Drugs, Equal Rights, Urban Conflict, Discrimination, Crime, War, Cultural Differences, Disability,or Anything that is Relevant and Important in the Current Political Landscape where Conservative A-Holes tell Gays and Blacks to Fuck Off.There are some exceptions to the rule of course, where a Typical 'Oscar' Biopic or Historical Drama wins (ala The King's Speech, Gladiator, Braveheart, etc.) But for the most part (and as of VERY recently,) the Best Picture Award is mostly given to what is the most politically correct. I'm sorry, but of all the 62 nominees I saw 44 that if they won could be because of a political reason (of all the examples you cited). I have a hard time believing that the regular Academy voter will go 'look Birdman is a movie about the film industry imma vote for that' also why would that be a better reason then Boyhood's entire narrative or 'look 12 Years a Slave showed the devastation of what he went through'. I believe for the most part that Academy votes for what they like most, which again begs the question of this past awards season because the general consensus was the Academy voters liked LLL more but yes, voters will vote for Moonlight because of the "political" reasons, but I believe the backlash on La La Land played a big part for the results we got
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Zeb31
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Post by Zeb31 on May 14, 2017 23:12:20 GMT
But for the most part (and as of VERY recently,) the Best Picture Award is mostly given to what is the most politically correct. That benefits the Spielberg project more than it does Call Me by Your Name, though, given its timeliness and the fact that it doesn't share a major theme with the last BP winner.
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Zeb31
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Post by Zeb31 on May 14, 2017 23:21:09 GMT
I'm actually inclined to switch to the Spielberg after seeing that Wonderstruck clip, to be honest. Yes, it's gonna be a late comer and it won't have the acclaim that Spotlight did, but I can't write it off given how easily they can sell it to awards bodies and how perfectly it'd fit this decade's trend of having the more politically timely project take BP with few other wins while the tech marvel nabs Director and a slew of other Oscars.
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Post by Deleted on May 15, 2017 0:55:22 GMT
I'm actually inclined to switch to the Spielberg after seeing that Wonderstruck clip, to be honest. Yes, it's gonna be a late comer and it won't have the acclaim that Spotlight did, but I can't write it off given how easily they can sell it to awards bodies and how perfectly it'd fit this decade's trend of having the more politically timely project take BP with few other wins while the tech marvel nabs Director and a slew of other Oscars. If it wasn't so late, then maybe, but it's going to be VERY late and skip every festival--I worry if it'll even make SAG ensemble and face possible snubs elsewhere Not to mention the fact that box office will be low (it wont even go wide until after January and probably wont make much more than Spotlight, tbh), reviews wont be as high as Spotlight's or possibly even Lincoln's 86 MC score, and yet another journalism winner only 2 years after Spotlight might seem redundant, it seems like a lot to compensate Yes, I know it's Spielberg and it's easy, pure bait but I just don't see it having the emotion or passion to win (Honestly, it would probably do better if it's held off a year to 2018, and I think Kidnapping of Edgardo will be his return to Oscars) And honestly, pure bait like this and Darkest Hour don't usually win anymore (the last pure baity winner was King's Speech) There can be an important-visual split, but in the case of Spotlight, it benefited from a pretty crazy year as a consensus choice: -Revenant won Drama Globe, BAFTA, DGA, Actor but it was an intense 2 and a half hour long distant violent revenge film (Dec release, no fests) -Big Short won PGA and Adapted Screenplay, but A LOT of people did not like the movie and the genre style it was told in (Dec release) I honestly feel like a movie needs the long festival breakout circuit to win nowadays with the new ballot
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Post by Joaquim on May 15, 2017 1:15:56 GMT
Come on, you guys, I'm the biggest Nolanite here and even I don't think Dunkirk will win even though it'd be fucking amazing if it did.
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Post by merchandise on May 15, 2017 2:17:42 GMT
Yeah for some reason I'm just really skeptical about Dunkirk. Aside from that prologue with Rogue One I think all of the trailers have been... not good.
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Post by morton on May 15, 2017 4:26:38 GMT
I'm actually inclined to switch to the Spielberg after seeing that Wonderstruck clip, to be honest. Yes, it's gonna be a late comer and it won't have the acclaim that Spotlight did, but I can't write it off given how easily they can sell it to awards bodies and how perfectly it'd fit this decade's trend of having the more politically timely project take BP with few other wins while the tech marvel nabs Director and a slew of other Oscars. Yes, I really want to vote for The Post. JayAgain has made a lot of great points about why it probably won't win, but it just feels incredibly timely. Not that always works in a film's favor to win because AMPAS voters like what they like, and sometimes it's not the timely film. However, I'm just not really sold on anything else right now since Downsizing doesn't seem like it will be a major player anymore. I could see Wonderstruck being like Carol in that they're both the critics' favorite films of the year, but I still think that it's going to be very difficult for a female lead film to win Best Picture. Eventually it will happen again, but I just feel like that they've easily ignored Haynes in the past in Best Director and now in Best Picture with an extended lineup, and I could see them continuing to do so. Plus, I think if things continue on as they have in American politics, voters will want to send some kind of message again. I think Detroit might have too much controversy for it to be in contention, and unfortunately I don't see Kathryn Bigelow winning Best Picture twice at this time in her career or in time. She might win again someday; although, I think it's unlikely, but if she does, I think that there will be at least one or two other women directors whose film win Best Picture again before she wins again. Dunkirk and Darkest Hour just seem like Oscar bait of the past that gets major nominations but has fallen out of favor for the most part to contend for Best Picture. I'm not going to vote for The Post this month though because I want to throw a wildcard out there. One reason is that I think that the Best Picture winner might not even be on the list of films that are on the poll just yet. The second reason is that I haven't really had time right now to follow what's going on in the Oscar race because of my personal life is hell right now (I have to put my mother in a home because her Alzheimer's has now gotten to the point where it's too much for myself plus she's very aggressive now), so if I end up with egg on my face, I don't really care, and if I happen to guess correctly at least it will be one bright spot in this awful year. Anyhow, my vote is for The Death of Stalin. I think it could be very timely like The Post, but be released in time to build momentum at festivals. Plus, it has a large cast, so it could be a contender for SAG Ensemble.
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fotodude
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Post by fotodude on May 15, 2017 7:06:18 GMT
I'm actually inclined to switch to the Spielberg after seeing that Wonderstruck clip, to be honest. Yes, it's gonna be a late comer and it won't have the acclaim that Spotlight did, but I can't write it off given how easily they can sell it to awards bodies and how perfectly it'd fit this decade's trend of having the more politically timely project take BP with few other wins while the tech marvel nabs Director and a slew of other Oscars. So you voted for Wonderstruck in the poll but want to remove that vote and give it to The Post?
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