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Post by Ryan_MYeah on Mar 10, 2022 3:39:39 GMT
What would they be? (Sorry if there’s already a thread on this)
I think Belfast, The Power of the Dog, and West Side Story would all be comfortably in the lineup. By sheer volume of nominations, I think Dune would be an easy one as well.
As for the fifth, that’s a tough one, because I don’t know if any of the nominees feel like the *obvious* number 5. I think through some serious passion votes, Drive My Car would be able to sneak in.
What say you?
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Post by mhynson27 on Mar 10, 2022 4:08:41 GMT
Belfast
CODA
The Power of the Dog
West Side Story
Dune v King Richard for the 5th.
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Post by mikediastavrone96 on Mar 10, 2022 4:36:15 GMT
Belfast
CODA
Dune
The Power of the Dog
West Side Story
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Mar 10, 2022 4:40:23 GMT
Belfast
Dune
The Power of the Dog
West Side Story
torn between Drive My Car (screenplay & director is a really compelling combo) and King Richard (five nominations apart from BP including editing) for the 5th spot, but I'm leaning more toward Drive My Car.
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Post by Brother Fease on Mar 10, 2022 12:56:47 GMT
We will never know the "official result", but if I were to put on Sherlock Holmes hat (The Benedict Cumberbatch version), I would say these:
1. The Power of the Dog - For obvious reasons.
2. Belfast - PGA, DGA, SAGE, ACE nominations.
3. Dune - PGA, DGA, WGA, ACE + Technical achievement
4. King Richard - PGA, SAGE, WGA, ACE nominations + Will Smith buzz
5. Licorice Pizza - PGA, DGA, WGA, ACE nominations + National Board of Review win + Screenplay contender
West Side Story seems to be a popular choice on here, but I would be skeptical. It didn't get nominated at the ACE awards, and missed screenplay and editing.
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Post by JangoB on Mar 10, 2022 13:06:24 GMT
We will never know the "official result", but if I were to put on Sherlock Holmes hat (The Benedict Cumberbatch version), I would say these: 1. The Power of the Dog - For obvious reasons. 2. Belfast - PGA, DGA, SAGE, ACE nominations. 3. Dune - PGA, DGA, WGA, ACE + Technical achievement 4. King Richard - PGA, SAGE, WGA, ACE nominations + Will Smith buzz 5. Licorice Pizza - PGA, DGA, WGA, ACE nominations + National Board of Review win + Screenplay contender West Side Story seems to be a popular choice on here, but I would be skeptical. It didn't get nominated at the WGA or ACE awards, and missed screenplay and editing. It did. |
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Mar 10, 2022 14:42:32 GMT
Power of the Dog
Belfast
King Richard
West Side Story
Dune
Could definitely see CODA or Drive my Car in place of WSS or Dune. Think POTD, Belfast, and King Richard are easily top 3,
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Post by DanQuixote on Mar 10, 2022 14:44:37 GMT
Belfast
CODA
Dune
The Power of the Dog
West Side Story
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flasuss
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Post by flasuss on Mar 10, 2022 15:21:12 GMT
Belfast
CODA
Dune
The Power of the Dog
West Side Story
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Mar 10, 2022 16:21:56 GMT
I’d genuinely like to know what the argument is for King Richard not being in the top 5?
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Post by JangoB on Mar 10, 2022 17:45:04 GMT
Belfast
Dune
The Power of the Dog
West Side Story
King Richard
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speeders
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Post by speeders on Mar 10, 2022 18:03:10 GMT
The Power of the Dog
Belfast
Dune
West Side Story
King Richard
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Post by RiverleavesElmius on Mar 11, 2022 6:04:56 GMT
Really weird & nonsensical that no one's putting LICORICE PIZZA as one of the Top 5, considering it got in for Director AND Screenplay. Which is more that I can say for a lot of the ones people are saying.
For the record, only 4 films got Director/Screenplay nods, and LP was one of them.
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Mar 11, 2022 6:39:32 GMT
Really weird & nonsensical that no one's putting LICORICE PIZZA as one of the Top 5, considering it got in for Director AND Screenplay. Which is more that I can say for a lot of the ones people are saying. For the record, only 4 films got Director/Screenplay nods, and LP was one of them. Because during the 5 nominee system a film getting nominated for Best Picture with 3 or fewer nominations was almost unheard of I can think of only 3 examples (Four Weddings and a Funeral, An Unmarried Woman and Deliverance) in about half a century. While films with director and screenplay nods (and often even more) would get snubbed just about once a year. Also there is literally another movie this year with the exact same nomination haul you aren’t saying anything about. |
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Post by Brother Fease on Mar 11, 2022 11:46:37 GMT
Really weird & nonsensical that no one's putting LICORICE PIZZA as one of the Top 5, considering it got in for Director AND Screenplay. Which is more that I can say for a lot of the ones people are saying. For the record, only 4 films got Director/Screenplay nods, and LP was one of them. I put LP in the top 5. |
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Post by mhynson27 on Mar 11, 2022 12:44:21 GMT
Really weird & nonsensical that no one's putting LICORICE PIZZA as one of the Top 5, considering it got in for Director AND Screenplay. Which is more that I can say for a lot of the ones people are saying. For the record, only 4 films got Director/Screenplay nods, and LP was one of them. I put LP in the top 5. Yet no West Side Story or CODA, so... |
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Post by mikediastavrone96 on Mar 20, 2022 16:22:18 GMT
Thought of this thread after CODA's PGA win. For those who previously did not have it in the top 5, do you think it's a matter of the film surging late?
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Mar 20, 2022 16:31:05 GMT
Thought of this thread after CODA's PGA win. For those who previously did not have it in the top 5, do you think it's a matter of the film surging late? That was my thought. Is surging at the perfect time but at the time of Oscar voting I question it if would have made the cut in a field of 5. |
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Post by DeepArcher on Mar 20, 2022 16:42:27 GMT
Thought of this thread after CODA's PGA win. For those who previously did not have it in the top 5, do you think it's a matter of the film surging late? I fully think if there were only five nominees this year, CODA would not have even been nominated. |
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morton
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Post by morton on Mar 20, 2022 18:48:39 GMT
Add me in as another who don’t think CODA would have made it in a field of 5. A few months ago I would have went with what most everyone else did: Belfast, Dune, Licorice Pizza, The Power of the Dog, and either King Richard or West Side Story.
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Mar 20, 2022 21:39:59 GMT
If they revoted right now I wonder if Coda would pull more nominations. (Actress, Supporting Actress and Director maybe?)
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morton
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Post by morton on Mar 20, 2022 22:00:07 GMT
If they revoted right now I wonder if Coda would pull more nominations. (Actress, Supporting Actress and Director maybe?) I’m not sure about Directing because that was a really tough category, and the nominations seem very highbrow lately. The other two I definitely think would be likely right now. I think Dench would have been the most likely to miss to Matlin, and Jones probably over Stewart. Maybe Cruz, but Cruz is a former winner who won several high profile awards. |
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