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Post by Brother Fease on Feb 26, 2022 13:23:46 GMT
Going with Belfast (cast), Smith, Kidman, Kotsur, DeBose, and Dune (stunt). My vote for Kotsur is purely heart over head. On awardsdaily, I put in Smit-Mcphee.
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Post by stephen on Feb 26, 2022 14:58:34 GMT
CODA
Smith
Gaga
Smit-McPhee
DeBose
Dune (stunts)
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Post by Brother Fease on Feb 26, 2022 15:15:49 GMT
CODASmith Gaga Smit-McPhee DeBose Dune (stunts) why Gaga over Kidman, Chastain and Colman? |
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Post by stephen on Feb 26, 2022 15:19:58 GMT
CODASmith Gaga Smit-McPhee DeBose Dune (stunts) why Gaga over Kidman, Chastain and Coleman? Because I am picking chaos. And because I think the expanded voting body could still favor Gaga regardless of what the Oscars did. |
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Post by jasonjoliepitt on Feb 26, 2022 16:48:44 GMT
Belfast
Smith
Chastain
Kotsur
DeBose
Shang-Chi
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Feb 26, 2022 17:05:43 GMT
Coda
Smith
Gaga
Kotsur
Debose
Dune
Probably going to be way off though. Just going by hunches.
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flasuss
Badass
Posts: 1,844 
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Post by flasuss on Feb 26, 2022 17:12:45 GMT
Belfast
Smith
Kidman
Smit-McPhee
DeBose
Shang-Chi
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Post by Miles Morales on Feb 26, 2022 18:09:52 GMT
Ensemble: Belfast Actor: Will Smith Actress: Nicole Kidman or Lady Gaga Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee Supporting Actress: Ariana DeBose Stunts: No Time to Die
Dune has no business winning Stunts over Shang-Chi and NTTD; stunts/fight choreography is easily the weakest part of that film.
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Feb 26, 2022 19:37:02 GMT
why Gaga over Kidman, Chastain and Coleman? Because I am picking chaos. And because I think the expanded voting body could still favor Gaga regardless of what the Oscars did. The influencer thing makes me wonder if Garfield is maybe in second place here. He is much beloved by the internet. Like almost Gaga levels. SAG tendencies up until now are still keeping me predicting Smith though. |
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Post by stephen on Feb 26, 2022 19:57:11 GMT
Because I am picking chaos. And because I think the expanded voting body could still favor Gaga regardless of what the Oscars did. The influencer thing makes me wonder if Garfield is maybe in second place here. He is much beloved by the internet. Like almost Gaga levels. SAG tendencies up until now are still keeping me predicting Smith though. I could see it. |
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Post by wilcinema on Feb 26, 2022 20:05:26 GMT
Ensemble: CODA
Actor: Will Smith
Actress: Jessica Chastain
Supporting Actor: Troy Kotsur
Supporting Actress: Ariana DeBose
Stunts: No Time to Die
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Post by DeepArcher on Feb 26, 2022 21:24:08 GMT
Don't Look Up (NGNG)
Will Smith
Lady Gaga
Kodi Smit-McPhee
Ariana DeBose
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Feb 26, 2022 22:02:35 GMT
The influencer thing makes me wonder if Garfield is maybe in second place here. He is much beloved by the internet. Like almost Gaga levels. SAG tendencies up until now are still keeping me predicting Smith though. I could see it. The more I think about it the more I wish it would happen and give us a very interesting 3 way race. Assuming cumberbatch wins Bafta. |
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Post by stephen on Feb 26, 2022 22:17:25 GMT
The more I think about it the more I wish it would happen and give us a very interesting 3 way race. Assuming cumberbatch wins Bafta. I still am predicting a straight Smith sweep through the industry precursors, but I could easily see it split across three different contenders as well. And if that happens, I would favor whoever wins BAFTA. |
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Post by JangoB on Feb 26, 2022 22:19:51 GMT
Ensemble: Belfast
Actor: Smith
Actress: Kidman
Supporting Actor: Smit-McPhee
Supporting Actress: DeBose
Stunts: No Time to Die
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Post by mhynson27 on Feb 26, 2022 22:37:45 GMT
CODASmith Gaga Smit-McPhee DeBose Dune (stunts) why Gaga over Kidman, Chastain and Coleman? Straight to jail. |
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Feb 26, 2022 23:06:53 GMT
The more I think about it the more I wish it would happen and give us a very interesting 3 way race. Assuming cumberbatch wins Bafta. I still am predicting a straight Smith sweep through the industry precursors, but I could easily see it split across three different contenders as well. And if that happens, I would favor whoever wins BAFTA. You think Smith wins Bafta? |
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Post by stephen on Feb 26, 2022 23:19:02 GMT
I still am predicting a straight Smith sweep through the industry precursors, but I could easily see it split across three different contenders as well. And if that happens, I would favor whoever wins BAFTA. You think Smith wins Bafta? At the moment, he's who I'm predicting, yeah. I think the biggest hurdle for him was always to actually get a nomination there, but now that he got it, I think that unless he loses SAG, I just think it'll be a straight line to the Oscar for him. |
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Post by finniussnrub on Feb 26, 2022 23:26:36 GMT
You think Smith wins Bafta? At the moment, he's who I'm predicting, yeah. I think the biggest hurdle for him was always to actually get a nomination there, but now that he got it, I think that unless he loses SAG, I just think it'll be a straight line to the Oscar for him. Regardless of who wins the Oscar, seems like a tall order for Smith to win BAFTA. Not only is it against British actor incarnate Cumberbatch, he's also in the best picture front runner there. Is there an example of a British golden boy (in the best picture front runner) losing to an American in a very American role at BAFTA? |
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Post by stephen on Feb 26, 2022 23:33:25 GMT
At the moment, he's who I'm predicting, yeah. I think the biggest hurdle for him was always to actually get a nomination there, but now that he got it, I think that unless he loses SAG, I just think it'll be a straight line to the Oscar for him. Regardless of who wins the Oscar, seems like a tall order for Smith to win BAFTA. Not only is it against British actor incarnate Cumberbatch, he's also in the best picture front runner there. Is there an example of a British golden boy (in the best picture front runner) losing to an American in a very American role at BAFTA? It doesn't happen a lot, but I am also thinking of optics. BAFTA instituted their new nomination procedures specifically to engender diversity, and I think if you see Smith win the SAG after having won the Globe, and then BAFTA veers towards hometown favoritism, that might cause some backlash that they probably would just as soon not have. I'm not saying that makes him a lock, but as BAFTA voting (as far as I know) hasn't even started yet, if Smith wins SAG, I expect him to follow along with the BAFTA. |
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Post by finniussnrub on Feb 26, 2022 23:44:38 GMT
Regardless of who wins the Oscar, seems like a tall order for Smith to win BAFTA. Not only is it against British actor incarnate Cumberbatch, he's also in the best picture front runner there. Is there an example of a British golden boy (in the best picture front runner) losing to an American in a very American role at BAFTA? It doesn't happen a lot, but I am also thinking of optics. BAFTA instituted their new nomination procedures specifically to engender diversity, and I think if you see Smith win the SAG after having won the Globe, and then BAFTA veers towards hometown favoritism, that might cause some backlash that they probably would just as soon not have. I'm not saying that makes him a lock, but as BAFTA voting (as far as I know) hasn't even started yet, if Smith wins SAG, I expect him to follow along with the BAFTA. It didn't stop them from passing on Boseman, who I'd say had more passion behind him overall than Smith does this year. In fact the way the winners went with BAFTA last year, almost seemed like the generally body rejected the meddling of the jury system by ignoring every jury choice when picking the actual winners. |
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Post by stephen on Feb 26, 2022 23:55:30 GMT
It doesn't happen a lot, but I am also thinking of optics. BAFTA instituted their new nomination procedures specifically to engender diversity, and I think if you see Smith win the SAG after having won the Globe, and then BAFTA veers towards hometown favoritism, that might cause some backlash that they probably would just as soon not have. I'm not saying that makes him a lock, but as BAFTA voting (as far as I know) hasn't even started yet, if Smith wins SAG, I expect him to follow along with the BAFTA. It didn't stop them from passing on Boseman, who I'd say had more passion behind him overall than Smith does this year. In fact the way the winners went with BAFTA last year, almost seemed like the generally body rejected the meddling of the jury system by ignoring every jury choice when picking the actual winners. Eh, I feel like there might also have been an element of exhaustion when it came to the Boseman narrative because of how drawn out that year was, coupled with Hopkins surging at the perfect time. Ma Rainey also undershot expectations at the Oscars, whereas King Richard hit what it needed to. I know that picking Smith might be folly, I know he's got his drawbacks, but right now, I feel like he's still in it. Cumberbatch could very well take it and has a strong likelihood to, but unless he loses SAG, I'm still favoring Smith. |
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Feb 27, 2022 2:59:44 GMT
Don’t Look Up
Smith
Chastain
Kostur
Debose
I could also see CODA taking ensemble
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Post by stabcaesar on Feb 27, 2022 10:20:33 GMT
Belfast
Smith
Kidman
Smit-McPhee
Debose
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Post by JangoB on Feb 27, 2022 23:51:48 GMT
Well, those who predicted No Time to Die for Stunts have already gotten one right ('cause it won)
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