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Post by pacinoyes on Feb 6, 2022 18:16:02 GMT
Not gonna lie - this board is exhausting in its "I called it!" ........."As I predicted!" patting ourselves on the back bullshittery...........well now here's a chance to show you're a genius.............and while I am ok with people saying Kristin Stewart ........if you say her, say somebody else too! Predict what will be the snub "headline" on Wednesday ........and we can review it after the fact........
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Post by sirjeremy on Feb 6, 2022 18:21:03 GMT
Ruth Negga.
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Archie
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Post by Archie on Feb 6, 2022 18:24:40 GMT
Dunst.
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Post by stephen on Feb 6, 2022 18:32:28 GMT
Stewart not getting in wouldn't be a snub at this point. It would be the logical conclusion to a SAG/BAFTA miss and industry apathy towards her film.
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Feb 6, 2022 18:32:48 GMT
Not sure I’m predicting anything specific but I certainly expect a couple of major snubs. Something on the level of Denzel or Branagh missing.
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Post by DeepArcher on Feb 6, 2022 19:21:00 GMT
Chastain.
I also think Stewart misses but it doesn’t even feel like that big of a snub anymore tbh.
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Post by DanQuixote on Feb 6, 2022 19:36:01 GMT
Does Bardem count? I don’t think Chastain is getting nominated either.
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morton
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Post by morton on Feb 6, 2022 20:00:39 GMT
Chastain. I also think Stewart misses but it doesn’t even feel like that big of a snub anymore tbh. Does Bardem count? I don’t think Chastain is getting nominated either. I wasn’t sure if Chastain counted since she did get the Globe, Critics Choice, and SAG nomination, but even with getting great reviews I think there’s a good chance she’ll miss because Gaga and Kidman and Hudson all seem to be fighting for the same vote, and I think the “passion” vote, not that all the nominees won’t have some passion, will favor Colman, Cruz, Haim, Reinsve, Stewart, and Thompson more, not that they’ll necessarily be nominated either though. (I am predicting Colman, Cruz, and Haim at the moment though.) I also think Stewart and Bardem will miss too; although I’m less certain about Bardem just because it will probably be between him and DiCaprio for the last spot, so I could still see him getting in. I would be really shocked if Stewart made it at this point though. I’m sure she’ll have her fans that vote for her, but I just don’t think it will be enough seeing how much Spencer has underperformed with the Industry, and as I wrote above with Colman, Cruz, Haim, Reinsve, and Thompson all having their fans too.
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Post by mhynson27 on Feb 6, 2022 20:02:01 GMT
Yeah, Bardem, Stewart and Chastain all missing wouldn't be surprising.
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flasuss
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Post by flasuss on Feb 6, 2022 20:09:34 GMT
Frankly, with both BAFTA and GG being either completely irrelevant or, at best, less relevant than ever as predictors, it's hard to talk about big snubs because there's less locks or near locks than ever. And someone like Smith or Cumberbatch or DeBose missing would probably be even more shocking than Affleck for Argo, so would be insane to bet on them missing.
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Post by Brother Fease on Feb 6, 2022 20:35:36 GMT
Stewart not getting in wouldn't be a snub at this point. It would be the logical conclusion to a SAG/BAFTA miss and industry apathy towards her film. Yep. Stewart missing best actress wouldn't be a shocker to anybody.
She didn't make the SAG or BAFTA list.
She didn't win any of the big 4 critics circle prizes -- NBR, NY, LA, NSFC.
Her movie isn't very popular.
Nicole Kidman won the Globe. That was her big moment to get the annual globe .
Chastain, Colman, and Haim were nominated for 3 out of the 4 major precursor trophies.
BTW, I avoid using the word "snub" here. The Academy has over 5k members. She could easily get the 6th or 7th most votes.
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Post by pupdurcs on Feb 6, 2022 21:14:08 GMT
Garfield is probably the biggest I can think of as a credible possible snub. The nature of his film and the fact that he wasn't Top 2 with his home Academy (BAFTA ) makes me feel he's vulnerable. Odds favor him getting in, but I won't be shocked if he misses .
Odds are low that it happens, but the best actress race is wild and unpredictable enough for me to envisage a Lady Gaga snub.
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flasuss
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Post by flasuss on Feb 6, 2022 22:01:43 GMT
For actress, my dream scenario would be both Gaga and Kidman missing only for the lolz. The chaos and the breaking of the internet would be hilarious.
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Javi
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Post by Javi on Feb 7, 2022 0:51:12 GMT
Nicole Kidman
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Post by Brother Fease on Feb 7, 2022 2:02:07 GMT
I do not have Steven Spielberg in the best director category.
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