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Post by Brother Fease on Dec 22, 2021 1:08:34 GMT
What do you think it is going to get nominated for? Will it win any Oscars?
BEST PICTURE - Globe and Critics Choice nominee.
BEST DIRECTOR - Globes and Critics Choice nominee. Won at NY, LA, and the Silver Lion at the Venice Film festival.
BEST ACTOR (Benedict Cumberbatch) - Globes and Critics Choice nominee. Won at NY.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR (Kodi Smit-McPhee) - Globes and Critics Choice nominee. Won trophies at NY and LA.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS (Kirsten Dunst) - Globes and Critics Choice nominees.
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY - Globes and Critics Choice nominee.
BEST FILM EDITING - Critics Choice nominee.
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE - Critics Choice and Globe nominee.
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY - Critics Choice nominee. Won at LA film critic awards.
That's 9 categories.
My personal view: TPOTD is #2 in my power rankings. I view this neck-and-neck with Belfast. This film is going to get at least 6 nominations, and currently the early favorite win Best Director, Best Adapted Screenplay, and Best Supporting Actor. Smith and Cumberbatch are pretty neck-for-neck for lead actor. At this point, I can't really say anything negative about the film's chances.
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Post by countjohn on Dec 22, 2021 4:07:18 GMT
It's looking like this is going to be the most nodded movie of the year. Nods for BP, Director, Actor, Sup. Actress, Sup. Actor for Mcphee, screenplay, cinematography, editing, and score look like sure things. Costumes, PD, and sound are possibilities as well.
Wins of course remain to be seen, but despite some earlier skepticism from me it has to be the BP frontrunner at this point. Campion is almost certainly going to win BD, maybe King Richard pulls an upset in BP but to be a bigger threat that would have needed to do better at the BO. BO performance has eliminated things like West Side Story and Nightmare Alley that could have been threats. In a rational world House of Gucci would be the frontrunner as the "adult drama of the holiday season" but for whatever reason the reviews weren't quite good enough. Licorice Pizza still seems too lightweight and niche to win in major categories. Kind of by process of elimination POD is what you have.
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Post by mhynson27 on Dec 22, 2021 11:05:15 GMT
It's looking like this is going to be the most nodded movie of the year. Nods for BP, Director, Actor, Sup. Actress, Sup. Actor for Mcphee, screenplay, cinematography, editing, and score look like sure things. Costumes, PD, and sound are possibilities as well. Wins of course remain to be seen, but despite some earlier skepticism from me it has to be the BP frontrunner at this point. Campion is almost certainly going to win BD, maybe King Richard pulls an upset in BP but to be a bigger threat that would have needed to do better at the BO. BO performance has eliminated things like West Side Story and Nightmare Alley that could have been threats. In a rational world House of Gucci would be the frontrunner as the "adult drama of the holiday season" but for whatever reason the reviews weren't quite good enough. Licorice Pizza still seems too lightweight and niche to win in major categories. Kind of by process of elimination POD is what you have. There's still Belfast. |
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Post by Brother Fease on Dec 22, 2021 22:13:43 GMT
What are your projections for TPOTD?
I am going to say adapted screenplay and supporting actor in the major slots.
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Dec 23, 2021 6:05:46 GMT
9 noms
Picture
Director
Actor
Supporting Actor
Supporting Actress
Adapted Screenplay
Film Editing
Score
Cinematography
If it misses anything, I'd expect it to miss editing but there's no way this gets fewer than 8 nominations, and probably all 9. As for wins, you have Campion in the drivers' seat for directing and screenplay. There are a few toss-ups--this or Dune for cinematography, Cumberbatch or Smith, Smit-McPhee or Hinds. But it's winning something, I know that.
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Post by mhynson27 on Dec 23, 2021 7:37:06 GMT
What are your projections for TPOTD?
I am going to say adapted screenplay and supporting actor in the major slots.
Noms: Picture Director Actor Supporting Actor Supporting Actress Adapted Screenplay Editing Cinematography Score I think it definitely wins Director and Adapted Screenplay. Am about 55/45 on Benedict and Kodi winning, same with BP. Strong possibility for Cinematography too. |
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Post by Brother Fease on Dec 29, 2021 22:29:05 GMT
You guys still have one more day before the poll officially closes. According our precursor chart, TPOTD is favored to win picture, director, actor, supporting actor, and adapted screenplay. What are everybody's projected wins?
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Post by mhynson27 on Dec 30, 2021 5:47:31 GMT
You guys still have one more day before the poll officially closes. According our precursor chart, TPOTD is favored to win picture, director, actor, supporting actor, and adapted screenplay. What are everybody's projected wins? The 5 you mentioned+Cinematography. |
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Post by DanQuixote on Dec 31, 2021 0:40:11 GMT
Considering the weakness of Supporting Actor, I’m predicting Plemons to sneak in as well and be the surprise nominee on Oscar morning.
Picture
Director *
Actor - Cumberbatch
Supporting Actor - McPhee
Supporting Actor - Plemons
Supporting Actress - Dunst
Adapted Screenplay *
Film Editing
Cinematography
Sound
Score
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Post by mhynson27 on Dec 31, 2021 0:46:10 GMT
Considering the weakness of Supporting Actor, I’m predicting Plemons to sneak in as well and be the surprise nominee on Oscar morning. Picture Director * Actor - Cumberbatch Supporting Actor - McPhee Supporting Actor - Plemons Supporting Actress - Dunst Adapted Screenplay * Film Editing Cinematography Sound Score Yeah, I think I've jumped on the Plemons train too. |
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Dec 31, 2021 2:23:43 GMT
I’d love for Plemons to land his first nom and wouldn’t complain if he got it here, but I don’t particularly think it’s warranted. But if he coattails in it would be more significant for the passion behind the film than anything else.
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rhodoraonline
Badass
Your Generosity Hides Something Dirtier and Meaner
Posts: 1,193 
Likes: 571
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Post by rhodoraonline on Jan 1, 2022 2:44:00 GMT
Picture
Director
Actor - Cumberbatch
Supporting Actor - McPhee
Supporting Actress - Dunst
Adapted Screenplay
Film Editing
Cinematography
Score
Predicting to win Director. Cumberbatch sounds like a strong contender to win but I'm not so sure of his chances - this may be the real race this year. My personal horse is Garfield. Dunst could sneak in due to the S Actress being relatively weak this year.
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Post by Brother Fease on Jan 1, 2022 3:29:36 GMT
Picture Director Actor - Cumberbatch Supporting Actor - McPhee Supporting Actress - Dunst Adapted Screenplay Film Editing Cinematography Score Predicting to win Director. Cumberbatch sounds like a strong contender to win but I'm not so sure of his chances - this may be the real race this year. My personal horse is Garfield. Dunst could sneak in due to the S Actress being relatively weak this year. Were you able to participate in the poll? If not, I'll add your votes to the poll. |
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rhodoraonline
Badass
Your Generosity Hides Something Dirtier and Meaner
Posts: 1,193
Likes: 571
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Post by rhodoraonline on Jan 1, 2022 23:27:44 GMT
No, I couldn't; I came late to it  Thanks for asking! |
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Post by Brother Fease on Jan 2, 2022 1:34:28 GMT
No, I couldn't; I came late to it Thanks for asking! I'll add your votes. No problem. |
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Post by Miles Morales on Jan 6, 2022 11:09:51 GMT
Alright, which person voted for it in Best Director and Adapted Screenplay but not Picture? Can't see it missing Picture especially since the competition is so weak.
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Thanks for asking!
