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Post by franklin on Dec 20, 2021 3:45:15 GMT
Screenplay win, but Cooper's nomination won't happen.
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filmnoir
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Post by filmnoir on Dec 20, 2021 3:59:48 GMT
I think PTA will be nominated, but I think people here are way over confidant about Alana Haim. Gold Derby has her #8.If there is an acting nod, Bradley Cooper could be this year's LaKeith Stanfield.
People are high on the Haim for the following reasons:
1. She was nominated at the Globes and Critics Choice for Best Actress. 2. She's already won 3 Critics Circle Best Actress awards, including a big win at the Boston Film Critics awards. 3. Licorice Pizza is one of the most popular films of the year. Scored Best Picture nominations at the Globes and Critics Choice, and won NBR's top prize. So? Stats have shown to failed. You can't just based everything on stats. |
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Post by RiverleavesElmius on Dec 20, 2021 4:03:12 GMT
Screenplay win, but Cooper's nomination won't happen. As a devoted lover of this film: Who cares, FUCK Cooper, lol! Don't get me wrong, I absolutely loved his scene-stealing cameo (hilarious & totally captivating) and I wouldn't mind it one bit if he got in, but I don't think any fan who falls in love with this film walks out & their first thought award-wise is "Man, Bradley Cooper HAS to get nominated! He was the best thing about it." You walk out thinking "HAIM! HAIM! HAIM! Pleeeease award-gods, make sure she happens!!" As someone who has no illusions of AMPAS loving it as much as I did, I just want 2 things at the Oscars: 1. PTA gets nodded for both and FINALLY gets a win in the Screenplay category. 2. Haim gets the 5th slot in Lead. After that, I'm all good. |
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Post by RiverleavesElmius on Dec 20, 2021 4:04:31 GMT
People are high on the Haim for the following reasons:
1. She was nominated at the Globes and Critics Choice for Best Actress. 2. She's already won 3 Critics Circle Best Actress awards, including a big win at the Boston Film Critics awards. 3. Licorice Pizza is one of the most popular films of the year. Scored Best Picture nominations at the Globes and Critics Choice, and won NBR's top prize. So? Stats have shown to failed. You can't just based everything on stats. Says the guy who thinks she won't get in cuz Gold Derby has her at #8.  |
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Post by mhynson27 on Dec 20, 2021 4:11:32 GMT
I think PTA will be nominated, but I think people here are way over confidant about Alana Haim. Gold Derby has her #8. If there is an acting nod, Bradley Cooper could be this year's LaKeith Stanfield. If you're going to have a go at people for relying too much on stats, just remember that Gold Derby ain't shit. They still have Dowd at #6 above Negga, Streep, Dench, Buckley etc., and Jenkins at #7 above Simmons, Faist, Bernthal etc.. They are not the be all and end all of Oscar predicting. Both here and AW are often better. In regards to Cooper/Stanfield, I assume you just mean that a nod would be surprising?? Because that's literally the only similarity between the two of them. One got campaigned in Lead, and the other has like 6 minutes of screen time. |
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Post by mhynson27 on Dec 20, 2021 4:12:42 GMT
Question for the group, seeing as how we're talking about the Best Picture contender, Licorice Pizza. I hear there's some backlash from the twitter/woke lefty world about the 10 year age gap between Gary and Alana. Do you think the controversy over the age differences will scare away Academy members? Personally I don't care. I loved the film Call Me By Your Name, and that was about the love affair between a teenage boy and a 23ush old man. I don't think it ends up making much of a difference. Still sticking with a Screenplay win and no more. |
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Post by mhynson27 on Dec 20, 2021 4:14:33 GMT
I think some people are overlooking the fact that Haim is going to have BY FAR the strongest film in contention. Like are we really about to see a lineup where none of the women are in BP nominees??? Colman's film is very much still in contention. And despite its critical reception, House of Gucci is also a contender. I agree that both those films are still in contention, just think they miss out in the end. |
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filmnoir
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Post by filmnoir on Dec 20, 2021 4:16:03 GMT
Screenplay win, but Cooper's nomination won't happen. I don't think any fan who falls in love with this film walks out & their first thought award-wise is "Man, Bradley Cooper HAS to get nominated! He was the best thing about it." You walk out thinking "HAIM! HAIM! HAIM! Pleeeease award-gods, make sure she happens!!" Fans/Film Twitter do not vote for the Oscars. A coming of age story with unknowns is a tougher sell to older members of the Academy.
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Post by quetee on Dec 20, 2021 4:21:59 GMT
Screenplay win, but Cooper's nomination won't happen. As a devoted lover of this film: Who cares, FUCK Cooper, lol! Don't get me wrong, I absolutely loved his scene-stealing cameo (hilarious & totally captivating) and I wouldn't mind it one bit if he got in, but I don't think any fan who falls in love with this film walks out & their first thought award-wise is "Man, Bradley Cooper HAS to get nominated! He was the best thing about it." You walk out thinking "HAIM! HAIM! HAIM! Pleeeease award-gods, make sure she happens!!" As someone who has no illusions of AMPAS loving it as much as I did, I just want 2 things at the Oscars: 1. PTA gets nodded for both and FINALLY gets a win in the Screenplay category. 2. Haim gets the 5th slod in Lead. After that, I'm all good. if cooper had an arc like cruise did in magnolia, he would win hands down. If he gets nominated though, that would be amazing and they either adore him, the movie or both equally. |
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filmnoir
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Post by filmnoir on Dec 20, 2021 4:25:10 GMT
I think PTA will be nominated, but I think people here are way over confidant about Alana Haim. Gold Derby has her #8. If there is an acting nod, Bradley Cooper could be this year's LaKeith Stanfield. They are not the be all and end all of Oscar predicting. Both here and AW are often better. In regards to Cooper/Stanfield, I assume you just mean that a nod would be surprising?? Because that's literally the only similarity between the two of them. One got campaigned in Lead, and the other has like 6 minutes of screen time. People here based more on their personal favorites - rather than AMPAS.
My point about Stanfield - there are always surprise nominees - that don't align with the stats.
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Post by countjohn on Dec 20, 2021 4:27:59 GMT
Question for the group, seeing as how we're talking about the Best Picture contender, Licorice Pizza. I hear there's some backlash from the twitter/woke lefty world about the 10 year age gap between Gary and Alana. Do you think the controversy over the age differences will scare away Academy members? Personally I don't care. I loved the film Call Me By Your Name, and that was about the love affair between a teenage boy and a 23ush old man. No, losers on Twitter looking for the new thing to be offended by this week won't have any impact on Oscar voting. |
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Post by RiverleavesElmius on Dec 20, 2021 4:34:24 GMT
I don't think any fan who falls in love with this film walks out & their first thought award-wise is "Man, Bradley Cooper HAS to get nominated! He was the best thing about it." You walk out thinking "HAIM! HAIM! HAIM! Pleeeease award-gods, make sure she happens!!" Fans/Film Twitter do not vote for the Oscars. A coming of age story with unknowns is a tougher sell to older members of the Academy.
We will see when the noms come out...and you are proven wrong.  |
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Dec 20, 2021 4:34:50 GMT
Picture, Directing, Screenplay, Editing
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Post by Brother Fease on Dec 20, 2021 12:50:14 GMT
Question for the group, seeing as how we're talking about the Best Picture contender, Licorice Pizza. I hear there's some backlash from the twitter/woke lefty world about the 10 year age gap between Gary and Alana. Do you think the controversy over the age differences will scare away Academy members? Personally I don't care. I loved the film Call Me By Your Name, and that was about the love affair between a teenage boy and a 23ush old man. No, losers on Twitter looking for the new thing to be offended by this week won't have any impact on Oscar voting. 100% in agreement. I just listened to Scott Mantz, Perri Nemioff, and Jeff Snider talk about Licorice Pizza, and they mentioned the so-called "age gap" controversy. This was the first-time I ever heard about that, but at the same time, it's not the type of things I would pay attention to. |
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Post by Brother Fease on Dec 20, 2021 12:56:38 GMT
They are not the be all and end all of Oscar predicting. Both here and AW are often better. In regards to Cooper/Stanfield, I assume you just mean that a nod would be surprising?? Because that's literally the only similarity between the two of them. One got campaigned in Lead, and the other has like 6 minutes of screen time. People here based more on their personal favorites - rather than AMPAS.
My point about Stanfield - there are always surprise nominees - that don't align with the stats.
I don't think that's the case at all. Everybody is biased. Nobody escapes that concept.
Warner Brothers campaigned as Stanfield lead. The Academy decided to go him a favor (a big favor) and nominated him in the supporting actor, a less competitive category.
Cooper may indeed get a SAG or BAFTA nomination for his performance. I haven't seen the film yet, but based on the trailer, it looks like he's a scene-stealer with great comic timing. Screen time is irrelevant period.
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Post by Brother Fease on Dec 26, 2021 0:53:03 GMT
This is my "bump post". I checked our precursor awards chart. LP is only favored to win Best Original Screenplay. Does anybody think that is going to be LP's only win? Do you think the film will be like Lady Bird and go home empty-handed?
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Post by mhynson27 on Dec 26, 2021 4:31:38 GMT
This is my "bump post". I checked our precursor awards chart. LP is only favored to win Best Original Screenplay. Does anybody think that is going to be LP's only win? Do you think the film will be like Lady Bird and go home empty-handed? Yeah, I think it just wins OS and that's it. |
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