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Post by stephen on Nov 17, 2021 15:27:05 GMT
So NBR announces their winners in a little over two weeks from now, but I thought it might be fun to do a predictions thread for them, as their tastes are usually some of the more established that there is (i.e. if Clooney or Eastwood are in play, predict them across the board).
So here's the list of categories, and let's see how close (or far) to the mark we are in a couple weeks:
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Nov 17, 2021 15:31:12 GMT
Cry Macho or bust
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Post by stephen on Nov 17, 2021 15:36:50 GMT
My predictions:
BEST FILM: Licorice Pizza
TOP 10 FILMS: Being the Ricardos, Belfast, Dune, House of Gucci, King Richard, The Last Duel, The Power of the Dog, Spencer, The Tender Bar (never bet against their love for Clooney) and The Tragedy of Macbeth (I'm not sure if they'll have seen Don't Look Up or West Side Story yet.)
TOP 10 INDEPENDENT FILMS: Annette, C'mon, C'mon, CODA, The French Dispatch, The Green Knight, The Lost Daughter, Passing, Pig, Red Rocket, Zola
BEST DIRECTOR: Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
BEST ACTOR: Will Smith, King Richard
BEST ACTRESS: Tessa Thompson, Passing (call me crazy, but I think NBR's gonna go afield of the presumed five here and throw the race into disarray)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Ben Affleck, The Last Duel & The Tender Bar
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Ann Dowd, Mass
BEST ENSEMBLE: Licorice Pizza
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: Paul Thomas Anderson, Licorice Pizza
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
BEST DOCUMENTARY: Summer Of Soul (…Or, When The Revolution Could Not Be Televised)
BEST FOREIGN FILM: The Worst Person in the World
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE: Flee
OUTSTANDING ACHIEVEMENT IN CINEMATOGRAPHY: Bruno Delbonnel, The Tragedy of Macbeth
BEST BREAKTHROUGH PERFORMANCE: Alana Haim, Licorice Pizza
BEST DIRECTORIAL DEBUT: Maggie Gyllenhaal, The Lost Daughter
NBR FREEDOM OF EXPRESSION AWARD: Passing[/quote]
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Post by stephen on Nov 17, 2021 15:37:38 GMT
Real talk, I damn near put it on the list, too, but I figured The Tender Bar had more upside. But there's every chance they go hard for Cry Macho and continue the Clint love affair. |
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Post by Deleted on Nov 17, 2021 15:56:15 GMT
Hm... I'll just do the Acting categories for now.
Will Smith, King Richard
Jessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Ciarán Hinds, Belfast
Ann Dowd, Mass
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Post by pacinoyes on Nov 17, 2021 18:27:09 GMT
Hm... I'll just do the Acting categories for now. Will Smith, King RichardJessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy FayeCiarán Hinds, BelfastAnn Dowd, MassI have no clue for support right now - but those seem like good picks ............. Washington & McDormand seem really ominous here and you kind of have to pick them both - this and NYFCC are the big awards that just screams for them .........more than anything else I can think of .......most of the other precursors are Smith and Stewart but here........... NBR BP to me is Power of the Dog .......... |
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Nov 17, 2021 18:31:02 GMT
Do we know if they will get a chance to see West Side Story? Sounds up their alley.
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Post by wilcinema on Nov 23, 2021 17:32:18 GMT
BEST FILM: Don't Look Up
BEST DIRECTOR: Denis Villeneuve - Dune
BEST ACTOR: Will Smith - King Richard
BEST ACTRESS: Alana Haim - Licorice Pizza
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Ben Affleck - The Last Duel & The Tender Bar
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Ruth Negga - Passing
BEST ENSEMBLE: Don't Look Up
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: Licorice Pizza
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: The Power of The Dog
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Post by Brother Fease on Nov 25, 2021 13:07:40 GMT
BEST FILM: Belfast
TOP 10 FILMS: Don't Look Up, The Power of the Dog, The Tragedy of MacBeth, King Richard, Licorice Pizza, Spencer, Nightmare Alley, Being the Ricardos, West Side Story, Dune
BEST DIRECTOR: PT Anderson
BEST ACTOR: Will Smith
BEST ACTRESS: Kristen Stewart
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Ciaran Hinds
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Caitriona Balfe
BEST ENSEMBLE: Don't Look Up
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: King Richard
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: The Power of the Dog
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Post by DanQuixote on Nov 25, 2021 19:26:20 GMT
BEST FILM: Don’t Look Up
TOP 10 FILMS: Being the Ricardos, Belfast, CODA, Dune, House of Gucci, King Richard, Licorcie Pizza, The Power of the Dog, The Tragedy of Macbeth and West Side Story
BEST DIRECTOR: Paul Thomas Anderson, Licorcie Pizza
BEST ACTOR: Will Smith, King Richard
BEST ACTRESS: Nicole Kidman, Being the Ricardos
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Jared Leto, House of Gucci
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Caitríona Balfe, Belfast
BEST ENSEMBLE: Being the Ricardos
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: Adam McKay and David Sirota, Don’t Look Up
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
BEST DOCUMENTARY: The Rescue
BEST FOREIGN FILM: A Hero
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE: Encanto
OUTSTANDING ACHIEVEMENT IN CINEMATOGRAPHY: Greig Fraser, Dune
BEST BREAKTHROUGH PERFORMANCE: Alana Haim, Licorice Pizza
BEST DIRECTORIAL DEBUT: Rebecca Hall, Passing
NBR FREEDOM OF EXPRESSION AWARD: Flee
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Dec 1, 2021 23:44:59 GMT
I'm only going to address Best Picture but these are who I view as the likelies
West Side Story- They like Spielberg and movies that they view right before the cut off (The Post, Hugo, A Most Violent Year, Zero Dark Thirty, Letters from Iwo Jima)
Dune- You could use Mad Max as a comparison and also Warner Brothers... (Fury Road and also Warner Brothers)
King Richard- They can be middle brow somethimes and also Warner Brothers... (The Post, Green Book, Finding Neverland and also Warner Brothers)
Licorice Pizza and The Power of the Dog- Also sometimes they go with the big critics favorite (Manchester By the Sea, Zero Dark Thirty, The Social Network, No Country, Her, The Irishman, Letter from Iwo Jima)
Belfast- but sometimes they also go with with early Oscar frontrunner even if it doesn't end the season as the favorite (Up in the Air, Slumdog, The Social Network, Manchester By the Sea, Green Book, No Country)
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Post by DanQuixote on Dec 1, 2021 23:55:55 GMT
I wonder if they’ll go all in for West Side Story like they did for The Post. I could definitely see them giving Spielberg the Best Director award or Moreno the Best Supporting Actress award. Maybe Zegler for Best Breakthrough as well.
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Post by wilcinema on Dec 2, 2021 15:08:46 GMT
I'm sensing an Andrew Garfield win in Best Actor.
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Post by stephen on Dec 2, 2021 15:39:12 GMT
I'm sensing an Andrew Garfield win in Best Actor. A silly thing to speculate on, but with the theater world being rocked by Sondheim's death, I'm wondering how much that might impact the narrative of musicals this year, especially early in the season. |
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Dec 2, 2021 15:45:42 GMT
I'm sensing an Andrew Garfield win in Best Actor. A silly thing to speculate on, but with the theater world being rocked by Sondheim's death, I'm wondering how much that might impact the narrative of musicals this year, especially early in the season. Two of them in particular. West Side Story of course and Tick Tick Boom where he is a character and his voicemail (which was actually recorded by him) is one of the most emotional parts of the movie. |
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Post by quetee on Dec 2, 2021 15:49:16 GMT
Their BP pick usually doesn't win BP though.
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