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Post by mhynson27 on Dec 8, 2021 13:50:57 GMT
This category suddenly feels pretty straightforward. Swap del Toro with Spielberg, and I think that's our 5. Is Director ever that straight forward though? Perhaps not, but it's a bit of a strange year, with so many contenders faltering. |
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Dec 8, 2021 15:16:08 GMT
Is Director ever that straight forward though? Perhaps not, but it's a bit of a strange year, with so many contenders faltering. I don’t think he is referring to big end of year contenders. I would probably have the same predictions as you but with this branch it would be more surprising if there wasn’t a big surprise Oscar morning. |
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Dec 8, 2021 15:39:10 GMT
Should probably add Hamaguchi to the list of high brow/foreign possibilities.
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Dec 8, 2021 16:09:16 GMT
Perhaps not, but it's a bit of a strange year, with so many contenders faltering. I don’t think he is referring to big end of year contenders. I would probably have the same predictions as you but with this branch it would be more surprising if there wasn’t a big surprise Oscar morning. Pretty much this. My predictions are similar but I’d expect one out of left field nom replacing someone here. |
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Dec 8, 2021 16:54:59 GMT
as of 12/08
Paul Thomas Anderson
Kenneth Branagh
Jane Campion
Steven Spielberg
Denis Villeneuve
alternates -- Coen, Green, Miranda, McKay, and (fingers crossed) Ducournau
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Post by stephen on Dec 8, 2021 17:14:05 GMT
as of 12/08 Paul Thomas Anderson Kenneth Branagh Jane Campion Steven Spielberg Denis Villeneuve alternates -- Coen, Green, Miranda, McKay, and (fingers crossed) Ducournau These look pretty solid (I still have McKay in for Director but Spielberg can easily replace him, and I wouldn't count out Coen). And I still think Ducournau gets a BAFTA nod. |
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Post by mhynson27 on Dec 8, 2021 22:29:53 GMT
It will be interesting to see whether any of the foreign contenders picks up steam, and if so, which one. The EFA's over the weekend might help with that a bit.
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Post by DanQuixote on Dec 10, 2021 15:32:03 GMT
Drive My Car seems to be the critics pick of all the foreign language films at the moment, so I don’t think a Hamaguchi nod here is impossible.
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Post by quetee on Dec 10, 2021 15:42:49 GMT
Drive My Car seems to be the critics pick of all the foreign language films at the moment, so I don’t think a Hamaguchi nod here is impossible. That one and "The Worst Person in the World". |
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Post by DanQuixote on Dec 10, 2021 15:58:20 GMT
Drive My Car seems to be the critics pick of all the foreign language films at the moment, so I don’t think a Hamaguchi nod here is impossible. That one and "The Worst Person in the World". Neon seems to be prioritising Flee and Titane in the International Film category which seems like a mistake haha. |
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havok2
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Post by havok2 on Dec 10, 2021 19:15:38 GMT
Hamawho? The best outcome for a foreign direcror is Leos Carax
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Post by Deleted on Dec 26, 2021 21:02:10 GMT
Kenneth Branagh
Paul Thomas Anderson
Jane Campion
Steven Spielberg
The fifth slot is a true wild card. Can’t wait to see what the directors’ branch has up its sleeves.
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Post by DanQuixote on Dec 26, 2021 22:32:06 GMT
I think Villeneuve is looking good for a nomination at the moment.
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Post by JangoB on Dec 26, 2021 23:10:22 GMT
Yeah, I really don't know how Villeneuve isn't a safe bet at the moment. The Branagh/Campion/Spielberg/Villeneuve/PTA five seems secure. Which probably means that there's gonna be some shocking upset. Hopefully Branagh...
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Post by Brother Fease on Dec 26, 2021 23:31:45 GMT
Here's mine:
1. Jane Campion - Won NY and LA Best Director prize. Globe and Critics Choice nominee.
2. Kenneth Branagh - Globe and Critics Choice nominee.
3. Steven Spielberg - Globe and Critics Choice nominee.
4. Denis Villeneuve - Globe and Critics Choice nominee.
5. Paul Thomas Anderson - Critics Choice nominee. Won NBR Best Director trophy.
Still in play Ryusuke Hamaguchi (Boston), Guillermo del Toro (Critics Choice), Maggie Gyllenhaal (Globe), Reinaldo Marcus Green, Sian Heder, Adam McKay, Lin-Manuel Miranda, and Joel Coen.
I have a sneaky feeling Hamaguchi is going to sneak into the top 5. But for now, I am going first and foremost with the directors nominated at the Globes and Critics Choice awards.
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Post by pessimusreincarnated on Dec 26, 2021 23:42:22 GMT
I really think Hamaguchi or a far less-likely Ducornau upset could happen. The Director's branch has been very keen on nominating foreign directors as of late- Pawilkowksi, BJH, Vinterberg.
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Post by mhynson27 on Dec 27, 2021 2:21:28 GMT
Kenneth Branagh Paul Thomas Anderson Jane Campion Steven Spielberg The fifth slot is a true wild card. Can’t wait to see what the directors’ branch has up its sleeves. Any particular reason why you're not confident in Denis?? |
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Post by Deleted on Dec 27, 2021 2:33:44 GMT
Kenneth Branagh Paul Thomas Anderson Jane Campion Steven Spielberg The fifth slot is a true wild card. Can’t wait to see what the directors’ branch has up its sleeves. Any particular reason why you're not confident in Denis?? Brain fart tbh - I think he’s in. |
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JC/MC
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Post by JC/MC on Dec 28, 2021 22:23:39 GMT
Paul Thomas Anderson — “Licorice Pizza”
Jane Campion — “The Power of the Dog”
Adam McKay — “Don’t Look Up”
Steven Spielberg — “West Side Story”
Denis Villeneueve — “Dune”
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Post by JangoB on Dec 30, 2021 20:08:26 GMT
Gotta say, having now seen "Drive My Car" it seems to me that Hamaguchi would be a pretty atypical Director nominee. Yes, this branch occasionally goes for non-English language movies but they're usually flashy big deal foreign successes. "Drive My Car" doesn't quite seem like a super big thing to me but that's just my perception. Flashy though? It certainly isn't. A 3-hour Japanese slow-burn doesn't really scream Best Director branch to me tbh.
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Post by stephen on Dec 30, 2021 20:10:19 GMT
I think McKay's going to break through and fuck over a far more deserving candidate.
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Post by Deleted on Dec 30, 2021 20:18:16 GMT
I think McKay's going to break through and fuck over a far more deserving candidate.So basically anyone else who directed a feature film this year...? |
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Post by franklin on Dec 31, 2021 3:29:10 GMT
I think McKay's going to break through and fuck over a far more deserving candidate. My money is on Spielberg. |
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Post by hugobolso on Dec 31, 2021 3:46:49 GMT
I think McKay's going to break through and fuck over a far more deserving candidate. My money is on Spielberg. He said a deserved. |
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Post by mhynson27 on Dec 31, 2021 3:59:16 GMT
I sadly think PTA may be the one in 5th and in danger of getting fucked over by McKay.
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