August Poll: What Will Win Best Picture?

1. The Power of The Dog
2. Don't Look Up
3. Belfast
4. The Tragedy of Macbeth
5. House of Gucci
6. The French Dispatch
7. Dune
8. Last Night in Soho
9. Nightmare Alley
10. West Side Story

Is it weird that I kind of think Black is King still has a shot? Gonna take a risk and go with that for now.

Dune

Only Don't Look Up, Power of The Dog, Nightmare Alley and House of Gucci here fit the way I'm feeling - big movies, big stars, big hits, studio pictures - no indie sh it, no niche even if it's big niche (Dune etc) - no sci-fi,no Shakespeare, no musicals.

2 of those 4 (Nightmare Alley, Power Of The Dog) could be downbeat tragedies but Power of The Dog can transcend that and be "socially relevant" and uplifting (sort of) to all the sensitively woke wackadoodles out there. HoG and DLU are about tragedy  but won't play as that I reckon but Power of the Dog is a different thing.......

Saying this in every post from now on - Kodi Smit-McPhee for all the reasons I have said before as the guy to watch in Supporting......for a nod at least.......

Still sticking with Don’t Look Up for now.

That usually happens when we see the footage. I'm sure there will be some big changes next month after we get the results from the festivals. 

How many people saw Nomadland?

DLU is not winning Best Picture, come on. It would have to have the craziest leaked script to finished product evolution I've seen in the past few decades. I'm thinking Dune or West Side Story. Power of Dog sounds like an awards movie, but I don't buy Campion making something crowd-pleasing enough to win over well-received films with much more massive profiles. Let's not forget Nomadland won in a crazy year.

The buzz around Power of the Dog is huge.That's my front runner,for now.

Sight unseen, I think DLU (with its package) makes much more sense as a potential BP winner than a sci-fi epic which can easily go the 'techs only' route and a musical re-do which won BP the first time round.

If you'd read the script of Parasite before the hoopla, would you think you were looking at a BP winner? I think these days the Academy is open to more out-there stuff, as long as it's topical. And I wish folks stopped judging movies based on reading leaked scripts. First of all, scripts constantly change (and in this case we know for a fact that DiCaprio worked on it with McKay pretty intensely). Secondly, movies are not their scripts! They can be/feel different and make more sense on the screen rather than on the page. I remember once some dude on AW read the leaked script of "The Post" and thought it would be completely uncinematic and then they released a clip from the movie and he was like 'I remember than scene in the script...why is it done in one shot? Why does it look like that?' which meant that he looked at that scene in the script with a basic unimaginative eye and a proper director was able to transform it into something lively.

Unless McKay is going full Anchorman on this one, I can see it registering with the Academy just like his latest two flicks did. Again, sight unseen and a word from the script unread

Do you think the DGA will bend its rules to make him eligible? If not, do you think him not being eligible for a DGA nom will actually give him more traction for Best Director as many voters will feel he got unfairly shafted?

Still keeping my vote for The Power of the Dog because it’s definitely possible it will have enough festival buzz to win Best Picture in another pandemic year.

This schedule from Netflix still gives me a little worry because they just have so many contenders, and with their release model, in a normal year I don’t know that anything is going to gain enough momentum. Even in a not so normal year, it could still be very difficult if other alternatives emerge as Nomadland did last year. Still The Power of the Dog looks to have a lot going for it, and so that might be enough if nothing else emerges as a strong alternative.