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Post by mhynson27 on Jul 13, 2021 23:20:29 GMT
Some of you are acting like The Grand Budapest Hotel wasn't Top 3 back in 2014.
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Post by stephen on Jul 13, 2021 23:23:59 GMT
Some of you are acting like The Grand Budapest Hotel wasn't Top 3 back in 2014. Yeah, but there's a reason it couldn't seal the deal. Wes Anderson just isn't for everybody, and this sounds like Wes at his most Anderson-y.
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Post by mhynson27 on Jul 13, 2021 23:25:49 GMT
Some of you are acting like The Grand Budapest Hotel wasn't Top 3 back in 2014. Yeah, but there's a reason it couldn't seal the deal. Wes Anderson just isn't for everybody, and this sounds like Wes at his most Anderson-y. True, but I'm just pointing out that predicting it to win, before the Cannes premiere, was not a ridiculous notion at all, as some here are trying to claim.
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Post by stephen on Jul 13, 2021 23:27:33 GMT
Yeah, but there's a reason it couldn't seal the deal. Wes Anderson just isn't for everybody, and this sounds like Wes at his most Anderson-y. True, but I'm just pointing out that predicting it to win, before the Cannes premiere, was not a ridiculous notion at all, as some here are trying to claim. It wasn't ridiculous, but Grand Budapest was more the exception that proves the rule when it comes to Anderson and the Academy.
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Post by quetee on Jul 13, 2021 23:58:48 GMT
Some of you are acting like The Grand Budapest Hotel wasn't Top 3 back in 2014. Well, The Grand Budapest had a digestible trailer. You could at least tell what the heck was going on with the story. I wanted to see the movie because Ralph Fiennes cracked me up when he ran upon hearing that he was a suspect. Then I watched the movie and loved it. Ralph by the way, was robbed of a nod. As for The French Dispatch trailer...well... I just said.... Oh the production design is nice.
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Post by mhynson27 on Jul 14, 2021 0:14:43 GMT
Some of you are acting like The Grand Budapest Hotel wasn't Top 3 back in 2014. Well, The Grand Budapest had a digestible trailer. You could at least tell what the heck was going on with the story. I wanted to see the movie because Ralph Fiennes cracked me up when he ran upon hearing that he was a suspect. Then I watched the movie and loved it. Ralph by the way, was robbed of a nod. As for The French Dispatch trailer...well... I just said.... Oh the production design is nice. I agree with you on that one.
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Good God
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Post by Good God on Jul 14, 2021 0:20:04 GMT
We have Benedetta and Blonde on the poll, and people are talking about why a Wes Anderson film was never in contention to win Best Picture?
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Jul 14, 2021 0:28:04 GMT
I’ll just keep sticking with Don’t Look Up until the race starts to play out.
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dazed
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Post by dazed on Jul 14, 2021 4:43:53 GMT
I’ll be bold and go with Dune, even though I’m sure part two would have a better chance.
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morton
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Post by morton on Jul 18, 2021 7:02:49 GMT
Canterbury Glass: I didn't plan on mentioning this at all because of the O. Russell factor, but we know so little about it that I can't rule it out yet. Positives are David O. Russell's track record, a stacked cast, and the fact that it seems to be a period drama. Negatives include David O. Russell's past indiscretions (to say the least) which could come back to haunt him. This is probably still coming out this year, but since I am wondering what might be pushed back to 2022 especially with the Delta variant causing COVID rates to skyrocket in many places again. Anyhow Hildur Guðnadóttir’s name has been removed from IMDb for this, so I wonder what’s going on. Also grain of salt and all since I haven’t seen another source for it, but it appears that The Last Duel is about to go live with its official Twitter account soon and again word that a trailer is coming soon, whatever that means.
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Post by franklin on Jul 18, 2021 13:26:20 GMT
Canterbury Glass: I didn't plan on mentioning this at all because of the O. Russell factor, but we know so little about it that I can't rule it out yet. Positives are David O. Russell's track record, a stacked cast, and the fact that it seems to be a period drama. Negatives include David O. Russell's past indiscretions (to say the least) which could come back to haunt him. This is probably still coming out this year, but since I am wondering what might be pushed back to 2022 especially with the Delta variant causing COVID rates to skyrocket in many places again. Anyhow Hildur Guðnadóttir’s name has been removed from IMDb for this, so I wonder what’s going on. Also grain of salt and all since I haven’t seen another source for it, but it appears that The Last Duel is about to go live with its official Twitter account soon and again word that a trailer is coming soon, whatever that means. A. Aside from his controversies, David O'Russell movies in retrospect haven't aged well after awards season. Despite his track record (The Fighter, SLP, and AH) no one talks or cares about them anymore, and they are considered average at best. I think the film industry folks have realized that, and this time around it won't go as well for him. B. Regarding Guonadottir, maybe he just dropped her?? I mean, she's not that good as a composer, the score for Joker was incredibly basic and she won the Oscar only for political/PC reasons (apparently there was the narrative for her that she would have been the first woman to ever win the category). Wouldn't be surprised if he saw that she's not that much after the artificial hype post-Oscar.
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Post by pessimusreincarnated on Jul 19, 2021 20:09:51 GMT
I feel like House of Gucci, Don't Look Up, and The French Dispatch are the most viable options to win right now. Sticking with Gucci for now.
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Post by quetee on Jul 21, 2021 21:54:35 GMT
I feel like House of Gucci, Don't Look Up, and The French Dispatch are the most viable options to win right now. Sticking with Gucci for now. The only above the line I'm predicting right now for The French Dispatch is Jeffrey Wright for supporting actor.
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Post by mhynson27 on Jul 24, 2021 23:47:08 GMT
Probably not the best place to post this, but don't really know where else.
Erik Anderson seems to be hinting at The Humans moving to 2022. Would free up a potential spot in both Supporting categories.
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morton
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Post by morton on Jul 25, 2021 0:25:54 GMT
Probably not the bets place to post this, but don't really know where else. Erik Anderson seems to be hinting at The Humans moving to 2022. Would free up a potential spot in both Supporting categories. Whoops didn’t see this before posting in the July predictions thread. Interesting. Still sticking with my feeling that Driver’s chance to be nominated and maybe even win is in Supporting since I’m not sure if he’ll break through in leading this year. With Jenkins now only having Nightmare Alley, and Paul Schrader still causing a lot of heartburn and panic with Focus executives, it may be opening up a path for a potential win. I don’t know. Don’t want to jinx anything. I didn’t really get to hear him speak much in the The Last Duel trailer, but he certainly looked the part and was the MVP out of the male actors for me from the trailer. Admittedly that was a low bar, but with The Humans presumably out both Supporting categories at this stage seem a little less stacked than the leading categories right now.
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Post by quetee on Jul 25, 2021 0:33:21 GMT
Probably not the bets place to post this, but don't really know where else. Erik Anderson seems to be hinting at The Humans moving to 2022. Would free up a potential spot in both Supporting categories. Whoops didn’t see this before posting in the July predictions thread. Interesting. Still sticking with my feeling that Driver’s chance to be nominated and maybe even win is in Supporting since I’m not sure if he’ll break through in leading this year. With Jenkins now only having Nightmare Alley, and Paul Schrader still causing a lot of heartburn and panic with Focus executives, it may be opening up a path for a potential win. I don’t know. Don’t want to jinx anything. I didn’t really get to hear him speak much in the The Last Duel trailer, but he certainly looked the part and was the MVP out of the male actors for me from the trailer. Admittedly that was a low bar, but with The Humans presumably out both Supporting categories at this stage seem a little less stacked than the leading categories right now. Gotta agree with you in regards to Driver. He looks supporting in The Last Duel but I can't tell what's going on with him in House of Gucci because it could be one of those Lead actress POV type movies where they place the male lead in supporting. Who knows. I think there is a possibility for double nods this year and I'm leaning toward either Driver or Andrew Garfield.
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morton
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Post by morton on Jul 25, 2021 0:44:25 GMT
Whoops didn’t see this before posting in the July predictions thread. Interesting. Still sticking with my feeling that Driver’s chance to be nominated and maybe even win is in Supporting since I’m not sure if he’ll break through in leading this year. With Jenkins now only having Nightmare Alley, and Paul Schrader still causing a lot of heartburn and panic with Focus executives, it may be opening up a path for a potential win. I don’t know. Don’t want to jinx anything. I didn’t really get to hear him speak much in the The Last Duel trailer, but he certainly looked the part and was the MVP out of the male actors for me from the trailer. Admittedly that was a low bar, but with The Humans presumably out both Supporting categories at this stage seem a little less stacked than the leading categories right now. Gotta agree with you in regards to Driver. He looks supporting in The Last Duel but I can't tell what's going on with him in House of Gucci because it could be one of those Lead actress POV type movies where they place the male lead in supporting. Who knows. I think there is a possibility for double nods this year and I'm leaning toward either Driver or Andrew Garfield. Yeah I think Garfield will have the better role and probably more raves for Tick,Tick…Boom!, but for now I think House of Gucci will be the stronger film since Netflix has several other projects to juggle including two other possible Best Actor nominees with DiCaprio and Cumberbatch. So I’m not sure what will matter more assuming there’s one leading spot that they’re both competing for. That’s why I could see both being nominated for Supporting instead for the other films that they have coming out. Of course depending on what actually comes out and what lives up to expectations, double nominations could happen, but I was completely wrong last year about it happening, so that makes me weary about predicting it now.
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Post by dadsburgers on Jul 25, 2021 0:48:09 GMT
Macbeth
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Post by mhynson27 on Jul 25, 2021 0:48:45 GMT
Driver is in a decent spot, but I'm keeping my eye on Plemons. I think he could be a serious threat for the win.
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Post by quetee on Jul 25, 2021 0:54:21 GMT
Gotta agree with you in regards to Driver. He looks supporting in The Last Duel but I can't tell what's going on with him in House of Gucci because it could be one of those Lead actress POV type movies where they place the male lead in supporting. Who knows. I think there is a possibility for double nods this year and I'm leaning toward either Driver or Andrew Garfield. Yeah I think Garfield will have the better role and probably more raves for Tick,Tick…Boom!, but for now I think House of Gucci will be the stronger film since Netflix has several other projects to juggle including two other possible Best Actor nominees with DiCaprio and Cumberbatch. So I’m not sure what will matter more assuming there’s one leading spot that they’re both competing for. That’s why I could see both being nominated for Supporting instead for the other films that they have coming out. Of course depending on what actually comes out and what lives up to expectations, double nominations could happen, but I was completely wrong last year about it happening, so that makes me weary about predicting it now. Oh yeah, HOG will get more press that's for sure. Lady Gaga fans will be all over that movie. I think Leo will get to a point where in order to get a nod, he has to go outside his comfort zone. His track record for being in BP is strong so Don't Look UP would have to suck big time to miss a nod and I don't see that happening.
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Post by Miles Morales on Jul 26, 2021 7:22:16 GMT
I mean, she's not that good as a composer, the score for Joker was incredibly basic and she won the Oscar only for political/PC reasons (apparently there was the narrative for her that she would have been the first woman to ever win the category). Wouldn't be surprised if he saw that she's not that much after the artificial hype post-Oscar. Amazing how this isn't even among your top 10 worst takes.
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Post by mhynson27 on Jul 26, 2021 7:40:08 GMT
I mean, she's not that good as a composer, the score for Joker was incredibly basic and she won the Oscar only for political/PC reasons (apparently there was the narrative for her that she would have been the first woman to ever win the category). Wouldn't be surprised if he saw that she's not that much after the artificial hype post-Oscar. Amazing how this isn't even among your top 10 worst takes. I somehow originally missed that comment. What a clown
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Post by DanQuixote on Jul 27, 2021 17:26:26 GMT
Changing my vote to The Power of the Dog.
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Post by stephen on Jul 27, 2021 17:30:28 GMT
I mean, she's not that good as a composer, the score for Joker was incredibly basic and she won the Oscar only for political/PC reasons (apparently there was the narrative for her that she would have been the first woman to ever win the category). Wouldn't be surprised if he saw that she's not that much after the artificial hype post-Oscar. Amazing how this isn't even among your top 10 worst takes. That would be a great thread idea. Also, Hildur wasn't even the first woman to win in the score category. Three other women did so before. Hildur is the first to win since they did away with the adapted score categories, but nobody was banging the drum about her being the first to do it.
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Post by quetee on Jul 27, 2021 17:42:50 GMT
Amazing how this isn't even among your top 10 worst takes. That would be a great thread idea. Also, Hildur wasn't even the first woman to win in the score category. Three other women did so before. Hildur is the first to win since they did away with the adapted score categories, but nobody was banging the drum about her being the first to do it. Thread title: Forget it Jake, it's Franklin.
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